Tottenham 2–2 Brighton — pre-match prediction — Premier League — April 18, 2026

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Premier League · Regular Season - 33 April 18, 2026 18:30 Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London

Tottenham

#20 · 2 pts

2 – 2

Final score

Brighton

#3 · 10 pts

P. Porro (ast. X. Simons) 39'

X. Simons (ast. L. Bergvall) 77'

45'+3 (ast. P. Gross) K. Mitoma

90'+5 (ast. J. P. van Hecke) G. Rutter

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Brighton a 47% win probability (draw 26%, Tottenham 26%). The final result was Tottenham 2–2 Brighton. In 1 previous meetings, Tottenham have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Brighton.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.08

Actual xG

0.89

Saves

42%

Possession

58%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

20'

K. Mitoma / D. Gomez ↕

Y. Bissouma

34'

37'

M. Wieffer

⚽P. Porro · ast. X. Simons

39'

45'+3

ast. P. Gross · K. Mitoma⚽

R. De Zerbi

53'

↕ Y. Bissouma / A. Gray

57'

↕ R. Kolo Muani / M. Tel

57'

K. Danso

65'

↕ R. Bentancur / J. Palhinha

67'

75'

G. Rutter / D. Welbeck ↕

75'

M. O'Riley / J. Hinshelwood ↕

75'

M. De Cuyper / K. Mitoma ↕

↕ C. Gallagher / L. Bergvall

76'

↕ D. Udogie / D. Spence

76'

⚽X. Simons · ast. L. Bergvall

77'

X. Simons

78'

82'

C. Kostoulas / Y. Ayari ↕

90'+5

ast. J. P. van Hecke · G. Rutter⚽

Pre-match prediction

26.04%

Tottenham

26.6%

X ←

47.36%

Brighton

we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 26.6% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Tottenham

0.96

1.08

+0.12

Brighton

1.69

0.89

-0.8

xG dominance was balanced (1.08 – 0.89). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	15
2	Arsenal	5	12
3	Brighton	5	10
4	Brentford	5	9
5	Leeds	5	9
6	Liverpool	5	9
7	Everton	5	9
8	Hull City	5	8
9	Newcastle	5	8
10	Chelsea	5	7
11	Ipswich	5	6
12	Manchester United	5	5
13	Nottingham Forest	5	5
14	Sunderland	5	4
15	Crystal Palace	5	4
16	Aston Villa	5	4
17	Bournemouth	5	3
18	Coventry	5	3
19	Fulham	5	2
20	Tottenham	5	2

Lineups

Tottenham 4-3-3

G 6.50

D. Udogie 76' D 6.50

M. van de Ven D 6.60

K. Danso D 5.90

Pedro Porro 1 ⚽ D 7.70

Y. Bissouma 57' M 6.20

Rodrigo Bentancur 67' M 6.70

C. Gallagher 76' M 7.20

X. Simons 1 ⚽ 1 👟 F 8.20

D. Solanke F 7.20

R. Kolo Muani 57' F 6.30

Bench

A. Gray 33' M 6.50

João Palhinha 23' M 6.90

L. Bergvall 1 👟 14' M 7.00

M. Tel 33' F 6.70

R. Drăgușin D

Richarlison F

Brighton 4-2-3-1

G 6.30

F. Kadıoğlu D 5.60

D 7.00

J. van Hecke 1 👟 D 7.00

Mats Wieffer D 5.90

P. Groß 1 👟 M 6.90

Y. Ayari 82' M 6.50

Yankuba Minteh M 7.60

J. Hinshelwood 75' M 6.20

Diego Gómez 20' M 6.30

D. Welbeck 75' F 6.30

Bench

C. Baleba M

G. Rutter 1 ⚽ 15' F 7.30

J. Veltman D

K. Mitoma 1 ⚽ 55' M 7.70

M. De Cuyper 15' D 6.50

Best on the pitch

X. Simons

F · Tottenham

8.20

1 ⚽ 1 👟

2 shots · 26 pass

K. Mitoma

M · Brighton

7.70

1 ⚽

1 shots · 13 pass

Pedro Porro

D · Tottenham

7.70

1 ⚽

2 shots · 37 pass

Yankuba Minteh

M · Brighton

7.60

· 24 pass

G. Rutter

F · Brighton

7.30

1 ⚽

1 shots · 5 pass

C. Gallagher

M · Tottenham

7.20

1 shots · 23 pass

Tottenham — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	6.50	—	—	—	35	17%	—	—	—
D. Udogie	D	76	6.50	—	—	—	14	12%	2	—	—
M. van de Ven	D	90	6.60	—	—	—	43	38%	2	—	—
K. Danso	D	90	5.90	—	—	—	33	28%	—	1	—
Pedro Porro	D	90	7.70	1	—	2	37	27%	2	—	—
Y. Bissouma	M	57	6.20	—	—	—	23	21%	—	1	—
Rodrigo Bentancur	M	67	6.70	—	—	1	33	28%	4	—	—
C. Gallagher	M	76	7.20	—	—	1	23	20%	—	—	—
X. Simons	F	90	8.20	1	1	2	26	22%	—	1	—
D. Solanke	F	90	7.20	—	—	1	19	15%	1	—	—
R. Kolo Muani	F	57	6.30	—	—	1	8	8%	1	—	—
A. Gray	M	33	6.50	—	—	1	8	6%	—	—	—
João Palhinha	M	23	6.90	—	—	1	5	3%	—	—	—
L. Bergvall	M	14	7.00	—	1	—	2	2%	1	—	—
M. Tel	F	33	6.70	—	—	—	9	8%	—	—	—

Brighton — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	6.30	—	—	—	33	24%	—	—	—
F. Kadıoğlu	D	90	5.60	—	—	1	29	23%	—	—	—
	D	90	7.00	—	—	—	73	63%	—	—	—
J. van Hecke	D	90	7.00	—	1	1	64	57%	3	—	—
Mats Wieffer	D	90	5.90	—	—	—	19	16%	—	1	—
P. Groß	M	90	6.90	—	1	—	67	61%	2	—	—
Y. Ayari	M	82	6.50	—	—	—	32	28%	—	—	—
Yankuba Minteh	M	90	7.60	—	—	—	24	12%	5	—	—
J. Hinshelwood	M	75	6.20	—	—	1	26	21%	—	—	—
Diego Gómez	M	20	6.30	—	—	—	4	—	—	—	—
D. Welbeck	F	75	6.30	—	—	1	11	8%	—	—	—
G. Rutter	F	15	7.30	1	—	1	5	5%	1	—	—
K. Mitoma	M	55	7.70	1	—	1	13	13%	2	—	—
M. De Cuyper	D	15	6.50	—	—	—	11	11%	1	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Tottenham vs Brighton?

The final score was Tottenham 2–2 Brighton.

What did the model predict before Tottenham vs Brighton?

The model assigned 26% probability to a Tottenham win, 26% to a draw, and 47% to an Brighton win.