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MLS · Regular Season - 11 May 02, 2026 19:00
Toronto FC
#10 · 14 pts
1 – 1
Final score
San Jose Earthquakes
#2 · 29 pts
D. Salloi (ast. J. Osorio) 2'
13' (ast. N. Tsakiris) P. Judd

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Toronto FC a 37% win probability (draw 28%, San Jose Earthquakes 34%). The final result was Toronto FC 1–1 San Jose Earthquakes.

Match statistics
5
Total shots
9
2
Shots on target
4
1.01
Actual xG
1.02
3
Saves
0
49%
Possession
51%
8
Corners
10
16
Tackles
16
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽D. Salloi · ast. J. Osorio
2'
13'
ast. N. Tsakiris · P. Judd⚽
17'
B. Leroux
37'
R. Vieira
↕ L. Stefanovic / M. Chisholm
46'
54'
N. Fernandez / N. Tsakiris ↕
66'
P. Marie / P. Judd ↕
66'
I. Harkes / J. Skahan ↕
↕ M. Henry / D. Etienne
67'
↕ E. Aristizabal / D. Kerr
68'
J. Osorio
75'
↕ M. Cimermancic / A. Bossenberry
75'
A. Coello
90'+1
↕ Z. Monlouis / W. Zimmerman
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
37.01%
Toronto
28.1%
X ←
34.89%
San
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 28.1% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Toronto
1.86
1.01
-0.85
San
1.58
1.02
-0.56
xG dominance was balanced (1.01 – 1.02). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 12 29
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 12 27
2 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 13 29
2 Inter Miami Inter Miami 13 25
3 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 11 24
3 New England Revolution New England Revolution 12 22
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 12 20
4 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 12 22
5 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 13 21
5 New York City FC New York City FC 13 18
6 Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 13 21
6 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 13 18
7 DC United DC United 13 16
7 FC Dallas FC Dallas 13 19
8 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 12 18
8 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 13 16
9 Charlotte Charlotte 13 15
9 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 13 16
10 San Diego San Diego 13 16
10 Toronto FC Toronto FC 12 14
11 CF Montreal CF Montreal 12 13
11 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 13 16
12 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 13 13
12 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 12 14
13 Austin Austin 13 14
13 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 13 12
14 St. Louis City St. Louis City 12 12
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 12 10
15 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 12 8
15 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 13 6
Lineups
Toronto FC Toronto FC 4-2-3-1
1
L. Gavran G 7.20
44
Raheem Edwards D 7.20
76
L. Stefanovic 45' D 6.50
12
Zane Monlouis 89' D 6.70
19
K. Franklin D 7.20
21
Jonathan Osorio 1 👟 M 6.60
14
A. Coello M 6.90
20
D. Salloi 1 ⚽ M 7.60
71
M. Cimermancic 75' M 6.20
78
M. Henry 67' M 6.20
17
E. Aristizabal 68' F 6.30
Bench
11
Derrick Etienne Junior 23' F 6.60
29
D. Kerr 22' F 6.70
25
Walker Zimmerman 1' D
San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 4-2-3-1
42 Daniel Daniel G 6.70
2 Jamar Ricketts Jamar Ricketts D 7.00
18 Reid Roberts Reid Roberts D 8.50
5
D 6.90
28 Benjamin Kikanović Benjamin Kikanović D 7.30
34 Beau Leroux Beau Leroux M 7.00
14 Ronaldo Vieira Ronaldo Vieira M 6.90
16 Jack Skahan Jack Skahan 66' M 6.30
10
N. Tsakiris 1 👟 54' M 6.70
7 Ousseni Bouda Ousseni Bouda M 6.20
19 Preston Judd Preston Judd 1 ⚽ 66' F 7.50
Bench
4 Dave Romney Dave Romney D
6 Ian Harkes Ian Harkes 24' M 6.70
17 Jack Jasinski Jack Jasinski D
40 Jonathan Gonzalez Jonathan Gonzalez M
25 Max Floriani Max Floriani D
20 Nick Fernandez Nick Fernandez 36' M 6.60
32 Nonso Adimabua Nonso Adimabua F
3 Paul Marie Paul Marie 24' D 6.30
Best on the pitch
Reid Roberts
Reid Roberts
D · San
8.50
· 82 pass
D. Salloi
M · Toronto
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots · 26 pass
Preston Judd
Preston Judd
F · San
7.50
1 ⚽
3 shots · 4 pass
Benjamin Kikanović
Benjamin Kikanović
D · San
7.30
· 39 pass
L. Gavran
G · Toronto
7.20
· 38 pass
Raheem Edwards
D · Toronto
7.20
· 34 pass
Toronto FC Toronto FC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
L. Gavran G 90 7.20 — — — 38 27% — — —
Raheem Edwards D 90 7.20 — — — 34 24% 7 — —
L. Stefanovic D 45 6.50 — — — 25 20% — — —
Zane Monlouis D 89 6.70 — — 1 38 31% 1 — —
K. Franklin D 90 7.20 — — — 31 28% 3 — —
Jonathan Osorio M 90 6.60 — 1 1 39 38% — 1 —
A. Coello M 90 6.90 — — — 54 43% 1 1 —
D. Salloi M 90 7.60 1 — 2 26 17% 1 — —
M. Cimermancic M 75 6.20 — — — 34 32% 1 — —
M. Henry M 67 6.20 — — — 21 13% 1 — —
E. Aristizabal F 68 6.30 — — 1 19 15% — — —
Derrick Etienne Junior F 23 6.60 — — — 11 7% 1 — —
D. Kerr F 22 6.70 — — — 4 3% — — —
Walker Zimmerman D 1 — — — — — — — — —
San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Daniel G 90 6.70 — — — 23 20% — — —
Jamar Ricketts D 90 7.00 — — — 42 37% — — —
Reid Roberts D 90 8.50 — — — 82 69% 3 — —
D 90 6.90 — — — 51 45% 1 — —
Benjamin Kikanović D 90 7.30 — — — 39 34% 2 — —
Beau Leroux M 90 7.00 — — 1 33 26% 3 1 —
Ronaldo Vieira M 90 6.90 — — 1 46 39% 2 1 —
Jack Skahan M 66 6.30 — — 1 19 16% 1 — —
N. Tsakiris M 54 6.70 — 1 1 29 20% 1 — —
Ousseni Bouda M 90 6.20 — — 1 24 16% 3 — —
Preston Judd F 66 7.50 1 — 3 4 4% — — —
Ian Harkes M 24 6.70 — — 1 11 11% — — —
Nick Fernandez M 36 6.60 — — — 12 5% — — —
Paul Marie D 24 6.30 — — — 7 5% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Toronto FC vs San Jose Earthquakes?
The final score was Toronto FC 1–1 San Jose Earthquakes.
What did the model predict before Toronto FC vs San Jose Earthquakes?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Toronto FC win, 28% to a draw, and 34% to an San Jose Earthquakes win.