← Ligue 1
Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 29 April 12, 2026 17:15
Toulouse
#10 · 44 pts
0 – 4
Final score
Lille
#3 · 61 pts
23' (ast. H. Haraldsson) T. Meunier
50' R. Perraud
55' (ast. B. Andre) M. Fernandez-Pardo
(pen.) 88' O. Giroud

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lille a 41% win probability (draw 25%, Toulouse 32%). The final result was Toulouse 0–4 Lille. In 1 previous meetings, Toulouse have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Lille.

Match statistics
4
Total shots
11
1
Shots on target
9
0.96
Actual xG
1.84
5
Saves
1
37%
Possession
63%
4
Corners
2
13
Tackles
19
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
23'
ast. H. Haraldsson · T. Meunier⚽
Mark McKenzie
48'
50'
R. Perraud⚽
55'
ast. B. Andre · M. Fernandez-Pardo⚽
↕ D. Sidibe / C. Cresswell
59'
↕ A. Donnum / W. Kamanzi
60'
↕ P. Demba / A. Vossah
60'
Emersonn
63'
↕ Emersonn / J. Russell-Rowe
71'
71'
E. Mbappe / N. Mukau ↕
71'
G. Perrin / F. Correia ↕
↕ Y. Gboho / S. Hidalgo
76'
76'
O. Giroud / B. Andre ↕
Dayann Methalie
80'
82'
T. Santos / T. Meunier ↕
83'
C. Verdonk / R. Perraud ↕
87'
88'
(pen.) O. Giroud⚽
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
32.42%
Toulouse
25.91%
X
41.67%
Lille ←
we assigned to the actual result (Lille) 41.67% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Toulouse
1.16
0.96
-0.2
Lille
1.46
1.84
+0.38
Lille dominated by xG (1.84 vs 0.96). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 33 76
1 Rodez Rodez 1 3
2 Lens Lens 33 67
2 RED Star FC 93 RED Star FC 93 1 0
3 Lille Lille 33 61
4 Lyon Lyon 33 60
5 Rennes Rennes 33 59
6 Marseille Marseille 33 56
7 Monaco Monaco 33 54
8 Strasbourg Strasbourg 33 50
9 Lorient Lorient 33 45
10 Toulouse Toulouse 33 44
11 Paris FC Paris FC 33 41
12 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 33 38
13 Angers Angers 33 35
14 Le Havre Le Havre 33 32
15 Auxerre Auxerre 33 31
16 Nice Nice 33 31
17 Nantes Nantes 33 23
18 Metz Metz 33 16
Lineups
Toulouse Toulouse 3-4-2-1
1 Guillaume Restes Guillaume Restes G 7.30
2 Rasmus Nicolaisen Rasmus Nicolaisen D 6.00
35 Seny Koumbassa Seny Koumbassa D 6.70
3 Mark McKenzie Mark McKenzie 48' D 5.20
24 D. Methalie D. Methalie M 5.90
18 P. Diop P. Diop 60' M 6.30
23 C. Cásseres C. Cásseres M 7.00
19 Djibril Sidibé Djibril Sidibé 59' M 6.90
10 Y. Gboho Y. Gboho 76' F 7.20
15 A. Dønnum A. Dønnum 60' F 6.70
20 Emersonn Emersonn 71' F 6.50
Bench
45 Alexis Vossah Alexis Vossah 37' M 6.50
4 C. Cresswell C. Cresswell 38' D 6.00
13 Jacen Russell Rowe Jacen Russell Rowe 26' F 6.70
7 Julian Vignolo Julian Vignolo F
77
Mario Sauer M
11 S. Hidalgo S. Hidalgo 21' F 6.50
12 Waren Kamanzi Waren Kamanzi 37' D 6.30
Lille Lille 4-2-3-1
1 Berke Özer Berke Özer G 7.90
15 Romain Perraud Romain Perraud 1 ⚽ 83' D 7.90
23 A. Mandi A. Mandi D 7.50
