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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 29 April 12, 2026 17:15 Stadium de Toulouse, Toulouse
Toulouse
#17 · 1 pts
0 – 4
Final score
Lille
#5 · 7 pts
23' (ast. H. Haraldsson) T. Meunier
50' R. Perraud
55' (ast. B. Andre) M. Fernandez-Pardo
(pen.) 88' O. Giroud
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lille a 41% win probability (draw 25%, Toulouse 32%). The final result was Toulouse 0–4 Lille. In 2 previous meetings, Toulouse have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Lille.

Match statistics
4
Total shots
11
1
Shots on target
9
0.96
Actual xG
1.84
5
Saves
1
37%
Possession
63%
4
Corners
2
13
Tackles
19
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
23'
ast. H. Haraldsson · T. Meunier⚽
Mark McKenzie
48'
50'
R. Perraud⚽
55'
ast. B. Andre · M. Fernandez-Pardo⚽
↕ D. Sidibe / C. Cresswell
59'
↕ A. Donnum / W. Kamanzi
60'
↕ P. Demba / A. Vossah
60'
Emersonn
63'
↕ Emersonn / J. Russell-Rowe
71'
71'
E. Mbappe / N. Mukau ↕
71'
G. Perrin / F. Correia ↕
↕ Y. Gboho / S. Hidalgo
76'
76'
O. Giroud / B. Andre ↕
Dayann Methalie
80'
82'
T. Santos / T. Meunier ↕
83'
C. Verdonk / R. Perraud ↕
87'
88'
(pen.) O. Giroud⚽
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
32.42%
Toulouse
25.91%
X
41.67%
Lille ←
we assigned to the actual result (Lille) 41.67% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Toulouse
1.16
0.96
-0.2
Lille
1.46
1.84
+0.38
Lille dominated by xG (1.84 vs 0.96). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Monaco Monaco 4 10
2 Rennes Rennes 4 10
3 Paris FC Paris FC 3 7
4 Lyon Lyon 3 7
5 Lille Lille 3 7
6 Strasbourg Strasbourg 4 7
7 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 3 5
8 Lorient Lorient 3 4
9 Estac Troyes Estac Troyes 3 4
10 Lens Lens 3 3
11 Marseille Marseille 4 3
12 Angers Angers 3 3
13 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 3 2
14 Le Mans Le Mans 3 2
15 Nice Nice 3 2
16 Le Havre Le Havre 3 1
17 Toulouse Toulouse 3 1
18 Auxerre Auxerre 3 0
Lineups
Toulouse Toulouse 3-4-2-1
1 G. Restes G. Restes G 7.30
2 R. Nicolaisen R. Nicolaisen D 6.00
35 S. Koumbassa S. Koumbassa D 6.70
3 M. McKenzie M. McKenzie 48' D 5.20
24 D. Methalie D. Methalie M 5.90
18 P. Diop P. Diop 60' M 6.30
23 C. Cásseres C. Cásseres M 7.00
19 D. Sidibé D. Sidibé 59' M 6.90
10 Y. Gboho Y. Gboho 76' F 7.20
15 A. Dønnum A. Dønnum 60' F 6.70
20 Emersonn Emersonn 71' F 6.50
Bench
45 A. Vossah A. Vossah 37' M 6.50
4 C. Cresswell C. Cresswell 38' D 6.00
13 J. Russell-Rowe J. Russell-Rowe 26' F 6.70
7 Julián Vignolo Julián Vignolo F
77 M. Sauer M. Sauer M
11 S. Hidalgo S. Hidalgo 21' F 6.50
12 Waren Kamanzi Waren Kamanzi 37' D 6.30
Lille Lille 4-2-3-1
1 B. Özer B. Özer G 7.90
