Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 27 March 21, 2026 17:00 Stadium de Toulouse, Toulouse

Toulouse

#10 · 44 pts

1 – 0

Final score

Lorient

#9 · 45 pts

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Toulouse a 44% win probability (draw 23%, Lorient 32%). The final result was Toulouse 1–0 Lorient. In 1 previous meetings, Toulouse have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Lorient.

Match statistics

4

Shots on target

2

1.15

Actual xG

0.40

42%

Possession

58%

1

Corners

4

Pre-match prediction

44.46%

Toulouse ←

23.17%

X

32.38%

Lorient

we assigned to the actual result (Toulouse) 44.46% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Toulouse

1.76

1.15

-0.61

Lorient

1.42

0.40

-1.02

Toulouse dominated by xG (1.15 vs 0.40). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Rodez	1	3
1	Paris Saint Germain	34	76
2	Lens	34	70
2	RED Star FC 93	1	0
3	Lille	34	61
4	Lyon	34	60
5	Marseille	34	59
6	Rennes	34	59
7	Monaco	34	54
8	Strasbourg	34	53
9	Lorient	34	45
10	Toulouse	33	44
11	Paris FC	34	44
12	Stade Brestois 29	34	39
13	Angers	34	36
14	Le Havre	34	35
15	Auxerre	34	34
16	Nice	34	32
17	Nantes	33	23
18	Metz	34	17