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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 5 September 19, 2026 20:45 Stadium de Toulouse, Toulouse
Toulouse
#13 · 5 pts
3 – 2
Final score
Le Havre
#18 · 2 pts
Casper Tengstedt 49' (pen.)
Casper Tengstedt (ast. Thomas Jorgensen) 51'
Thomas Jorgensen (ast. Cristian Casseres) 79'
71' (ast. Sota Nakamura) Josh Maja
88' Mbwana Ally Samatta
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Toulouse a 38% win probability (draw 32%, Le Havre 28%). The final result was Toulouse 3–2 Le Havre. In 2 previous meetings, Toulouse have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Le Havre.

Match statistics
14
Total shots
18
5
Shots on target
7
5
Saves
2
53%
Possession
47%
6
Corners
7
19
Tackles
14
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
Christ Tape
34'
⚽Casper Tengstedt (pen.)
49'
⚽Casper Tengstedt · ast. Thomas Jorgensen
51'
Niko Sigur
58'
69'
Enzo Koffi / Rayan Fofana ↕
69'
Sota Nakamura / Djibril Ouziad ↕
70'
Junior Mwanga / Vincent Sasso ↕
71'
ast. Sota Nakamura · Josh Maja⚽
↕ Casper Tengstedt / Santiago Hidalgo
72'
↕ Ilyas Azizi / Sion Oppong
72'
↕ Rafik Messali / Alexis Vossah
72'
Seny Koumbassa
74'
⚽Thomas Jorgensen · ast. Cristian Casseres
79'
81'
Sota Nakamura
82'
Ismail Bouneb / Josh Maja ↕
82'
Rassoul Ndiaye / Amir Richardson ↕
88'
Mbwana Ally Samatta⚽
Pre-match prediction
38.9%
Toulouse ←
32.32%
X
28.78%
Le
we assigned to the actual result (Toulouse) 38.9% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Toulouse
1.11
—
—
Le
0.86
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Monaco Monaco 5 13
2 Lyon Lyon 5 11
3 Paris FC Paris FC 5 11
4 Lille Lille 5 10
5 Rennes Rennes 5 10
6 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 5 8
7 Angers Angers 5 7
8 Strasbourg Strasbourg 5 7
9 Le Mans Le Mans 5 6
10 Auxerre Auxerre 5 6
11 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 5 5
12 Lorient Lorient 5 5
13 Toulouse Toulouse 5 5
14 Nice Nice 5 5
15 Lens Lens 5 4
16 Estac Troyes Estac Troyes 5 4
17 Marseille Marseille 5 3
18 Le Havre Le Havre 5 2
Lineups
Toulouse Toulouse 4-4-2
16 G. Restes G. Restes G 7.44
12
C. Tapé D 6.30
3 M. McKenzie M. McKenzie D 6.98
5 S. Koumbassa S. Koumbassa D 6.41
22 R. Messali R. Messali 72' D 7.23
37 Y. Azizi Y. Azizi 72' M 6.39
23 C. Cásseres C. Cásseres 1 👟 M 7.22
14 N. Sigur N. Sigur M 6.56
8 T. Jørgensen T. Jørgensen 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 8.41
20 C. Tengstedt C. Tengstedt 2 ⚽ 72' F 8.20
13 J. Russell-Rowe J. Russell-Rowe F 6.33
Bench
15 A. Dønnum A. Dønnum M 0.00
6 A. Vossah A. Vossah 18' M 6.21
19 D. Odogu D. Odogu D 0.00
7 Julián Vignolo Julián Vignolo F 0.00
18 M. Amougou M. Amougou M 0.00
60 M. Niflore M. Niflore G 0.00
31 N. Schmidt N. Schmidt M 0.00
