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MLS · Regular Season - 28 October 10, 2026 19:00 BMO Field, Toronto
Toronto FC
#11 · 36 pts
2 – 1
Final score
CF Montreal
#15 · 25 pts
Lewis Morgan (ast. Niklas Dorsch) 90'+3
Djordje Mihailovic (ast. Theo Corbeanu) 90'+5
51' Daniel Rios
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Toronto FC a 48% win probability (draw 22%, CF Montreal 29%). The final result was Toronto FC 2–1 CF Montreal. In 1 previous meetings, Toronto FC have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for CF Montreal.

Match statistics
14
Total shots
16
5
Shots on target
7
1.70
Actual xG
1.57
6
Saves
3
52%
Possession
48%
8
Corners
6
11
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
↕ Luka Gavran / William Yarbrough
23'
51'
Daniel Rios⚽
55'
Brayan Vera
↕ Jonathan Osorio / Djordje Mihailovic
61'
72'
Samuel Piette / Victor Loturi ↕
72'
Fabian Herbers / Alexis Sanchez ↕
↕ Alonso / Lewis Morgan
82'
84'
Brandan Craig
86'
Wikelman·Carmona / Daniel Rios ↕
86'
Efrain Morales / Brandan Craig ↕
87'
Luca Petrasso
⚽Lewis Morgan · ast. Niklas Dorsch
90'+3
⚽Djordje Mihailovic · ast. Theo Corbeanu
90'+5
Richie Laryea
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
48.67%
Toronto ←
22.01%
X
29.32%
CF
we assigned to the actual result (Toronto FC) 48.67% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Toronto
1.86
1.70
-0.16
CF
1.46
1.57
+0.11
xG dominance was balanced (1.70 – 1.57). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 31 70
2 New England Revolution New England Revolution 31 55
3 Inter Miami Inter Miami 31 55
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 31 51
5 Charlotte Charlotte 31 47
6 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 31 46
7 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 31 42
8 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 31 42
9 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 31 39
10 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 31 38
11 Toronto FC Toronto FC 31 36
12 New York City FC New York City FC 31 35
13 DC United DC United 31 33
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 31 30
15 CF Montreal CF Montreal 31 25
Lineups
Toronto FC Toronto FC 4-3-3
1 L. Gavran L. Gavran 23' G 6.20
3 Matheus Pereira Matheus Pereira D 6.46
15 N. Gomis N. Gomis D 6.89
13 B. Kuscevic B. Kuscevic D 7.22
22 R. Laryea R. Laryea D 6.10
6 N. Dorsch N. Dorsch 1 👟 M 7.42
14 Alonso Coello Alonso Coello 82' M 6.45
21 J. Osorio J. Osorio 61' M 6.33
20 D. Sallói D. Sallói F 6.38
9 J. Sargent J. Sargent F 6.65
7 T. Corbeanu T. Corbeanu 1 👟 F 7.41
Bench
27 A. Piedrahita A. Piedrahita F 0.00
11 D. Etienne D. Etienne F 0.00
10 D. Mihailović D. Mihailović 1 ⚽ 29' M 7.70
17 Emilio Aristizábal Chavarriaga Emilio Aristizábal Chavarriaga F 0.00
