Toronto FC 4–4 Chicago Fire — pre-match prediction — MLS — September 06, 2026

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MLS · Regular Season - 23 September 06, 2026 01:30

Toronto FC

#12 · 29 pts

4 – 4

Final score

Chicago Fire

#5 · 39 pts

Josh Sargent (ast. Djordje Mihailovic) 27'

Josh Sargent 38'

Josh Sargent (ast. Djordje Mihailovic) 54'

Derrick Etienne Jr. (ast. Dániel Sallói) 90'+2

13' Maren Haile-Selassie

(og) 49' Walker Zimmerman

58' (ast. Robert Lewandowski) Maren Haile-Selassie

63' (ast. Philip Zinckernagel) Robert Lewandowski

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Chicago Fire a 39% win probability (draw 22%, Toronto FC 38%). The final result was Toronto FC 4–4 Chicago Fire. In 1 previous meetings, Toronto FC have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Chicago Fire.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

Saves

42%

Possession

58%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

13'

Maren Haile-Selassie⚽

18'

Sam Rogers

⚽Josh Sargent · ast. Djordje Mihailovic

27'

Markus Cimermancic

34'

⚽Josh Sargent

38'

45'

Noah Allen / Sam Rogers ↕

49'

(og) Walker Zimmerman⚽

⚽Josh Sargent · ast. Djordje Mihailovic

54'

↕ Matheus Pereira de Souza / Jackson Gilman

55'

58'

ast. Robert Lewandowski · Maren Haile-Selassie⚽

63'

ast. Philip Zinckernagel · Robert Lewandowski⚽

64'

Robin Lod / Puso Dithejane ↕

↕ Theo Corbeanu / Lewis Morgan

64'

77'

Sergio Oregel / Maren Haile-Selassie ↕

78'

Mauricio Pineda / Djé D'Avilla ↕

↕ Markus Cimermancic / Emilio Aristizábal

79'

↕ Djordje Mihailovic / Derrick Etienne Jr.

79'

86'

Robin Lod

89'

Johan Arath Gomez / Philip Zinckernagel ↕

⚽Derrick Etienne Jr. · ast. Dániel Sallói

90'+2

Benjamin Kuscevic

90'

Pre-match prediction

38.6%

Toronto

22.27%

X ←

39.13%

Chicago

we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 22.27% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Toronto

1.67

—

Chicago

1.69

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Nashville SC	26	57
2	New England Revolution	26	46
3	Inter Miami	26	46
4	Charlotte	26	43
5	Chicago Fire	25	39
6	Philadelphia Union	26	36
7	Orlando City SC	26	34
8	New York Red Bulls	26	33
9	FC Cincinnati	25	33
10	New York City FC	26	32
11	DC United	25	29
12	Toronto FC	26	29
13	Columbus Crew	26	26
14	Atlanta United FC	26	26
15	CF Montreal	26	21