3 N. Ngoy N. Ngoy D 7.70
12 Thomas Meunier Thomas Meunier 1 ⚽ 82' D 7.90
21 B. André B. André 1 👟 76' M 7.30
6 Nabil Bentaleb Nabil Bentaleb M 7.20
27 Félix Correia Félix Correia 71' M 6.90
10 H. Haraldsson H. Haraldsson 1 👟 M 6.20
17 N. Mukau N. Mukau 71' M 6.90
7 M. Fernandez-Pardo M. Fernandez-Pardo 1 ⚽ F 8.20
Bench
32 Ayyoub Bouaddi Ayyoub Bouaddi M
24 Calvin Verdonk Calvin Verdonk 14' D 6.60
18 Chancel Mbemba Chancel Mbemba D
8 Ethan Mbappé Ethan Mbappé 26' M 6.60
28 Gaëtan Perrin Gaëtan Perrin 26' F 6.70
9 Olivier Giroud Olivier Giroud 1 ⚽ 21' F 7.00
22
T. Santos 15' D 6.70
Best on the pitch
M. Fernandez-Pardo
M. Fernandez-Pardo
F · Lille
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots · 14 pass
Thomas Meunier
Thomas Meunier
D · Lille
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 55 pass
Romain Perraud
Romain Perraud
D · Lille
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 53 pass
Berke Özer
Berke Özer
G · Lille
7.90
· 44 pass
N. Ngoy
N. Ngoy
D · Lille
7.70
· 87 pass
A. Mandi
A. Mandi
D · Lille
7.50
· 118 pass
Toulouse Toulouse — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Guillaume Restes G 97 7.30 — — — 32 21% — — —
Rasmus Nicolaisen D 97 6.00 — — 1 54 42% — — —
Seny Koumbassa D 97 6.70 — — 1 42 37% 4 — —
Mark McKenzie D 48 5.20 — — — 17 14% — — 1
D. Methalie M 97 5.90 — — 1 24 22% 1 1 —
P. Diop M 60 6.30 — — — 30 26% 1 — —
C. Cásseres M 97 7.00 — — — 53 50% 1 — —
Djibril Sidibé M 59 6.90 — — 1 16 10% 3 — —
Y. Gboho F 76 7.20 — — — 27 24% — — —
A. Dønnum F 60 6.70 — — — 20 19% 1 — —
Emersonn F 71 6.50 — — — 10 6% 1 1 —
Alexis Vossah M 37 6.50 — — — 9 8% — — —
C. Cresswell D 38 6.00 — — — 21 16% — — —
Jacen Russell Rowe F 26 6.70 — — — 4 2% 1 — —
S. Hidalgo F 21 6.50 — — — 2 2% — — —
Waren Kamanzi D 37 6.30 — — — 10 8% — — —
Lille Lille — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Berke Özer G 97 7.90 — — — 44 39% 1 — —
Romain Perraud D 83 7.90 1 — 2 53 48% 2 — —
A. Mandi D 97 7.50 — — — 118 113% — — —
N. Ngoy D 97 7.70 — — — 87 84% 2 — —
Thomas Meunier D 82 7.90 1 — 1 55 48% 3 — —
B. André M 76 7.30 — 1 — 39 36% 3 — —
Nabil Bentaleb M 97 7.20 — — — 74 64% 2 — —
Félix Correia M 71 6.90 — — — 38 31% 3 — —
H. Haraldsson M 97 6.20 — 1 3 50 47% 1 — —
N. Mukau M 71 6.90 — — — 27 23% 2 — —
M. Fernandez-Pardo F 97 8.20 1 — 3 14 10% — — —
Calvin Verdonk D 14 6.60 — — — 11 9% — — —
Ethan Mbappé M 26 6.60 — — 1 13 10% — — —
Gaëtan Perrin F 26 6.70 — — — 10 9% — — —
Olivier Giroud F 21 7.00 1 — 1 2 2% — — —
T. Santos D 15 6.70 — — — 6 5% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Toulouse vs Lille?
The final score was Toulouse 0–4 Lille.
What did the model predict before Toulouse vs Lille?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Toulouse win, 25% to a draw, and 41% to an Lille win.