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Toulouse - Hamburger SV

Friendlies Clubs August 15, 2026 19:00
Toulouse
vs
Hamburger SV
⚡ Pre-match analysis
35.95%
Win
Toulouse
31.71%
Draw
32.34%
Win
Hamburger SV
1.94
Expected xG
1.3

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (8.98%)
1X2 Result
1 36%
X 32%
2 32%
Double Chance
1X 68%
X2 64%
12 68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 54%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Toulouse a 35% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 32% for Hamburger SV. Expected goals are 1.9 for Toulouse and 1.3 for Hamburger SV (total 3.2), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.98% probability.

Season Stats

Toulouse
1W 1D 0L
Hamburger SV
1W 1D 2L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
2.0
1.0
Conceded
2.0
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
100%
100%
BTTS
100%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ Based on the last 4 matches in Friendlies Clubs. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 3.5
100%
BTTS
Toulouse
1W 1D 0L · at home
Hamburger SV
1W 0D 1L · away
1.5
gls/g
2.5
1.0
Conceded
2.0
50%
Win %
50%
100%
Win or Draw
50%
100%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
100%
0%
O 3.5
100%
100%
BTTS
100%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 2
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Toulouse Hamburger SV →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.9% 5.1% 3.3% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
1 7.6% 9.9% 6.4% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.4% 9.6% 6.2% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
3 4.8% 6.2% 4.0% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1%
4 2.3% 3.0% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.9% 1.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% —

Recent form

Toulouse Toulouse
W Real Sociedad 2–1
D Rodez 1–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 16%
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
D Lille 2–2
L Everton 1–2
W 1. FC Heidenheim 1–3
L Rapid Vienna 3–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 15%

Playing profile

Toulouse Toulouse
Attack
38
Defence
75
Form
63
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
Attack
50
Defence
50
Form
53
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Toulouse vs Hamburger SV?
The model gives Toulouse a 35% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 32% for an Hamburger SV win.
How many goals are expected in Toulouse vs Hamburger SV?
Expected goals: Toulouse 1.9, Hamburger SV 1.3 (total 3.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Toulouse vs Hamburger SV?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.98%.