MLS
· Regular Season - 11
May 02, 2026 19:00
D. Salloi
(ast. J. Osorio)
2'
13'
(ast. N. Tsakiris)
P. Judd
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Toronto FC a 37% win probability (draw 28%, San Jose Earthquakes 34%). The final result was Toronto FC 1–1 San Jose Earthquakes.
Match statistics
5
Total shots
9
2
Shots on target
4
1.01
Actual xG
1.02
3
Saves
0
49%
Possession
51%
8
Corners
10
16
Tackles
16
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽D. Salloi
· ast. J. Osorio
2'
13'
ast. N. Tsakiris ·
P. Judd⚽
17'
B. Leroux
37'
R. Vieira
L. Stefanovic
/ M. Chisholm
46'
54'
N. Fernandez
/
N. Tsakiris
66'
P. Marie
/
P. Judd
66'
I. Harkes
/
J. Skahan
M. Henry
/ D. Etienne
67'
E. Aristizabal
/ D. Kerr
68'
J. Osorio
75'
M. Cimermancic
/ A. Bossenberry
75'
A. Coello
90'+1
Z. Monlouis
/ W. Zimmerman
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
37.01%
Toronto
28.1%
X ←
34.89%
San
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
28.1%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.86
1.01
-0.85
1.58
1.02
-0.56
xG dominance was balanced (1.01 – 1.02).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Luka Gavran
G
Luka Gavran
G
44
R. Edwards
D
R. Edwards
D
76
L. Stefanovic
45'
D
12
Zane Monlouis
89'
D
Zane Monlouis
89'
D
19
Kobe Franklin
D
Kobe Franklin
D
21
Jonathan Osorio
1 👟
M
Jonathan Osorio
1 👟
M
14
Alonso Coello
M
Alonso Coello
M
20
Dániel Sallói
1 ⚽
M
Dániel Sallói
1 ⚽
M
71
M. Cimermancic
75'
M
78
Malik Henry
67'
M
Malik Henry
67'
M
17
Emilio Aristizábal
68'
F
Emilio Aristizábal
68'
F
Bench
11
Derrick Etienne
23'
F
Derrick Etienne
23'
F
29
D. Kerr
22'
F
25
Walker Zimmerman
1'
D
Walker Zimmerman
1'
D
42
Daniel
G
Daniel
G
2
Jamar Ricketts
D
Jamar Ricketts
D
18
Reid Roberts
D
Reid Roberts
D
5
D
28
Benjamin Kikanović
D
Benjamin Kikanović
D
34
Beau Leroux
M
Beau Leroux
M
14
Ronaldo Vieira
M
Ronaldo Vieira
M
16
Jack Skahan
66'
M
Jack Skahan
66'
M
10
N. Tsakiris
1 👟
54'
M
N. Tsakiris
1 👟
54'
M
7
Ousseni Bouda
M
19
P. Judd
1 ⚽
66'
F
P. Judd
1 ⚽
66'
F
Bench
4
Dave Romney
D
Dave Romney
D
6
Ian Harkes
24'
M
Ian Harkes
24'
M
17
Jack Jasinski
D
Jack Jasinski
D
40
Jonathan Gonzalez
M
Jonathan Gonzalez
M
25
Max Floriani
D
Max Floriani
D
20
Nick Fernandez
36'
M
Nick Fernandez
36'
M
32
Nonso Adimabua
F
Nonso Adimabua
F
3
Paul Marie
24'
D
Paul Marie
24'
D
Best on the pitch
Reid Roberts
D · San
8.50
· 82 pass
Dániel Sallói
M · Toronto
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 26 pass
P. Judd
F · San
7.50
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 4 pass
Benjamin Kikanović
D · San
7.30
· 39 pass
Luka Gavran
G · Toronto
7.20
· 38 pass
R. Edwards
D · Toronto
7.20
· 34 pass
Toronto FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Gavran | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 38 | 27% | — | — | — |
| R. Edwards | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 24% | 7 | — | — |
| L. Stefanovic | D | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 25 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Zane Monlouis | D | 89 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Kobe Franklin | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 28% | 3 | — | — |
| Jonathan Osorio | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | 1 | 1 | 39 | 38% | — | 1 | — |
| Alonso Coello | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 54 | 43% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Dániel Sallói | M | 90 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 26 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Cimermancic | M | 75 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| Malik Henry | M | 67 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Emilio Aristizábal | F | 68 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Derrick Etienne | F | 23 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Kerr | F | 22 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Walker Zimmerman | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
San Jose Earthquakes — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel | G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 23 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Jamar Ricketts | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 42 | 37% | — | — | — |
| Reid Roberts | D | 90 | 8.50 | — | — | — | 82 | 69% | 3 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 51 | 45% | 1 | — | — | |
| Benjamin Kikanović | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 39 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| Beau Leroux | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 26% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Ronaldo Vieira | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 39% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Jack Skahan | M | 66 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Tsakiris | M | 54 | 6.70 | — | 1 | 1 | 29 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Ousseni Bouda | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| P. Judd | F | 66 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 3 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Ian Harkes | M | 24 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Nick Fernandez | M | 36 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 12 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Paul Marie | D | 24 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Toronto FC vs San Jose Earthquakes?
The final score was Toronto FC 1–1 San Jose Earthquakes.
What did the model predict before Toronto FC vs San Jose Earthquakes?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Toronto FC win, 28% to a draw, and 34% to an San Jose Earthquakes win.