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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 33 May 10, 2026 21:00 Stadium de Toulouse, Toulouse
Toulouse
#10 · 44 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Lyon
#4 · 60 pts
D. Methalie (ast. Y. Gboho) 10'
W. Kamanzi (ast. S. Hidalgo) 78'
71' (ast. Endrick) C. Tolisso
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lyon a 51% win probability (draw 23%, Toulouse 24%). The final result was Toulouse 2–1 Lyon. In 1 previous meetings, Toulouse have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Lyon.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
10
6
Shots on target
2
1.19
Actual xG
1.20
2
Saves
4
39%
Possession
61%
7
Corners
8
16
Tackles
18
6
🟨 Yellow cards
2
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
⚽D. Methalie · ast. Y. Gboho
10'
A. Donnum
26'
D. Methalie
44'
A. Vossah
45'+2
M. McKenzie
46'
57'
Endrick
C. Cresswell
58'
↕ D. Methalie / W. Kamanzi
60'
↕ A. Vossah / P. Demba
61'
↕ J. Russell-Rowe / Emersonn
61'
67'
P. Sulc / K. Merah ↕
70'
R. Yaremchuk
71'
ast. Endrick · C. Tolisso⚽
⚽W. Kamanzi · ast. S. Hidalgo
78'
A. Donnum
79'
A. Donnum
79'
↕ S. Hidalgo / D. Sidibe
82'
83'
N. Nartey / T. Morton ↕
83'
E. Nuamah / R. Yaremchuk ↕
89'
M. Fofana / A. Maitland-Niles ↕
↕ Y. Gboho / S. Koumbassa
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
24.99%
Toulouse ←
23.39%
X
51.62%
Lyon
we assigned to the actual result (Toulouse) 24.99% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Toulouse
1.62
1.19
-0.43
Lyon
2.35
1.20
-1.15
xG dominance was balanced (1.19 – 1.20). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Rodez Rodez 1 3
1 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 34 76
2 Lens Lens 34 70
2 RED Star FC 93 RED Star FC 93 1 0
3 Lille Lille 34 61
4 Lyon Lyon 34 60
5 Marseille Marseille 34 59
6 Rennes Rennes 34 59
7 Monaco Monaco 34 54
8 Strasbourg Strasbourg 34 53
9 Lorient Lorient 34 45
10 Toulouse Toulouse 33 44
11 Paris FC Paris FC 34 44
12 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 34 39
13 Angers Angers 34 36
14 Le Havre Le Havre 34 35
15 Auxerre Auxerre 34 34
16 Nice Nice 34 32
17 Nantes Nantes 33 23
18 Metz Metz 34 17
Lineups
Toulouse Toulouse 3-4-2-1
1 Guillaume Restes Guillaume Restes G 6.60
2 Rasmus Nicolaisen Rasmus Nicolaisen D 7.50
4 C. Cresswell C. Cresswell D 7.30
3 M. McKenzie M. McKenzie D 7.00
24 D. Methalie D. Methalie 1 ⚽ 60' M 7.60
23 C. Cásseres C. Cásseres M 7.00
45 A. Vossah A. Vossah 61' M 6.30
15 A. Dønnum A. Dønnum 79' M 6.20
10 Y. Gboho Y. Gboho 1 👟 F 7.90
11 S. Hidalgo S. Hidalgo 1 👟 82' F 7.20
13 Jacen Russell Rowe Jacen Russell Rowe 61' F 6.20
Bench
17 Abu Francis Abu Francis M
19 Djibril Sidibé Djibril Sidibé 15' D 6.70
20 Emersonn Emersonn 36' F 6.90
37 Ilyas Azizi Ilyas Azizi F
7 Julian Vignolo Julian Vignolo F
16 K. Haug K. Haug G
18 P. Diop P. Diop 36' M 6.30
35 Seny Koumbassa Seny Koumbassa 6' D