15 R. Perraud R. Perraud 1 ⚽ 83' D 7.90
23 A. Mandi A. Mandi D 7.50
3 N. Ngoy N. Ngoy D 7.70
12 T. Meunier T. Meunier 1 ⚽ 82' D 7.90
21 B. André B. André 1 👟 76' M 7.30
6 N. Bentaleb N. Bentaleb M 7.20
27 Félix Correia Félix Correia 71' M 6.90
10 H. Haraldsson H. Haraldsson 1 👟 M 6.20
17 N. Mukau N. Mukau 71' M 6.90
7 M. Fernandez-Pardo M. Fernandez-Pardo 1 ⚽ F 8.20
Bench
32 A. Bouaddi A. Bouaddi M
18 C. Mbemba C. Mbemba D
24 C. Verdonk C. Verdonk 14' D 6.60
8 E. Mbappé E. Mbappé 26' M 6.60
28 G. Perrin G. Perrin 26' F 6.70
9 O. Giroud O. Giroud 1 ⚽ 21' F 7.00
22 Tiago Santos Tiago Santos 15' D 6.70
Best on the pitch
M. Fernandez-Pardo
M. Fernandez-Pardo
F · Lille
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots · 14 pass
T. Meunier
T. Meunier
D · Lille
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 55 pass
R. Perraud
R. Perraud
D · Lille
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 53 pass
B. Özer
B. Özer
G · Lille
7.90
· 44 pass
N. Ngoy
N. Ngoy
D · Lille
7.70
· 87 pass
A. Mandi
A. Mandi
D · Lille
7.50
· 118 pass
Toulouse Toulouse — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G. Restes G 97 7.30 — — — 32 21% — — —
R. Nicolaisen D 97 6.00 — — 1 54 42% — — —
S. Koumbassa D 97 6.70 — — 1 42 37% 4 — —
M. McKenzie D 48 5.20 — — — 17 14% — — 1
D. Methalie M 97 5.90 — — 1 24 22% 1 1 —
P. Diop M 60 6.30 — — — 30 26% 1 — —
C. Cásseres M 97 7.00 — — — 53 50% 1 — —
D. Sidibé M 59 6.90 — — 1 16 10% 3 — —
Y. Gboho F 76 7.20 — — — 27 24% — — —
A. Dønnum F 60 6.70 — — — 20 19% 1 — —
Emersonn F 71 6.50 — — — 10 6% 1 1 —
A. Vossah M 37 6.50 — — — 9 8% — — —
C. Cresswell D 38 6.00 — — — 21 16% — — —
J. Russell-Rowe F 26 6.70 — — — 4 2% 1 — —
S. Hidalgo F 21 6.50 — — — 2 2% — — —
Waren Kamanzi D 37 6.30 — — — 10 8% — — —
Lille Lille — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
B. Özer G 97 7.90 — — — 44 39% 1 — —
R. Perraud D 83 7.90 1 — 2 53 48% 2 — —
A. Mandi D 97 7.50 — — — 118 113% — — —
N. Ngoy D 97 7.70 — — — 87 84% 2 — —
T. Meunier D 82 7.90 1 — 1 55 48% 3 — —
B. André M 76 7.30 — 1 — 39 36% 3 — —
N. Bentaleb M 97 7.20 — — — 74 64% 2 — —
Félix Correia M 71 6.90 — — — 38 31% 3 — —
H. Haraldsson M 97 6.20 — 1 3 50 47% 1 — —
N. Mukau M 71 6.90 — — — 27 23% 2 — —
M. Fernandez-Pardo F 97 8.20 1 — 3 14 10% — — —
C. Verdonk D 14 6.60 — — — 11 9% — — —
E. Mbappé M 26 6.60 — — 1 13 10% — — —
G. Perrin F 26 6.70 — — — 10 9% — — —
O. Giroud F 21 7.00 1 — 1 2 2% — — —
Tiago Santos D 15 6.70 — — — 6 5% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Toulouse vs Lille?
The final score was Toulouse 0–4 Lille.
What did the model predict before Toulouse vs Lille?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Toulouse win, 25% to a draw, and 41% to an Lille win.