Toronto FC 3–2 Colorado Rapids — pre-match prediction — MLS — April 04, 2026

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MLS · Regular Season - 6 April 04, 2026 19:00

Toronto FC

#13 · 29 pts

3 – 2

Final score

Colorado Rapids

#8 · 36 pts

R. Laryea (ast. J. Sargent) 65'

Z. Steffen 77' (og)

J. Sargent (ast. A. Coello) 85'

51' P. Aaronson

54' K. Rosenberry

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Toronto FC a 35% win probability (draw 30%, Colorado Rapids 34%). The final result was Toronto FC 3–2 Colorado Rapids.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.71

Actual xG

0.47

Saves

54%

Possession

46%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

🟥 Red cards

Match Events

33'

35'

Jackson Travis

36'

K. Rosenberry / D. Sealy ↕

Walker Zimmerman

41'

48'

Raheem Edwards

49'

51'

P. Aaronson⚽

↕ D. Kerr / Matheus Pereira

52'

54'

K. Rosenberry⚽

↕ W. Zimmerman / Z. Monlouis

56'

64'

Miguel Navarro

⚽R. Laryea · ast. J. Sargent

65'

Zane Monlouis

69'

73'

Josh Atencio

74'

Miguel Navarro

74'

Miguel Navarro

74'

A. Manyoma / J. Atencio ↕

⚽Z. Steffen (og)

77'

84'

D. Yapi / Rafael Navarro ↕

84'

N. Cobb / P. Aaronson ↕

84'

I. Murphy / ↕

⚽J. Sargent · ast. A. Coello

85'

Richie Laryea

86'

89'

Noah Cobb

90'+2

Hamzat Ojediran

↕ J. Sargent / E. Aristizabal

90'

Pre-match prediction

35.03%

Toronto ←

30.1%

34.87%

Colorado

we assigned to the actual result (Toronto FC) 35.03% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Toronto

1.54

1.71

+0.17

Colorado

1.60

0.47

-1.13

Toronto FC dominated by xG (1.71 vs 0.47). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	60
2	New England Revolution	27	46
3	Inter Miami	27	46
4	Charlotte	27	43
5	Chicago Fire	26	42
6	Philadelphia Union	27	39
7	Orlando City SC	27	34
8	New York Red Bulls	27	33
9	New York City FC	27	33
10	FC Cincinnati	26	33
11	DC United	26	30
12	Columbus Crew	27	29
13	Toronto FC	27	29
14	Atlanta United FC	27	27
15	CF Montreal	27	24

Lineups

Toronto FC 4-2-3-1

L. Gavran G 7.30

R. Edwards 49' D 5.60

Benjamin Kuscevic D 6.20

W. Zimmerman 56' D 6.00

Richie Laryea 1 ⚽ D 7.60

J. Osorio M 7.30

Alonso Coello 1 👟 M 7.20

D. Sallói M 6.60

J. Cifuentes M 6.50

Deandre Kerr 52' M 6.50

J. Sargent 1 ⚽ 1 👟 89' F 8.00

Bench

D. Etienne F

Emilio Aristizábal Chavarriaga 13' F 6.30

K. Franklin D

Malik Henry M

Markus Cimermancic M

Matheus Pereira 38' D 7.30

Z. Monlouis 34' D 6.70

Colorado Rapids 4-2-3-1

Z. Steffen 1 ⚽ G 5.90

M. Navarro 74' D 6.50

Lucas Herrington D 7.00

R. Holding D 6.90

J. Atencio 74' M 6.30

H. Ojediran M 6.70

P. Aaronson 1 ⚽ 84' M 7.30

W. Frederick II M 6.60

D. Sealy 36' M 6.50

Rafael Navarro 84' F 7.30

Bench

A. Castillo Manyoma 10' M 6.50

D. Yapi 19' F 6.30

K. Rosenberry 1 ⚽ 54' D 7.30

N. Cobb 19' D 6.50

N. Defreitas G

Best on the pitch

J. Sargent

F · Toronto

8.00

1 ⚽ 1 👟

2 shots · 10 pass

Richie Laryea

D · Toronto

7.60

1 ⚽

1 shots · 49 pass

L. Gavran

G · Toronto

7.30

· 18 pass

K. Rosenberry

D · Colorado

7.30

1 ⚽

1 shots · 21 pass

Matheus Pereira

D · Toronto

7.30

1 shots · 23 pass

Rafael Navarro

F · Colorado

7.30

1 shots · 19 pass

Toronto FC — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
L. Gavran	G	90	7.30	—	—	—	18	15%	—	—	—
R. Edwards	D	49	5.60	—	—	—	22	17%	2	—	1
Benjamin Kuscevic	D	90	6.20	—	—	1	52	48%	—	—	—
W. Zimmerman	D	56	6.00	—	—	1	30	25%	—	1	—
Richie Laryea	D	90	7.60	1	—	1	49	41%	3	1	—
J. Osorio	M	90	7.30	—	—	—	75	70%	1	—	—
Alonso Coello	M	90	7.20	—	1	1	72	65%	2	—	—
D. Sallói	M	90	6.60	—	—	3	25	19%	3	—	—
J. Cifuentes	M	90	6.50	—	—	1	54	39%	1	—	—
Deandre Kerr	M	52	6.50	—	—	1	12	10%	—	—	—
J. Sargent	F	89	8.00	1	1	2	10	8%	1	—	—
Emilio Aristizábal Chavarriaga	F	13	6.30	—	—	1	3	3%	1	—	—
Matheus Pereira	D	38	7.30	—	—	1	23	21%	—	—	—
Z. Monlouis	D	34	6.70	—	—	—	29	28%	1	1	—

Colorado Rapids — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Z. Steffen	G	90	5.90	1	—	—	37	33%	—	—	—
M. Navarro	D	74	6.50	—	—	—	29	25%	4	2	1
Lucas Herrington	D	90	7.00	—	—	—	75	67%	2	—	—
R. Holding	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	73	65%	2	—	—
		—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
J. Atencio	M	74	6.30	—	—	—	41	36%	2	1	—
H. Ojediran	M	90	6.70	—	—	—	44	38%	3	1	—
P. Aaronson	M	84	7.30	1	—	2	15	9%	1	—	—
W. Frederick II	M	90	6.60	—	—	—	18	13%	1	—	—
D. Sealy	M	36	6.50	—	—	—	11	11%	—	—	—
Rafael Navarro	F	84	7.30	—	—	1	19	16%	3	—	—
A. Castillo Manyoma	M	10	6.50	—	—	—	2	—	—	—	—
D. Yapi	F	19	6.30	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—
K. Rosenberry	D	54	7.30	1	—	1	21	17%	1	—	—
N. Cobb	D	19	6.50	—	—	—	14	7%	3	1	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Toronto FC vs Colorado Rapids?

The final score was Toronto FC 3–2 Colorado Rapids.

What did the model predict before Toronto FC vs Colorado Rapids?

The model assigned 35% probability to a Toronto FC win, 30% to a draw, and 34% to an Colorado Rapids win.