12 Waren Kamanzi Waren Kamanzi 1 ⚽ 37' D 7.50
Lyon Lyon 4-2-3-1
1 Dominik Greif Dominik Greif G 7.20
16 Abner Vinícius Abner Vinícius D 6.70
19 Moussa Niakhaté Moussa Niakhaté D 7.90
22 Clinton Mata Clinton Mata D 6.30
98 Ainsley Maitland-Niles Ainsley Maitland-Niles 89' D 6.90
8 C. Tolisso C. Tolisso 1 ⚽ M 7.60
23 T. Morton T. Morton 83' M 6.90
17 Afonso Moreira Afonso Moreira M 7.50
44 Khalis Merah Khalis Merah 67' M 6.50
9 Endrick Endrick 1 👟 M 6.30
77 Roman Yaremchuk Roman Yaremchuk 83' F 6.20
Bench
37 Ernest Nuamah Ernest Nuamah 14' F 6.70
33 Hans Hateboer Hans Hateboer D
11 Malick Fofana Malick Fofana 8' F 6.60
39 Mathys de Carvalho Mathys de Carvalho M
99 Noah Nartey Noah Nartey 14' M 6.70
3 N. Tagliafico N. Tagliafico D
10 P. Šulc P. Šulc 30' M 6.20
40 Rémy Descamps Rémy Descamps G
21 Ruben Kluivert Ruben Kluivert D
Best on the pitch
Y. Gboho
Y. Gboho
F · Toulouse
7.90
1 👟
3 shots · 32 pass
Moussa Niakhaté
Moussa Niakhaté
D · Lyon
7.90
· 67 pass
D. Methalie
D. Methalie
M · Toulouse
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 20 pass
C. Tolisso
C. Tolisso
M · Lyon
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots · 45 pass
Rasmus Nicolaisen
Rasmus Nicolaisen
D · Toulouse
7.50
· 19 pass
Afonso Moreira
Afonso Moreira
M · Lyon
7.50
1 shots · 46 pass
Toulouse Toulouse — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Guillaume Restes G 97 6.60 — — — 28 15% — — —
Rasmus Nicolaisen D 97 7.50 — — — 19 17% 2 — —
C. Cresswell D 97 7.30 — — 2 37 29% 3 1 —
M. McKenzie D 97 7.00 — — — 36 30% 1 1 —
D. Methalie M 60 7.60 1 — 1 20 17% 1 1 —
C. Cásseres M 97 7.00 — — — 49 41% 2 — —
A. Vossah M 61 6.30 — — — 14 12% — 1 —
A. Dønnum M 79 6.20 — — 1 26 24% — 2 1
Y. Gboho F 91 7.90 — 1 3 32 30% 6 — —
S. Hidalgo F 82 7.20 — 1 2 15 11% 1 — —
Jacen Russell Rowe F 61 6.20 — — — 8 7% — — —
Djibril Sidibé D 15 6.70 — — — 2 2% — — —
Emersonn F 36 6.90 — — — 8 7% — — —
P. Diop M 36 6.30 — — 1 7 5% — — —
Seny Koumbassa D 6 — — — — — — — — —
Waren Kamanzi D 37 7.50 1 — 1 3 3% — — —
Lyon Lyon — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Dominik Greif G 97 7.20 — — — 29 24% — — —
Abner Vinícius D 97 6.70 — — — 60 52% 3 — —
Moussa Niakhaté D 97 7.90 — — — 67 63% 3 — —
Clinton Mata D 97 6.30 — — — 67 64% — — —
Ainsley Maitland-Niles D 89 6.90 — — — 43 39% 3 — —
C. Tolisso M 97 7.60 1 — 2 45 38% — — —
T. Morton M 83 6.90 — — 1 56 49% 1 — —
Afonso Moreira M 97 7.50 — — 1 46 35% 1 — —
Khalis Merah M 67 6.50 — — 1 30 24% 2 — —
Endrick M 97 6.30 — 1 5 13 10% 2 1 —
Roman Yaremchuk F 83 6.20 — — — 8 8% 1 1 —
Ernest Nuamah F 14 6.70 — — — 4 3% 1 — —
Malick Fofana F 8 6.60 — — — 2 2% — — —
Noah Nartey M 14 6.70 — — — 4 4% 1 — —
P. Šulc M 30 6.20 — — — 6 3% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Toulouse vs Lyon?
The final score was Toulouse 2–1 Lyon.
What did the model predict before Toulouse vs Lyon?
The model assigned 24% probability to a Toulouse win, 23% to a draw, and 51% to an Lyon win.