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MLS · Regular Season - 11 May 02, 2026 19:00
Toronto FC
#10 · 29 pts
1 – 1
Final score
San Jose Earthquakes
#5 · 38 pts
D. Salloi (ast. J. Osorio) 2'
13' (ast. N. Tsakiris) P. Judd
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Toronto FC a 37% win probability (draw 28%, San Jose Earthquakes 34%). The final result was Toronto FC 1–1 San Jose Earthquakes.

Match statistics
5
Total shots
9
2
Shots on target
4
1.01
Actual xG
1.02
3
Saves
0
49%
Possession
51%
8
Corners
10
16
Tackles
16
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽D. Salloi · ast. J. Osorio
2'
13'
ast. N. Tsakiris · P. Judd⚽
17'
B. Leroux
37'
R. Vieira
↕ L. Stefanovic / M. Chisholm
46'
54'
N. Fernandez / N. Tsakiris ↕
66'
P. Marie / P. Judd ↕
66'
I. Harkes / J. Skahan ↕
↕ M. Henry / D. Etienne
67'
↕ E. Aristizabal / D. Kerr
68'
J. Osorio
75'
↕ M. Cimermancic / A. Bossenberry
75'
A. Coello
90'+1
↕ Z. Monlouis / W. Zimmerman
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
37.01%
Toronto
28.1%
X ←
34.89%
San
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 28.1% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Toronto
1.86
1.01
-0.85
San
1.58
1.02
-0.56
xG dominance was balanced (1.01 – 1.02). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 24 53
2 Inter Miami Inter Miami 24 44
3 New England Revolution New England Revolution 24 40
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 23 39
5 Charlotte Charlotte 24 39
6 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 24 31
7 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 23 31
8 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 24 30
9 New York City FC New York City FC 24 29
10 Toronto FC Toronto FC 24 29
11 DC United DC United 23 28
12 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 24 27
13 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 24 23
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 24 22
15 CF Montreal CF Montreal 24 21
Lineups
Toronto FC Toronto FC 4-2-3-1
1 L. Gavran L. Gavran G 7.20
44 R. Edwards R. Edwards D 7.20
76
L. Stefanovic 45' D 6.50
12 Z. Monlouis Z. Monlouis 89' D 6.70
19 K. Franklin K. Franklin D 7.20
21 J. Osorio J. Osorio 1 👟 M 6.60
14 Alonso Coello Alonso Coello M 6.90
20 D. Sallói D. Sallói 1 ⚽ M 7.60
71 M. Cimermancic M. Cimermancic 75' M 6.20
78 Malik Henry Malik Henry 67' M 6.20
17 Emilio Aristizábal Chavarriaga Emilio Aristizábal Chavarriaga 68' F 6.30
Bench
29 Deandre Kerr Deandre Kerr 22' F 6.70
11 D. Etienne D. Etienne 23' F 6.60
25 W. Zimmerman W. Zimmerman 1' D
San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 4-2-3-1
42 Daniel Daniel G 6.70
2 J. Ricketts J. Ricketts D 7.00
18 R. Roberts R. Roberts D 8.50
5
D 6.90
28 B. Kikanovic B. Kikanovic D 7.30
34 Beau Leroux Beau Leroux M 7.00
14 R. Vieira R. Vieira M 6.90
16 J. Skahan J. Skahan 66' M 6.30
10 N. Tsakiris N. Tsakiris 1 👟 54' M 6.70
7 O. Bouda O. Bouda M 6.20
19 P. Judd P. Judd 1 ⚽ 66' F 7.50
Bench
4 D. Romney D. Romney D
6 I. Harkes I. Harkes 24' M 6.70
17 Jack Jasinski Jack Jasinski D
40 Jonathan Gonzalez Jonathan Gonzalez M
25 M. Floriani M. Floriani D
20 N. Fernandez N. Fernandez 36' M 6.60
32 Nonso Adimabua Nonso Adimabua F
3 Paul Marie Paul Marie 24' D 6.30
Best on the pitch
R. Roberts
R. Roberts
D · San
8.50
· 82 pass
D. Sallói
D. Sallói
M · Toronto
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots · 26 pass
P. Judd
P. Judd
F · San
7.50
1 ⚽
3 shots · 4 pass
B. Kikanovic
B. Kikanovic
D · San
7.30
· 39 pass
L. Gavran
L. Gavran
G · Toronto
7.20
· 38 pass
R. Edwards
R. Edwards
D · Toronto
7.20
· 34 pass
Toronto FC Toronto FC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
L. Gavran G 90 7.20 — — — 38 27% — — —
R. Edwards D 90 7.20 — — — 34 24% 7 — —
L. Stefanovic D 45 6.50 — — — 25 20% — — —
Z. Monlouis D 89 6.70 — — 1 38 31% 1 — —
K. Franklin D 90 7.20 — — — 31 28% 3 — —
J. Osorio M 90 6.60 — 1 1 39 38% — 1 —
Alonso Coello M 90 6.90 — — — 54 43% 1 1 —
D. Sallói M 90 7.60 1 — 2 26 17% 1 — —
M. Cimermancic M 75 6.20 — — — 34 32% 1 — —
Malik Henry M 67 6.20 — — — 21 13% 1 — —
Emilio Aristizábal Chavarriaga F 68 6.30 — — 1 19 15% — — —
Deandre Kerr F 22 6.70 — — — 4 3% — — —
D. Etienne F 23 6.60 — — — 11 7% 1 — —
W. Zimmerman D 1 — — — — — — — — —
San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Daniel G 90 6.70 — — — 23 20% — — —
J. Ricketts D 90 7.00 — — — 42 37% — — —
R. Roberts D 90 8.50 — — — 82 69% 3 — —
D 90 6.90 — — — 51 45% 1 — —
B. Kikanovic D 90 7.30 — — — 39 34% 2 — —
Beau Leroux M 90 7.00 — — 1 33 26% 3 1 —
R. Vieira M 90 6.90 — — 1 46 39% 2 1 —
J. Skahan M 66 6.30 — — 1 19 16% 1 — —
N. Tsakiris M 54 6.70 — 1 1 29 20% 1 — —
O. Bouda M 90 6.20 — — 1 24 16% 3 — —
P. Judd F 66 7.50 1 — 3 4 4% — — —
I. Harkes M 24 6.70 — — 1 11 11% — — —
N. Fernandez M 36 6.60 — — — 12 5% — — —
Paul Marie D 24 6.30 — — — 7 5% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Toronto FC vs San Jose Earthquakes?
The final score was Toronto FC 1–1 San Jose Earthquakes.
What did the model predict before Toronto FC vs San Jose Earthquakes?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Toronto FC win, 28% to a draw, and 34% to an San Jose Earthquakes win.