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MLS · Regular Season - 5 March 21, 2026 19:00
Toronto FC
#10 · 14 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Columbus Crew
#13 · 12 pts

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Toronto FC a 38% win probability (draw 31%, Columbus Crew 30%). The final result was Toronto FC 2–1 Columbus Crew.

Match statistics
7
Shots on target
4
0.91
Actual xG
0.68
44%
Possession
56%
10
Corners
7
Pre-match prediction
38.32%
Toronto ←
31.3%
X
30.38%
Columbus
we assigned to the actual result (Toronto FC) 38.32% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Toronto
1.54
0.91
-0.63
Columbus
0.87
0.68
-0.19
xG dominance was balanced (0.91 – 0.68). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 12 29
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 12 27
2 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 13 29
2 Inter Miami Inter Miami 13 25
3 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 11 24
3 New England Revolution New England Revolution 12 22
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 12 20
4 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 12 22
5 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 13 21
5 New York City FC New York City FC 13 18
6 Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 13 21
6 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 13 18
7 DC United DC United 13 16
7 FC Dallas FC Dallas 13 19
8 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 12 18
8 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 13 16
9 Charlotte Charlotte 13 15
9 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 13 16
10 San Diego San Diego 13 16
10 Toronto FC Toronto FC 12 14
11 CF Montreal CF Montreal 12 13
11 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 13 16
12 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 13 13
12 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 12 14
13 Austin Austin 13 14
13 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 13 12
14 St. Louis City St. Louis City 12 12
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 12 10
15 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 12 8
15 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 13 6
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Toronto FC vs Columbus Crew?
The final score was Toronto FC 2–1 Columbus Crew.
What did the model predict before Toronto FC vs Columbus Crew?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Toronto FC win, 31% to a draw, and 30% to an Columbus Crew win.