Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 27 March 21, 2026 17:00

Toulouse

#10 · 44 pts

1 – 0

Final score

Lorient

#9 · 45 pts

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Toulouse a 44% win probability (draw 23%, Lorient 32%). The final result was Toulouse 1–0 Lorient. In 1 previous meetings, Toulouse have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Lorient.

Match statistics

4

Shots on target

2

1.15

Actual xG

0.40

42%

Possession

58%

1

Corners

4

Pre-match prediction

44.46%

Toulouse ←

23.17%

X

32.38%

Lorient

we assigned to the actual result (Toulouse) 44.46% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Toulouse

1.76

1.15

-0.61

Lorient

1.42

0.40

-1.02

Toulouse dominated by xG (1.15 vs 0.40). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Paris Saint Germain	33	76
1	Rodez	1	3
2	Lens	33	67
2	RED Star FC 93	1	0
3	Lille	33	61
4	Lyon	33	60
5	Rennes	33	59
6	Marseille	33	56
7	Monaco	33	54
8	Strasbourg	33	50
9	Lorient	33	45
10	Toulouse	33	44
11	Paris FC	33	41
12	Stade Brestois 29	33	38
13	Angers	33	35
14	Le Havre	33	32
15	Auxerre	33	31
16	Nice	33	31
17	Nantes	33	23
18	Metz	33	16