Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 27 March 21, 2026 17:00 Stadium de Toulouse, Toulouse

Toulouse

#17 · 1 pts

1 – 0

Final score

Lorient

#8 · 4 pts

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Toulouse a 44% win probability (draw 23%, Lorient 32%). The final result was Toulouse 1–0 Lorient. In 1 previous meetings, Toulouse have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Lorient.

Match statistics

4

Shots on target

2

1.15

Actual xG

0.40

42%

Possession

58%

1

Corners

4

Pre-match prediction

44.46%

Toulouse ←

23.17%

X

32.38%

Lorient

we assigned to the actual result (Toulouse) 44.46% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Toulouse

1.76

1.15

-0.61

Lorient

1.42

0.40

-1.02

Toulouse dominated by xG (1.15 vs 0.40). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Monaco	4	10
2	Rennes	4	10
3	Paris FC	3	7
4	Lyon	3	7
5	Lille	3	7
6	Strasbourg	4	7
7	Stade Brestois 29	3	5
8	Lorient	3	4
9	Estac Troyes	3	4
10	Lens	3	3
11	Marseille	4	3
12	Angers	3	3
13	Paris Saint Germain	3	2
14	Le Mans	3	2
15	Nice	3	2
16	Le Havre	3	1
17	Toulouse	3	1
18	Auxerre	3	0