D. Methalie
(ast. Y. Gboho)
10'
W. Kamanzi
(ast. S. Hidalgo)
78'
71'
(ast. Endrick)
C. Tolisso
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lyon a 51% win probability (draw 23%, Toulouse 24%). The final result was Toulouse 2–1 Lyon. In 2 previous meetings, Toulouse have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Lyon.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
10
6
Shots on target
2
1.19
Actual xG
1.20
2
Saves
4
39%
Possession
61%
7
Corners
8
16
Tackles
18
6
🟨 Yellow cards
2
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
⚽D. Methalie
· ast. Y. Gboho
10'
A. Donnum
26'
D. Methalie
44'
A. Vossah
45'+2
M. McKenzie
46'
57'
Endrick
C. Cresswell
58'
D. Methalie
/ W. Kamanzi
60'
A. Vossah
/ P. Demba
61'
J. Russell-Rowe
/ Emersonn
61'
67'
P. Sulc
/
K. Merah
70'
R. Yaremchuk
71'
ast. Endrick ·
C. Tolisso⚽
⚽W. Kamanzi
· ast. S. Hidalgo
78'
A. Donnum
79'
A. Donnum
79'
S. Hidalgo
/ D. Sidibe
82'
83'
N. Nartey
/
T. Morton
83'
E. Nuamah
/
R. Yaremchuk
89'
M. Fofana
/
A. Maitland-Niles
Y. Gboho
/ S. Koumbassa
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
24.99%
Toulouse ←
23.39%
X
51.62%
Lyon
we assigned to the actual result (Toulouse)
24.99%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.62
1.19
-0.43
2.35
1.20
-1.15
xG dominance was balanced (1.19 – 1.20).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G. Restes
G
G. Restes
G
2
R. Nicolaisen
D
R. Nicolaisen
D
4
C. Cresswell
D
C. Cresswell
D
3
M. McKenzie
D
M. McKenzie
D
24
D. Methalie
1 ⚽
60'
M
D. Methalie
1 ⚽
60'
M
23
C. Cásseres
M
C. Cásseres
M
45
A. Vossah
61'
M
A. Vossah
61'
M
15
A. Dønnum
79'
M
A. Dønnum
79'
M
10
Y. Gboho
1 👟
F
Y. Gboho
1 👟
F
11
S. Hidalgo
1 👟
82'
F
S. Hidalgo
1 👟
82'
F
13
J. Russell-Rowe
61'
F
J. Russell-Rowe
61'
F
Bench
17
Abu Francis
M
Abu Francis
M
19
D. Sidibé
15'
D
D. Sidibé
15'
D
20
Emersonn
36'
F
Emersonn
36'
F
7
Julián Vignolo
F
Julián Vignolo
F
16
K. Haug
G
K. Haug
G
18
P. Diop
36'
M
P. Diop
36'
M
35
S. Koumbassa
6'
D
S. Koumbassa
6'
D
12
Waren Kamanzi
1 ⚽
37'
D
Waren Kamanzi
1 ⚽
37'
D
37
Y. Azizi
F
Y. Azizi
F
1
D. Greif
G
D. Greif
G
16
Abner
D
Abner
D
19
M. Niakhaté
D
M. Niakhaté
D
22
Clinton Mata
D
Clinton Mata
D
98
A. Maitland-Niles
89'
D
A. Maitland-Niles
89'
D
8
C. Tolisso
1 ⚽
M
C. Tolisso
1 ⚽
M
23
T. Morton
83'
M
T. Morton
83'
M
17
Afonso Moreira
M
Afonso Moreira
M
44
K. Merah
67'
M
K. Merah
67'
M
9
Endrick
1 👟
M
Endrick
1 👟
M
77
R. Yaremchuk
83'
F
R. Yaremchuk
83'
F
Bench
37
E. Nuamah
14'
F
E. Nuamah
14'
F
33
Hans Hateboer
D
Hans Hateboer
D
39
Mathys de Carvalho
M
Mathys de Carvalho
M
11
M. Fofana
8'
F
M. Fofana
8'
F
99
N. Nartey
14'
M
N. Nartey
14'
M
3
N. Tagliafico
D
N. Tagliafico
D
10
P. Šulc
30'
M
P. Šulc
30'
M
40
R. Descamps
G
R. Descamps
G
21
R. Kluivert
D
R. Kluivert
D
Best on the pitch
Y. Gboho
F · Toulouse
7.90
1 👟
3 shots
· 32 pass
M. Niakhaté
D · Lyon
7.90
· 67 pass
D. Methalie
M · Toulouse
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 20 pass
C. Tolisso
M · Lyon
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 45 pass
R. Nicolaisen
D · Toulouse
7.50
· 19 pass
Afonso Moreira
M · Lyon
7.50
1 shots
· 46 pass
Toulouse — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Restes | G | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 28 | 15% | — | — | — |
| R. Nicolaisen | D | 97 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Cresswell | D | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 37 | 29% | 3 | 1 | — |
| M. McKenzie | D | 97 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 36 | 30% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D. Methalie | M | 60 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 20 | 17% | 1 | 1 | — |
| C. Cásseres | M | 97 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 49 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Vossah | M | 61 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Dønnum | M | 79 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 24% | — | 2 | 1 |
| Y. Gboho | F | 91 | 7.90 | — | 1 | 3 | 32 | 30% | 6 | — | — |
| S. Hidalgo | F | 82 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 2 | 15 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Russell-Rowe | F | 61 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| D. Sidibé | D | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Emersonn | F | 36 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| P. Diop | M | 36 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| S. Koumbassa | D | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Waren Kamanzi | D | 37 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
Lyon — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Greif | G | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Abner | D | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 60 | 52% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Niakhaté | D | 97 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 67 | 63% | 3 | — | — |
| Clinton Mata | D | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 67 | 64% | — | — | — |
| A. Maitland-Niles | D | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 43 | 39% | 3 | — | — |
| C. Tolisso | M | 97 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 45 | 38% | — | — | — |
| T. Morton | M | 83 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 56 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| Afonso Moreira | M | 97 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Merah | M | 67 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| Endrick | M | 97 | 6.30 | — | 1 | 5 | 13 | 10% | 2 | 1 | — |
| R. Yaremchuk | F | 83 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | 1 | 1 | — |
| E. Nuamah | F | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Fofana | F | 8 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| N. Nartey | M | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Šulc | M | 30 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Toulouse vs Lyon?
The final score was Toulouse 2–1 Lyon.
What did the model predict before Toulouse vs Lyon?
The model assigned 24% probability to a Toulouse win, 23% to a draw, and 51% to an Lyon win.