Jorge Aguirre de Céspedes
(ast. Javi Vazquez)
13'
Javi Vazquez
(ast. David Bruno)
90'+3
musa drammeh
90'+5
41'
(ast. Zhirayr Shaghoyan)
Karen Muradyan
58'
(ast. Artur Serobyan)
Bruno Wilson
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Torreense a 49% win probability (draw 26%, Ararat-Armenia 24%). The final result was Torreense 3–2 Ararat-Armenia.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
19
5
Shots on target
8
1.77
Actual xG
1.66
6
Saves
2
42%
Possession
58%
4
Corners
6
11
Tackles
10
2
🟨 Yellow cards
5
1
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽Jorge Aguirre de Céspedes
· ast. Javi Vazquez
13'
22'
Jorge Aguirre de Céspedes
25'
Karem Zoabi
/ musa drammeh
36'
41'
ast. Zhirayr Shaghoyan ·
Karen Muradyan⚽
43'
Bruno Wilson
45'+2
Karen Muradyan
Volnei Feltes
45'+2
48'
Bernardo Oliveira
58'
ast. Artur Serobyan ·
Bruno Wilson⚽
Manuel Pozo
/ L. Quintero
66'
Jonathan Mutombo Mawesi
/ David Bruno
66'
68'
Zidane Banjaqui
/
Bernardo Oliveira
68'
Carlos Henrique França Freires
/
Zhirayr Shaghoyan
João Marques
/ Amine Oudrhiri
76'
Dany Jean
/ Juan María Alcedo
76'
76'
joao donna
79'
Arman Nersesyan
/
Artur Serobyan
79'
Arman Nersesyan
80'
Kamo Hovhannisyan
/
Juan Andres Balanta
84'
Carlos Henrique França Freires
85'
Maxence Carlier
/
hugo oliveira
musa drammeh
88'
⚽Javi Vazquez
· ast. David Bruno
90'+3
⚽musa drammeh
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
49.52%
Torreense ←
26.05%
X
24.43%
Ararat-Armenia
we assigned to the actual result (Torreense)
49.52%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.56
1.77
+1.21
1.02
1.66
+0.64
xG dominance was balanced (1.77 – 1.66).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Lucas Paes
G
Lucas Paes
G
23
Javi Vázquez
1 ⚽
1 👟
D
4
Volnei Feltes
D
5
M. Diadie
D
45
J. Mutombo
66'
D
8
Alejandro Alfaro
M
33
João Marques
76'
M
7
D. Jean
76'
M
19
K. Zoabi
36'
M
11
Manu Pozo
66'
M
14
Jorge Aguirre
1 ⚽
25'
F
Bench
31
Adriel
G
26
André Simões
M
6
A. Oudrhiri
14'
M
22
David Bruno
1 👟
24'
D
3
Juan María Alcedo
14'
D
29
L. Quintero
24'
F
17
M. Drammeh
1 ⚽
54'
F
21
Nuha Jatta
M
44
S. Henriksen
G
S. Henriksen
G
2
Stopira
D
98
João Bravim
76'
G
João Bravim
76'
G
16
E. Grigoryan
D
E. Grigoryan
D
47
A. Malis
D
A. Malis
D
43
Bruno Wilson
1 ⚽
D
Bruno Wilson
1 ⚽
D
2
Hugo Oliveira
85'
D
Hugo Oliveira
85'
D
8
J. Balanta
80'
M
J. Balanta
80'
M
19
K. Muradyan
1 ⚽
M
K. Muradyan
1 ⚽
M
7
Z. Shaghoyan
1 👟
68'
M
Z. Shaghoyan
1 👟
68'
M
70
B. Oliveira
68'
M
B. Oliveira
68'
M
77
A. Serobyan
1 👟
79'
M
A. Serobyan
1 👟
79'
M
91
Sandro Lima
F
Sandro Lima
F
Bench
10
A. Ambartsumyan
M
A. Ambartsumyan
M
9
A. Eloyan
M
A. Eloyan
M
25
A. Ndour
F
A. Ndour
F
1
A. Nersesyan
11'
G
A. Nersesyan
11'
G
20
A. Tera
M
A. Tera
M
14
Bruno Pereira
D
Bruno Pereira
D
95
França
22'
F
França
22'
F
13
K. Hovhannisyan
10'
D
K. Hovhannisyan
10'
D
5
Luís Felipe
D
Luís Felipe
D
17
M. Carlier
5'
M
M. Carlier
5'
M
11
Zidane Banjaqui
22'
M
Zidane Banjaqui
22'
M
Best on the pitch
Javi Vázquez
D · Torreense
7.88
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots
· 27 pass
Z. Shaghoyan
M · Ararat-Armenia
7.64
1 👟
1 shots
· 31 pass
M. Drammeh
F · Torreense
7.53
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 10 pass
Lucas Paes
G · Torreense
7.40
· 36 pass
A. Serobyan
M · Ararat-Armenia
7.14
1 👟