9 S. Hidalgo S. Hidalgo 18' F 6.49
11 S. Oppong S. Oppong 18' F 6.76
Le Havre Le Havre 3-4-2-1
93 G. Gallon G. Gallon G 5.51
5 A. Touba A. Touba D 6.54
15 Ayumu Seko Ayumu Seko D 6.51
23 V. Sasso V. Sasso 70' D 6.71
12 E. Jelert E. Jelert M 5.80
7 A. Richardson A. Richardson 82' M 6.18
26 S. Ebonog S. Ebonog M 6.26
20 D. Ouziad D. Ouziad 69' M 6.85
25 M. Samatta M. Samatta 1 ⚽ M 7.70
38 R. Fofana R. Fofana 69' M 6.02
9 J. Maja J. Maja 1 ⚽ 82' F 8.20
Bench
16 A. Bodart A. Bodart G 0.00
78 D. Mosengo D. Mosengo M 0.00
27 E. Koffi Vinette E. Koffi Vinette 21' F 6.24
44 I. Bouneb I. Bouneb 8' M 5.84
6 J. Mwanga J. Mwanga 20' M 5.94
17 K. Mizuta K. Mizuta M 0.00
14 R. Ndiaye R. Ndiaye 8' M 5.90
30 S. Nakamura S. Nakamura 1 👟 21' F 7.11
Best on the pitch
T. Jørgensen
T. Jørgensen
M · Toulouse
8.41
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 37 pass
J. Maja
J. Maja
F · Le
8.20
1 ⚽
4 shots · 17 pass
C. Tengstedt
C. Tengstedt
F · Toulouse
8.20
2 ⚽
5 shots · 11 pass
M. Samatta
M. Samatta
M · Le
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots · 18 pass
G. Restes
G. Restes
G · Toulouse
7.44
· 33 pass
R. Messali
R. Messali
D · Toulouse
7.23
1 shots · 38 pass
Toulouse Toulouse — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G. Restes G 90 7.44 — — 0 33 33% 0 — —
C. Tapé D 90 6.30 — — 0 49 44% 0 1 —
M. McKenzie D 90 6.98 — — 0 54 47% 3 — —
S. Koumbassa D 90 6.41 — — 0 66 58% 3 1 —
R. Messali D 72 7.23 — — 1 38 31% 3 — —
Y. Azizi M 72 6.39 — — 3 22 17% 4 — —
C. Cásseres M 90 7.22 — 1 0 78 66% 3 — —
N. Sigur M 90 6.56 — — 1 40 38% 1 1 —
T. Jørgensen M 90 8.41 1 1 1 37 26% 0 — —
C. Tengstedt F 72 8.20 2 — 5 11 7% 0 — —
J. Russell-Rowe F 90 6.33 — — 2 26 22% 0 — —
A. Vossah M 18 6.21 — — 0 10 9% 1 — —
S. Hidalgo F 18 6.49 — — 1 9 8% 0 — —
S. Oppong F 18 6.76 — — 0 4 3% 1 — —
Le Havre Le Havre — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G. Gallon G 90 5.51 — — 0 28 27% 0 — —
A. Touba D 90 6.54 — — 0 52 46% 0 — —
Ayumu Seko D 90 6.51 — — 2 61 58% 1 — —
V. Sasso D 70 6.71 — — 0 50 44% 4 — —
E. Jelert M 90 5.80 — — 0 30 25% 1 — —
A. Richardson M 82 6.18 — — 2 33 27% 1 — —
S. Ebonog M 90 6.26 — — 1 37 31% 1 — —
D. Ouziad M 69 6.85 — — 2 32 26% 2 — —
M. Samatta M 90 7.70 1 — 3 18 16% 1 — —
R. Fofana M 69 6.02 — — 3 11 6% 1 — —
J. Maja F 82 8.20 1 — 4 17 16% 0 — —
E. Koffi Vinette F 21 6.24 — — 0 8 6% 1 — —
I. Bouneb M 8 5.84 — — 0 2 0% 0 — —
J. Mwanga M 20 5.94 — — 0 12 12% 1 — —
R. Ndiaye M 8 5.90 — — 0 5 5% 0 — —
S. Nakamura F 21 7.11 — 1 1 10 9% 0 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Toulouse vs Le Havre?
The final score was Toulouse 3–2 Le Havre.
What did the model predict before Toulouse vs Le Havre?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Toulouse win, 32% to a draw, and 28% to an Le Havre win.