Lineups

Toronto FC 4-2-3-1

Luka Gavran G 6.13

Matheus Pereira 55' D 5.57

Benjamin Kuscevic D 5.72

Walker Zimmerman 1 ⚽ D 5.51

Richie Laryea D 6.01

Markus Cimermancic 79' M 6.39

Alonso Coello M 6.64

Dániel Sallói 1 👟 M 6.38

D. Mihailović 2 👟 79' M 8.28

Theo Corbeanu 64' M 6.10

Josh Sargent 3 ⚽ F 9.49

Bench

Derrick Etienne 1 ⚽ 11' F 8.11

Emilio Aristizábal 11' F 6.48

Jackson Gilman 35' D 5.73

Kobe Franklin D 0.00

Lewis Morgan 26' F 6.92

Nickseon Gomis D 0.00

R. Edwards D 0.00

William Yarbrough G 0.00

Zane Monlouis D 0.00

Chicago Fire 4-3-3

Chris Brady G 6.52

Andrew Gutman D 6.00

Jack Elliott D 6.32

Samuel Rogers 45' D 5.66

Jonathan Dean D 6.25

Maren Haile-Selassie 2 ⚽ 77' M 9.19

Dje Tah D'Avilla 78' M 6.42

A. Salétros M 6.32

P. Dithejane 64' F 6.58

R. Lewandowski 1 ⚽ 1 👟 F 8.70

Philip Zinckernagel 1 👟 89' F 6.71

Bench

David Poreba M 0.00

Johan Gomez 1' F 6.48

Josh Cohen G 0.00

Leonardo Barroso D 0.00

Mauricio Pineda 12' D 5.72

N. Allen 45' D 6.15

Robin Lod 26' M 5.63

Samuel Williams M 0.00

Sergio Oregel 13' M 5.78

Best on the pitch

Josh Sargent

F · Toronto

9.49

3 ⚽

7 shots · 19 pass

Maren Haile-Selassie

M · Chicago

9.19

2 ⚽

5 shots · 22 pass

R. Lewandowski

F · Chicago

8.70

1 ⚽ 1 👟

3 shots · 19 pass

D. Mihailović

M · Toronto

8.28

2 👟

2 shots · 34 pass

Derrick Etienne

F · Toronto

8.11

1 ⚽

2 shots · 5 pass

Lewis Morgan

F · Toronto

6.92

1 shots · 12 pass

Toronto FC — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Luka Gavran	G	90	6.13	—	—	0	28	19%	0	—	—
Matheus Pereira	D	55	5.57	—	—	0	16	13%	0	—	—
Benjamin Kuscevic	D	90	5.72	—	—	0	38	32%	3	1	—
Walker Zimmerman	D	90	5.51	1	—	2	39	33%	3	—	—
Richie Laryea	D	90	6.01	—	—	2	29	24%	0	—	—
Markus Cimermancic	M	79	6.39	—	—	0	26	22%	0	1	—
Alonso Coello	M	90	6.64	—	—	0	49	45%	1	—	—
Dániel Sallói	M	90	6.38	—	1	0	24	18%	0	—	—
D. Mihailović	M	79	8.28	—	2	2	34	30%	0	—	—
Theo Corbeanu	M	64	6.10	—	—	1	10	8%	0	—	—
Josh Sargent	F	90	9.49	3	—	7	19	17%	0	—	—
Derrick Etienne	F	11	8.11	1	—	2	5	4%	0	—	—
Emilio Aristizábal	F	11	6.48	—	—	0	5	3%	0	—	—
Jackson Gilman	D	35	5.73	—	—	1	13	11%	0	—	—
Lewis Morgan	F	26	6.92	—	—	1	12	8%	0	—	—

Chicago Fire — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Chris Brady	G	90	6.52	—	—	0	30	24%	0	—	—
Andrew Gutman	D	90	6.00	—	—	0	27	22%	0	—	—
Jack Elliott	D	90	6.32	—	—	0	83	75%	0	—	—
Samuel Rogers	D	45	5.66	—	—	0	47	46%	0	1	—
Jonathan Dean	D	90	6.25	—	—	0	43	36%	1	—	—
Maren Haile-Selassie	M	77	9.19	2	—	5	22	20%	0	—	—
Dje Tah D'Avilla	M	78	6.42	—	—	0	39	31%	1	—	—
A. Salétros	M	90	6.32	—	—	2	51	41%	0	—	—
P. Dithejane	F	64	6.58	—	—	2	13	12%	1	—	—
R. Lewandowski	F	90	8.70	1	1	3	19	18%	0	—	—
Philip Zinckernagel	F	89	6.71	—	1	2	32	21%	0	—	—
Johan Gomez	F	1	6.48	—	—	0	2	1%	0	—	—
Mauricio Pineda	D	12	5.72	—	—	0	9	8%	0	—	—
N. Allen	D	45	6.15	—	—	0	33	33%	0	—	—
Robin Lod	M	26	5.63	—	—	1	8	7%	0	1	—
Sergio Oregel	M	13	5.78	—	—	0	13	10%	1	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire?

The final score was Toronto FC 4–4 Chicago Fire.

What did the model predict before Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire?

The model assigned 38% probability to a Toronto FC win, 22% to a draw, and 39% to an Chicago Fire win.