MLS
· Regular Season - 6
April 04, 2026 19:00
R. Laryea
(ast. J. Sargent)
65'
Z. Steffen
77'
(og)
J. Sargent
(ast. A. Coello)
85'
51'
P. Aaronson
54'
K. Rosenberry
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Toronto FC a 35% win probability (draw 30%, Colorado Rapids 34%). The final result was Toronto FC 3–2 Colorado Rapids.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
4
5
Shots on target
4
1.71
Actual xG
0.47
2
Saves
3
54%
Possession
46%
7
Corners
4
15
Tackles
22
3
🟨 Yellow cards
5
1
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
33'
35'
Jackson Travis
36'
K. Rosenberry
/
D. Sealy
Walker Zimmerman
41'
48'
Raheem Edwards
49'
51'
P. Aaronson⚽
D. Kerr
/ Matheus Pereira
52'
54'
K. Rosenberry⚽
W. Zimmerman
/ Z. Monlouis
56'
64'
Miguel Navarro
⚽R. Laryea
· ast. J. Sargent
65'
Zane Monlouis
69'
73'
Josh Atencio
74'
Miguel Navarro
74'
Miguel Navarro
74'
A. Manyoma
/
J. Atencio
⚽Z. Steffen
(og)
77'
84'
D. Yapi
/
Rafael Navarro
84'
N. Cobb
/
P. Aaronson
84'
I. Murphy
/
⚽J. Sargent
· ast. A. Coello
85'
Richie Laryea
86'
89'
Noah Cobb
90'+2
Hamzat Ojediran
J. Sargent
/ E. Aristizabal
90'
Pre-match prediction
35.03%
Toronto ←
30.1%
X
34.87%
Colorado
we assigned to the actual result (Toronto FC)
35.03%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.54
1.71
+0.17
1.60
0.47
-1.13
Toronto FC dominated by xG (1.71 vs 0.47).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Luka Gavran
G
Luka Gavran
G
44
R. Edwards
49'
D
R. Edwards
49'
D
13
Benjamin Kuscevic
D
Benjamin Kuscevic
D
25
Walker Zimmerman
56'
D
Walker Zimmerman
56'
D
22
Richie Laryea
1 ⚽
D
Richie Laryea
1 ⚽
D
21
Jonathan Osorio
M
Jonathan Osorio
M
14
Alonso Coello
1 👟
M
Alonso Coello
1 👟
M
20
Dániel Sallói
M
Dániel Sallói
M
8
J. Cifuentes
M
29
Deandre Kerr
52'
M
Deandre Kerr
52'
M
9
Josh Sargent
1 ⚽
1 👟
89'
F
Josh Sargent
1 ⚽
1 👟
89'
F
Bench
11
Derrick Etienne
F
Derrick Etienne
F
17
Emilio Aristizábal
13'
F
Emilio Aristizábal
13'
F
19
Kobe Franklin
D
Kobe Franklin
D
78
Malik Henry
M
Malik Henry
M
3
Matheus Pereira
38'
D
71
M. Cimermancic
M
12
Zane Monlouis
34'
D
Zane Monlouis
34'
D
1
Z. Steffen
1 ⚽
G
29
M. Navarro
74'
D
M. Navarro
74'
D
22
Lucas Herrington
D
Lucas Herrington
D
6
R. Holding
D
R. Holding
D
99
12
J. Atencio
74'
M
J. Atencio
74'
M
8
H. Ojediran
M
H. Ojediran
M
10
Paxten Aaronson
1 ⚽
84'
M
Paxten Aaronson
1 ⚽
84'
M
13
W. Frederick II
M
W. Frederick II
M
7
D. Sealy
36'
M
D. Sealy
36'
M
9
Rafael Navarro
84'
F
Rafael Navarro
84'
F
Bench
11
Alexis Manyoma
10'
M
Alexis Manyoma
10'
M
77
Darren Yapi
19'
F
Darren Yapi
19'
F
2
Keegan Rosenberry
1 ⚽
54'
D
Keegan Rosenberry
1 ⚽
54'
D
41
Nicholas Defreitas-Hansen
G
Nicholas Defreitas-Hansen
G
24
Noah Cobb
19'
D
Noah Cobb
19'
D
Best on the pitch
Josh Sargent
F · Toronto
8.00
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 10 pass
Richie Laryea
D · Toronto
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 49 pass
Luka Gavran
G · Toronto
7.30
· 18 pass
Keegan Rosenberry
D · Colorado
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 21 pass
Matheus Pereira
D · Toronto
7.30
1 shots
· 23 pass
Rafael Navarro
F · Colorado
7.30
1 shots
· 19 pass
Toronto FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Gavran | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | — | — | — |
| R. Edwards | D | 49 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 22 | 17% | 2 | — | 1 |
| Benjamin Kuscevic | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 48% | — | — | — |
| Walker Zimmerman | D | 56 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 25% | — | 1 | — |
| Richie Laryea | D | 90 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 49 | 41% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Jonathan Osorio | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 75 | 70% | 1 | — | — |
| Alonso Coello | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 72 | 65% | 2 | — | — |
| Dániel Sallói | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 25 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Cifuentes | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| Deandre Kerr | M | 52 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Josh Sargent | F | 89 | 8.00 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Emilio Aristizábal | F | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Matheus Pereira | D | 38 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Zane Monlouis | D | 34 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 29 | 28% | 1 | 1 | — |
Colorado Rapids — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Steffen | G | 90 | 5.90 | 1 | — | — | 37 | 33% | — | — | — |
| M. Navarro | D | 74 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 29 | 25% | 4 | 2 | 1 |
| Lucas Herrington | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 75 | 67% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Holding | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 73 | 65% | 2 | — | — |
| — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||
| J. Atencio | M | 74 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 41 | 36% | 2 | 1 | — |
| H. Ojediran | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 44 | 38% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Paxten Aaronson | M | 84 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 15 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| W. Frederick II | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 18 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Sealy | M | 36 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 11 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Rafael Navarro | F | 84 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| Alexis Manyoma | M | 10 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| Darren Yapi | F | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Keegan Rosenberry | D | 54 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 21 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Noah Cobb | D | 19 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 14 | 7% | 3 | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Toronto FC vs Colorado Rapids?
The final score was Toronto FC 3–2 Colorado Rapids.
What did the model predict before Toronto FC vs Colorado Rapids?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Toronto FC win, 30% to a draw, and 34% to an Colorado Rapids win.