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MLS · Regular Season - 22 August 30, 2026 01:30
Toronto FC
#10 · 29 pts
1 – 1
Final score
New York City FC
#9 · 29 pts
D. Salloi (ast. T. Corbeanu) 70'
29' (ast. A. Ojeda) N. Mercau
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Toronto FC a 40% win probability (draw 26%, New York City FC 33%). The final result was Toronto FC 1–1 New York City FC. In 1 previous meetings, Toronto FC have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for New York City FC.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
5
6
Shots on target
2
0.73
Actual xG
0.36
1
Saves
5
41%
Possession
59%
7
Corners
2
9
Tackles
15
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
B. Kuscevic
18'
29'
ast. A. Ojeda · N. Mercau⚽
40'
N. Mercau
54'
A. Perea
↕ D. Etienne / D. Salloi
55'
↕ K. Franklin / Matheus Pereira
55'
D. Mihailovic
59'
63'
Raul Gustavo / B. Traore ↕
63'
K. O'Toole / N. Cavallo ↕
Matheus Pereira
64'
⚽D. Salloi · ast. T. Corbeanu
70'
75'
M. Jones / Thiago Martins ↕
77'
J. Shore / K. Parks ↕
90'+1
J. Shore
Pre-match prediction
40.11%
Toronto
26.43%
X ←
33.46%
New
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 26.43% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Toronto
1.26
0.73
-0.52
New
1.16
0.36
-0.8
Toronto FC dominated by xG (0.73 vs 0.36). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 24 53
2 Inter Miami Inter Miami 24 44
3 New England Revolution New England Revolution 24 40
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 23 39
5 Charlotte Charlotte 24 39
6 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 24 31
7 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 23 31
8 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 24 30
9 New York City FC New York City FC 24 29
10 Toronto FC Toronto FC 24 29
11 DC United DC United 23 28
12 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 24 27
13 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 24 23
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 24 22
15 CF Montreal CF Montreal 24 21
Lineups
Toronto FC Toronto FC 4-2-3-1
1 L. Gavran L. Gavran G 6.70
22 R. Laryea R. Laryea D 7.00
13 B. Kuscevic B. Kuscevic D 6.30
25 W. Zimmerman W. Zimmerman D 7.50
19 K. Franklin K. Franklin 55' D 6.30
14 Alonso Coello Alonso Coello M 7.00
71 M. Cimermancic M. Cimermancic M 6.60
11 D. Etienne D. Etienne 55' M 6.30
10 D. Mihailović D. Mihailović M 6.30
7 T. Corbeanu T. Corbeanu 1 👟 M 7.20
9 J. Sargent J. Sargent F 6.70
Bench
20 D. Sallói D. Sallói 1 ⚽ 35' F 7.70
17 Emilio Aristizábal Chavarriaga Emilio Aristizábal Chavarriaga F
38 J. Gilman J. Gilman D
99 Jules-Anthony Vilsaint Jules-Anthony Vilsaint F
3 Matheus Pereira Matheus Pereira 35' D 6.90
15 N. Gomis N. Gomis D
44 R. Edwards R. Edwards D
23 W. Yarbrough W. Yarbrough G
12 Z. Monlouis Z. Monlouis D
New York City FC New York City FC 4-3-3
49 M. Freese M. Freese G 6.60
2 Nico Cavallo Nico Cavallo 63' D 7.30
6 J. Sands J. Sands D 6.30
13 Thiago Martins Thiago Martins 75' D 6.90
35 M. Ilenič M. Ilenič D 6.90
8 A. Perea A. Perea M 6.20
7 N. Fernández Mercau N. Fernández Mercau 1 ⚽ M 8.20
55 Keaton Parks Keaton Parks 77' M 6.60
9 B. Traoré B. Traoré 63' F 6.90
20 Luighi Hanri Luighi Hanri F 6.20
26 A. Ojeda A. Ojeda 1 👟 F 6.60
Bench
27 Cooper Flax Cooper Flax M
18 Gregory Ranjitsingh Gregory Ranjitsingh G
32 J. Shore J. Shore 13' M 6.90
22 K. O'Toole K. O'Toole 27' D 6.20
23 Maxwell Murray Maxwell Murray D
88 M. Jones M. Jones 15' F 6.30
34 Raul Gustavo Raul Gustavo 27' D 6.30
24 T. Gray T. Gray D
30 T. Romero T. Romero G
Best on the pitch
N. Fernández Mercau
N. Fernández Mercau
M · New
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 58 pass
D. Sallói
D. Sallói
F · Toronto
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 12 pass
W. Zimmerman
W. Zimmerman
D · Toronto
7.50
2 shots · 48 pass
Nico Cavallo
Nico Cavallo
D · New
7.30
· 30 pass
T. Corbeanu
T. Corbeanu
M · Toronto
7.20
1 👟
1 shots · 21 pass
R. Laryea
R. Laryea
D · Toronto
7.00
· 28 pass
Toronto FC Toronto FC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
L. Gavran G 90 6.70 — — — 32 27% — — —
R. Laryea D 90 7.00 — — — 28 24% 2 — —
B. Kuscevic D 90 6.30 — — 1 56 52% — 1 —
W. Zimmerman D 90 7.50 — — 2 48 45% 3 — —
K. Franklin D 55 6.30 — — — 16 13% 1 — —
Alonso Coello M 90 7.00 — — 2 52 44% 1 — —
M. Cimermancic M 90 6.60 — — — 34 31% — — —
D. Etienne M 55 6.30 — — — 12 7% — — —
D. Mihailović M 90 6.30 — — 3 24 19% — 1 —
T. Corbeanu M 90 7.20 — 1 1 21 16% 2 — —
J. Sargent F 90 6.70 — — — 13 8% — — —
D. Sallói F 35 7.70 1 — 1 12 11% — — —
Matheus Pereira D 35 6.90 — — 1 15 14% — 1 —
New York City FC New York City FC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Freese G 90 6.60 — — — 28 23% — — —
Nico Cavallo D 63 7.30 — — — 30 28% 4 — —
J. Sands D 90 6.30 — — — 90 81% 1 — —
Thiago Martins D 75 6.90 — — — 81 76% 2 — —
M. Ilenič D 90 6.90 — — 1 49 46% 2 — —
A. Perea M 90 6.20 — — 1 49 40% 1 1 —
N. Fernández Mercau M 90 8.20 1 — 1 58 49% 1 1 —
Keaton Parks M 77 6.60 — — — 51 46% — — —
B. Traoré F 63 6.90 — — — 23 22% 1 — —
Luighi Hanri F 90 6.20 — — 2 14 12% 1 — —
A. Ojeda F 90 6.60 — 1 — 23 20% — — —
J. Shore M 13 6.90 — — — 16 13% — 1 —
K. O'Toole D 27 6.20 — — — 17 15% 1 — —
M. Jones F 15 6.30 — — — 5 3% — — —
Raul Gustavo D 27 6.30 — — — 18 17% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Toronto FC vs New York City FC?
The final score was Toronto FC 1–1 New York City FC.
What did the model predict before Toronto FC vs New York City FC?
The model assigned 40% probability to a Toronto FC win, 26% to a draw, and 33% to an New York City FC win.