Premier League
· Regular Season - 33
April 18, 2026 20:30
P. Porro
(ast. X. Simons)
39'
X. Simons
(ast. L. Bergvall)
77'
45'+3
(ast. P. Gross)
K. Mitoma
90'+5
(ast. J. P. van Hecke)
G. Rutter
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Brighton a 47% win probability (draw 26%, Tottenham 26%). The final result was Tottenham 2–2 Brighton. In 1 previous meetings, Tottenham have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Brighton.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
6
6
Shots on target
3
1.08
Actual xG
0.89
1
Saves
4
42%
Possession
58%
7
Corners
5
13
Tackles
14
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
20'
K. Mitoma
/
D. Gomez
Y. Bissouma
34'
37'
M. Wieffer
⚽P. Porro
· ast. X. Simons
39'
45'+3
ast. P. Gross ·
K. Mitoma⚽
R. De Zerbi
53'
Y. Bissouma
/ A. Gray
57'
R. Kolo Muani
/ M. Tel
57'
K. Danso
65'
R. Bentancur
/ J. Palhinha
67'
75'
G. Rutter
/
D. Welbeck
75'
M. O'Riley
/
J. Hinshelwood
75'
M. De Cuyper
/
K. Mitoma
C. Gallagher
/ L. Bergvall
76'
D. Udogie
/ D. Spence
76'
⚽X. Simons
· ast. L. Bergvall
77'
X. Simons
78'
82'
C. Kostoulas
/
Y. Ayari
90'+5
ast. J. P. van Hecke ·
G. Rutter⚽
Pre-match prediction
26.04%
Tottenham
26.6%
X ←
47.36%
Brighton
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
26.6%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.96
1.08
+0.12
1.69
0.89
-0.8
xG dominance was balanced (1.08 – 0.89).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
31
G
13
Destiny Udogie
76'
D
Destiny Udogie
76'
D
37
Micky van de Ven
D
Micky van de Ven
D
4
Kevin Danso
D
Kevin Danso
D
23
Pedro Porro
1 ⚽
D
Pedro Porro
1 ⚽
D
8
Yves Bissouma
57'
M
Yves Bissouma
57'
M
30
Rodrigo Bentancur
67'
M
Rodrigo Bentancur
67'
M
22
Conor Gallagher
76'
M
Conor Gallagher
76'
M
7
X. Simons
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
X. Simons
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
19
D. Solanke
F
39
Randal Kolo Muani
57'
F
Randal Kolo Muani
57'
F
Bench
14
Archie Gray
33'
M
Archie Gray
33'
M
6
João Palhinha
23'
M
João Palhinha
23'
M
15
Lucas Bergvall
1 👟
14'
M
Lucas Bergvall
1 👟
14'
M
11
Mathys Tel
33'
F
Mathys Tel
33'
F
3
Radu Drăguşin
D
Radu Drăguşin
D
9
Richarlison
F
Richarlison
F
1
G
24
F. Kadioglu
D
21
D
6
J. van Hecke
1 👟
D
J. van Hecke
1 👟
D
27
M. Wieffer
D
30
P. Gross
1 👟
M
26
Y. Ayari
82'
M
11
Y. Minteh
M
13
J. Hinshelwood
75'
M
25
D. Gómez
20'
M
D. Gómez
20'
M
18
D. Welbeck
75'
F
D. Welbeck
75'
F
Bench
17
C. Baleba
M
10
G. Rutter
1 ⚽
15'
F
34
J. Veltman
D
22
K. Mitoma
1 ⚽
55'
M
29
Maxim De Cuyper
15'
D
Best on the pitch
X. Simons
F · Tottenham
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 26 pass
K. Mitoma
M · Brighton
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 13 pass
Pedro Porro
D · Tottenham
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 37 pass
Y. Minteh
M · Brighton
7.60
· 24 pass
G. Rutter
F · Brighton
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 5 pass
Conor Gallagher
M · Tottenham
7.20
1 shots
· 23 pass
Tottenham — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 35 | 17% | — | — | — | |
| Destiny Udogie | D | 76 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| Micky van de Ven | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 43 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| Kevin Danso | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 28% | — | 1 | — |
| Pedro Porro | D | 90 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 37 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| Yves Bissouma | M | 57 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 21% | — | 1 | — |
| Rodrigo Bentancur | M | 67 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 28% | 4 | — | — |
| Conor Gallagher | M | 76 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 20% | — | — | — |
| X. Simons | F | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 22% | — | 1 | — |
| D. Solanke | F | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Randal Kolo Muani | F | 57 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Archie Gray | M | 33 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| João Palhinha | M | 23 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Bergvall | M | 14 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 2 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Mathys Tel | F | 33 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
Brighton — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 33 | 24% | — | — | — | |
| F. Kadioglu | D | 90 | 5.60 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 23% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 73 | 63% | — | — | — | |
| J. van Hecke | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 64 | 57% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Wieffer | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | — | 1 | — |
| P. Gross | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 67 | 61% | 2 | — | — |
| Y. Ayari | M | 82 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 32 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Y. Minteh | M | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 24 | 12% | 5 | — | — |
| J. Hinshelwood | M | 75 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 21% | — | — | — |
| D. Gómez | M | 20 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | — | — | — | — |
| D. Welbeck | F | 75 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| G. Rutter | F | 15 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 5 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Mitoma | M | 55 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 13 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| Maxim De Cuyper | D | 15 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 11 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Tottenham vs Brighton?
The final score was Tottenham 2–2 Brighton.
What did the model predict before Tottenham vs Brighton?
The model assigned 26% probability to a Tottenham win, 26% to a draw, and 47% to an Brighton win.