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MLS · Regular Season - 5 March 21, 2026 18:00
Toronto FC
#12 · 29 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Columbus Crew
#13 · 26 pts
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Toronto FC a 38% win probability (draw 31%, Columbus Crew 30%). The final result was Toronto FC 2–1 Columbus Crew.

Match statistics
7
Shots on target
4
0.91
Actual xG
0.68
44%
Possession
56%
10
Corners
7
Pre-match prediction
38.32%
Toronto ←
31.3%
X
30.38%
Columbus
we assigned to the actual result (Toronto FC) 38.32% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Toronto
1.54
0.91
-0.63
Columbus
0.87
0.68
-0.19
xG dominance was balanced (0.91 – 0.68). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 26 57
2 New England Revolution New England Revolution 26 46
3 Inter Miami Inter Miami 26 46
4 Charlotte Charlotte 26 43
5 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 25 39
6 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 26 36
7 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 26 34
8 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 26 33
9 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 25 33
10 New York City FC New York City FC 26 32
11 DC United DC United 25 29
12 Toronto FC Toronto FC 26 29
13 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 26 26
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 26 26
15 CF Montreal CF Montreal 26 21
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Toronto FC vs Columbus Crew?
The final score was Toronto FC 2–1 Columbus Crew.
What did the model predict before Toronto FC vs Columbus Crew?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Toronto FC win, 31% to a draw, and 30% to an Columbus Crew win.