4 shots
· 47 pass
Bruno Wilson
D · Ararat-Armenia
7.02
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 56 pass
Torreense — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Paes | G | 90 | 7.40 | — | — | 0 | 36 | 26% | 0 | — | — |
| Javi Vázquez | D | 90 | 7.88 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Volnei Feltes | D | 90 | 6.54 | — | — | 0 | 71 | 64% | 0 | 1 | — |
| M. Diadie | D | 90 | 6.11 | — | — | 2 | 63 | 51% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Mutombo | D | 66 | 6.15 | — | — | 0 | 13 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Alejandro Alfaro | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 0 | 39 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| João Marques | M | 76 | 6.16 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Jean | M | 76 | 6.07 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Zoabi | M | 36 | 5.90 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| Manu Pozo | M | 66 | 5.80 | — | — | 0 | 14 | 9% | 3 | — | — |
| Jorge Aguirre | F | 25 | 7.01 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | 1 |
| A. Oudrhiri | M | 14 | 6.04 | — | — | 0 | 10 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| David Bruno | D | 24 | 6.52 | — | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| Juan María Alcedo | D | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Quintero | F | 24 | 6.61 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Drammeh | F | 54 | 7.53 | 1 | — | 1 | 10 | 5% | 1 | 1 | — |
Ararat-Armenia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| João Bravim | G | 76 | 5.07 | — | — | 0 | 10 | 9% | 0 | — | 1 |
| E. Grigoryan | D | 90 | 6.27 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Malis | D | 90 | 6.29 | — | — | 0 | 58 | 54% | 1 | — | — |
| Bruno Wilson | D | 90 | 7.02 | 1 | — | 1 | 56 | 54% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Hugo Oliveira | D | 85 | 6.73 | — | — | 2 | 46 | 42% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Balanta | M | 80 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 52% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Muradyan | M | 90 | 6.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 38 | 28% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Z. Shaghoyan | M | 68 | 7.64 | — | 1 | 1 | 31 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Oliveira | M | 68 | 6.16 | — | — | 3 | 26 | 23% | 0 | 1 | — |
| A. Serobyan | M | 79 | 7.14 | — | 1 | 4 | 47 | 39% | 0 | — | — |
| Sandro Lima | F | 90 | 6.24 | — | — | 2 | 35 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Nersesyan | G | 11 | 4.53 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 4% | 0 | 1 | — |
| França | F | 22 | 6.61 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 3% | 0 | 1 | — |
| K. Hovhannisyan | D | 10 | 5.91 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Carlier | M | 5 | 5.89 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| Zidane Banjaqui | M | 22 | 6.37 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia?
The final score was Torreense 3–2 Ararat-Armenia.
What did the model predict before Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia?
The model assigned 49% probability to a Torreense win, 26% to a draw, and 24% to an Ararat-Armenia win.