38 J. Gilman J. Gilman D 0.00
90 L. Morgan L. Morgan 1 ⚽ 8' F 8.08
96 R. Chukwu R. Chukwu D 0.00
23 W. Yarbrough W. Yarbrough 67' G 7.55
12 Z. Monlouis Z. Monlouis D 0.00
CF Montreal CF Montreal 3-4-2-1
1 S. Breza S. Breza G 6.06
4 B. Vera B. Vera D 6.37
5 B. Craig B. Craig 86' D 6.16
2 J. Neal J. Neal D 6.66
13 L. Petrasso L. Petrasso M 5.99
8 M. Longstaff M. Longstaff M 6.28
22 V. Loturi V. Loturi 72' M 6.39
27 D. Bugaj D. Bugaj M 6.51
10 A. Sánchez A. Sánchez 72' M 6.78
14 D. Ríos D. Ríos 1 ⚽ 86' M 7.37
9 P. Owusu P. Owusu F 6.56
Bench
7 D. Pereira D. Pereira M 0.00
24 E. Morales E. Morales 4' D 6.67
21 F. Herbers F. Herbers 18' F 6.78
18 H. Synchuk H. Synchuk M 0.00
23 N. Streit N. Streit M 0.00
41 S. Keita S. Keita G 0.00
6 S. Piette S. Piette 18' M 5.88
28 V. Radojević V. Radojević D 0.00
16 W. Carmona W. Carmona 4' M 6.18
Best on the pitch
L. Morgan
L. Morgan
F · Toronto
8.08
1 ⚽
1 shots · 3 pass
D. Mihailović
D. Mihailović
M · Toronto
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots · 12 pass
W. Yarbrough
W. Yarbrough
G · Toronto
7.55
· 28 pass
N. Dorsch
N. Dorsch
M · Toronto
7.42
1 👟
· 30 pass
T. Corbeanu
T. Corbeanu
F · Toronto
7.41
1 👟
3 shots · 19 pass
D. Ríos
D. Ríos
M · CF
7.37
1 ⚽
2 shots · 26 pass
Toronto FC Toronto FC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
L. Gavran G 23 6.20 — — 0 7 5% 0 — —
Matheus Pereira D 90 6.46 — — 2 25 18% 0 — —
N. Gomis D 90 6.89 — — 0 42 33% 4 — —
B. Kuscevic D 90 7.22 — — 0 51 44% 1 — —
R. Laryea D 90 6.10 — — 0 34 25% 1 1 —
N. Dorsch M 90 7.42 — 1 0 30 26% 1 — —
Alonso Coello M 82 6.45 — — 0 48 38% 1 — —
J. Osorio M 61 6.33 — — 0 18 15% 0 — —
D. Sallói F 90 6.38 — — 2 16 12% 1 — —
J. Sargent F 90 6.65 — — 3 18 13% 0 — —
T. Corbeanu F 90 7.41 — 1 3 19 15% 2 — —
D. Mihailović M 29 7.70 1 — 3 12 10% 0 — —
L. Morgan F 8 8.08 1 — 1 3 1% 0 — —
W. Yarbrough G 67 7.55 — — 0 28 18% 0 — —
CF Montreal CF Montreal — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. Breza G 90 6.06 — — 0 34 22% 0 — —
B. Vera D 90 6.37 — — 3 48 34% 1 1 —
B. Craig D 86 6.16 — — 0 43 33% 1 1 —
J. Neal D 90 6.66 — — 0 28 23% 2 — —
L. Petrasso M 90 5.99 — — 2 25 17% 6 1 —
M. Longstaff M 90 6.28 — — 2 40 31% 0 — —
V. Loturi M 72 6.39 — — 1 15 11% 1 — —
D. Bugaj M 90 6.51 — — 1 25 23% 0 — —
A. Sánchez M 72 6.78 — — 3 17 11% 0 — —
D. Ríos M 86 7.37 1 — 2 26 19% 0 — —
P. Owusu F 90 6.56 — — 1 20 14% 2 — —
E. Morales D 4 6.67 — — 0 2 2% 0 — —
F. Herbers F 18 6.78 — — 1 8 7% 0 — —
S. Piette M 18 5.88 — — 0 7 7% 0 — —
W. Carmona M 4 6.18 — — 0 1 1% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Toronto FC vs CF Montreal?
The final score was Toronto FC 2–1 CF Montreal.
What did the model predict before Toronto FC vs CF Montreal?
The model assigned 48% probability to a Toronto FC win, 22% to a draw, and 29% to an CF Montreal win.