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MLS · Regular Season - 20 August 20, 2026 01:30
#12 · 29 pts
3 – 3
Final score
#4 · 40 pts
M. Cimermancic (ast. J. Sargent) 13'
D. Salloi (ast. T. Corbeanu) 76'
N. Dorsch (ast. D. Etienne) 90'
8' (ast. A. Westwood) R. Aloko
20' (ast. L. Abada) I. Toklomati
58' (ast. A. Westwood) H. Kessler
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Charlotte a 45% win probability (draw 23%, Toronto FC 30%). The final result was Toronto FC 3–3 Charlotte. In 1 previous meetings, Toronto FC have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Charlotte.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
16
6
Shots on target
10
1.90
Actual xG
1.35
7
Saves
3
46%
Possession
54%
6
Corners
5
15
Tackles
7
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
8'
ast. A. Westwood · R. Aloko
M. Cimermancic · ast. J. Sargent
13'
20'
ast. L. Abada · I. Toklomati
W. Zimmerman
56'
58'
ast. A. Westwood · H. Kessler
A. Coello / Matheus Pereira
60'
69'
T. Smalls / R. Aloko
69'
A. Saint-Maximin / L. Abada
D. Salloi · ast. T. Corbeanu
76'
79'
A. Goodwin / I. Toklomati
79'
L. de la Torre / P. Biel
M. Cimermancic / D. Etienne
82'
B. Kuscevic / Z. Monlouis
83'
Matheus Pereira
85'
90'+4
D. Diani / B. Bronico
N. Dorsch / K. Franklin
90'+5
N. Dorsch · ast. D. Etienne
90'
Pre-match prediction
30.67%
Toronto
23.7%
X ←
45.63%
Charlotte
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 23.7% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Toronto
1.16
1.90
+0.74
Charlotte
1.63
1.35
-0.28
Toronto FC dominated by xG (1.90 vs 1.35). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 25 54
2 Inter Miami Inter Miami 25 45
3 New England Revolution New England Revolution 25 43
4 Charlotte Charlotte 25 40
5 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 24 39
6 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 25 34
7 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 25 33
8 New York City FC New York City FC 25 32
9 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 24 32
10 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 25 30
11 DC United DC United 24 29
12 Toronto FC Toronto FC 25 29
13 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 25 23
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 25 23
15 CF Montreal CF Montreal 25 21
Lineups
Toronto FC Toronto FC 4-2-3-1
1 L. Gavran L. Gavran G 6.90
38 J. Gilman J. Gilman D 6.30
13 B. Kuscevic B. Kuscevic 83' D 6.90
25 W. Zimmerman W. Zimmerman 56' D 5.70
22 R. Laryea R. Laryea D 6.60
6 N. Dorsch N. Dorsch 1 ⚽ 89' M 7.90
14 Alonso Coello Alonso Coello 60' M 6.60
20 D. Sallói D. Sallói 1 ⚽ M 6.70
71 M. Cimermancic M. Cimermancic 1 ⚽ 82' M 7.30
7 T. Corbeanu T. Corbeanu 1 👟 M 7.70
9 J. Sargent J. Sargent 1 👟 F 6.90
Bench
11 D. Etienne D. Etienne 1 👟 8' F 6.90
17 Emilio Aristizábal Chavarriaga Emilio Aristizábal Chavarriaga F
99 Jules-Anthony Vilsaint Jules-Anthony Vilsaint F
19 K. Franklin K. Franklin 1' D
78 Malik Henry Malik Henry M
3 Matheus Pereira Matheus Pereira 30' D 7.20
44 R. Edwards R. Edwards D
23 W. Yarbrough W. Yarbrough G
12 Z. Monlouis Z. Monlouis 19' D 6.60
Charlotte Charlotte 4-3-3
1 K. Kahlina K. Kahlina G 6.70
23 D. Schnegg D. Schnegg D 6.20
3 T. Ream T. Ream D 6.60
22 H. Kessler H. Kessler 1 ⚽ D 8.20
35 Will Cleary Will Cleary D 6.30
13 B. Bronico B. Bronico 89' M 6.00
16 Pep Biel Pep Biel 79' M 6.50
8 A. Westwood A. Westwood 2 👟 M 7.30
11 L. Abada L. Abada 1 👟 69' F 6.20
9 I. Toklomati Giorno I. Toklomati Giorno 1 ⚽ 79' F 7.00
37 R. Aloko R. Aloko 1 ⚽ 69' F 8.30
Bench
7 A. Goodwin A. Goodwin 11' F 6.50
4 A. Privett A. Privett D
10 A. Saint-Maximin A. Saint-Maximin 21' F 7.00
28 D. Diani D. Diani 8' M 6.70
17 L. de la Torre L. de la Torre 11' M 6.30
44 M. Agyemang M. Agyemang D
14 N. Byrne N. Byrne D
21 T. Miller T. Miller G
25 Tyger Smalls Tyger Smalls 21' F 6.30
Best on the pitch
R. Aloko
R. Aloko
F · Charlotte
8.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 14 pass
H. Kessler
H. Kessler
D · Charlotte
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 90 pass
N. Dorsch
N. Dorsch
M · Toronto
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 51 pass
T. Corbeanu
T. Corbeanu
M · Toronto
7.70
1 👟
2 shots · 29 pass
A. Westwood
A. Westwood
M · Charlotte
7.30
2 👟
1 shots · 78 pass
M. Cimermancic
M. Cimermancic
M · Toronto
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 25 pass
Toronto FC Toronto FC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
L. Gavran G 90 6.90 38 29%
J. Gilman D 90 6.30 38 36% 2
B. Kuscevic D 83 6.90 1 50 45% 3
W. Zimmerman D 56 5.70 1 53 48% 1
R. Laryea D 90 6.60 39 34% 3
N. Dorsch M 89 7.90 1 2 51 49% 2
Alonso Coello M 60 6.60 37 34% 1
D. Sallói M 90 6.70 1 2 22 15%
M. Cimermancic M 82 7.30 1 2 25 21%
T. Corbeanu M 90 7.70 1 2 29 26% 1
J. Sargent F 90 6.90 1 2 18 15%
D. Etienne F 8 6.90 1 9 7%
K. Franklin D 1 2 2%
Matheus Pereira D 30 7.20 10 9% 3 1
Z. Monlouis D 19 6.60 7 7%
Charlotte Charlotte — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
K. Kahlina G 90 6.70 35 31%
D. Schnegg D 90 6.20 1 46 37%
T. Ream D 90 6.60 64 61%
H. Kessler D 90 8.20 1 2 90 83% 2
Will Cleary D 90 6.30 1 43 41% 1
B. Bronico M 89 6.00 42 36% 1
Pep Biel M 79 6.50 1 37 34%
A. Westwood M 90 7.30 2 1 78 73%
L. Abada F 69 6.20 1 2 14 6%
I. Toklomati Giorno F 79 7.00 1 2 11 11%
R. Aloko F 69 8.30 1 1 14 13% 1
A. Goodwin F 11 6.50 3 3% 1
A. Saint-Maximin F 21 7.00 4 12 12%
D. Diani M 8 6.70 6 5%
L. de la Torre M 11 6.30 14 14%
Tyger Smalls F 21 6.30 1 7 7% 1
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Toronto FC vs Charlotte?
The final score was Toronto FC 3–3 Charlotte.
What did the model predict before Toronto FC vs Charlotte?
The model assigned 30% probability to a Toronto FC win, 23% to a draw, and 45% to an Charlotte win.