MLS
· Regular Season - 19
August 16, 2026 01:30
W. Sands
43'
(og)
N. Dorsch
(ast. D. Mihailovic)
45'+6
90'
(ast. J. Harrison)
W. Harris
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Toronto FC a 43% win probability (draw 26%, New England Revolution 29%). The final result was Toronto FC 2–1 New England Revolution. In 1 previous meetings, Toronto FC have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for New England Revolution.
Match statistics
1
Shots on target
7
0.24
Actual xG
2.22
29%
Possession
71%
0
Corners
9
Match Events
25'
B. Raines
40'
G. Yow
/
P. Miller
⚽W. Sands
(og)
43'
⚽N. Dorsch
· ast. D. Mihailovic
45'+6
73'
W. Harris
/
D. Turgeman
W. Zimmerman
74'
D. Mihailovic
76'
81'
M. Zambrano
/
M. Polster
T. Corbeanu
/ Z. Monlouis
81'
D. Salloi
/ A. Coello
81'
86'
D. Fagundez
/
B. Raines
J. Sargent
/ E. Aristizabal
90'+1
M. Cimermancic
/ K. Franklin
90'+1
90'
ast. J. Harrison ·
W. Harris⚽
Pre-match prediction
43.32%
Toronto ←
26.77%
X
29.91%
New
we assigned to the actual result (Toronto FC)
43.32%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.24
0.24
-1.0
1.03
2.22
+1.19
New England Revolution dominated by xG (2.22 vs 0.24).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Toronto FC vs New England Revolution?
The final score was Toronto FC 2–1 New England Revolution.
What did the model predict before Toronto FC vs New England Revolution?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Toronto FC win, 26% to a draw, and 29% to an New England Revolution win.