Toulouse 0–2 Lyon — pre-match prediction — Ligue 1 — August 22, 2026

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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 1 August 22, 2026 20:45 Stadium de Toulouse, Toulouse

Toulouse

#11 · 10 pts

0 – 2

Final score

Lyon

#5 · 14 pts

68' (ast. P. Sulc) N. Nartey

85' (ast. C. Tolisso) M. Fofana

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Toulouse a 33% win probability (draw 32%, Lyon 33%). The final result was Toulouse 0–2 Lyon. In 2 previous meetings, Toulouse have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Lyon.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

2.63

Actual xG

0.16

Saves

47%

Possession

53%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

N. Schmidt

31'

45'

N. Nartey

63'

M. Fofana / J. Duranville ↕

63'

P. Sulc / R. Himbert ↕

68'

ast. P. Sulc · N. Nartey⚽

69'

C. Tolisso / M. de Carvalho ↕

69'

T. Morton / N. Nartey ↕

↕ J. Vignolo / I. Azizi

71'

↕ I. Diallo / R. Messali

71'

↕ S. Hidalgo / J. Russell-Rowe

71'

80'

T. Tessmann / M. Bidstrup ↕

↕ Y. Gboho / S. Oppong

80'

85'

ast. C. Tolisso · M. Fofana⚽

↕ N. Schmidt / M. Saka

86'

90'+4

T. Tessmann

Pre-match prediction

33.89%

Toulouse

32.23%

33.89%

Lyon ←

we assigned to the actual result (Lyon) 33.89% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Toulouse

1.01

2.63

+1.62

Lyon

1.06

0.16

-0.9

Toulouse dominated by xG (2.63 vs 0.16). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Paris Saint Germain	8	17
2	Rennes	8	16
3	Lille	8	15
4	Monaco	8	15
5	Lyon	8	14
6	Paris FC	8	14
7	Lens	8	13
8	Marseille	8	12
9	Lorient	8	12
10	Nice	8	11
11	Toulouse	8	10
12	Auxerre	8	10
13	Stade Brestois 29	8	9
14	Angers	8	8
15	Le Mans	8	7
16	Strasbourg	8	7
17	Estac Troyes	8	5
18	Le Havre	8	2

Lineups

Toulouse 4-2-3-1

G. Restes 70' G 6.20

C. Tapé 70' D 6.20

R. Nicolaisen 70' D 7.20

M. McKenzie 70' D 6.70

I. Diallo 70' D 6.50

N. Schmidt 70' M 7.30

C. Cásseres 70' M 7.20

Y. Gboho 70' M 6.70

T. Jørgensen 70' M 7.20

Julián Vignolo 70' M 6.90

S. Hidalgo 70' F 6.20

Bench

D. Odogu D

J. Russell-Rowe F

Mathis Saka M

M. Niflore G

M. Sauer M

R. Messali M

S. Koumbassa D

S. Oppong F

Y. Azizi F

Lyon 4-3-3

R. Descamps 70' G 7.30

M. Ouédraogo 70' D 6.60

Clinton Mata 70' D 7.30

F. Bacher 70' D 6.90

Z. Athekame 70' D 6.90

N. Nartey 1 ⚽ 69' M 7.30

Mathys de Carvalho 69' M 6.60

M. Bidstrup 70' M 6.60

J. Duranville 63' F 6.70

R. Himbert 63' F 6.00

K. Boudache 70' F 6.90

Bench

C. Tolisso 1 👟 1' M

D. Greif G

E. Nuamah F

L. Openda F

M. Fofana 1 ⚽ 7' F

N. Tagliafico D

P. Šulc 1 👟 7' M

T. Morton 1' M

T. Tessmann M

Best on the pitch

N. Nartey

M · Lyon

7.30

1 ⚽

1 shots · 21 pass

N. Schmidt

M · Toulouse

7.30

· 40 pass

Clinton Mata

D · Lyon

7.30

· 69 pass

R. Descamps

G · Lyon

7.30

· 30 pass

R. Nicolaisen

D · Toulouse

7.20

2 shots · 40 pass

C. Cásseres

M · Toulouse

7.20

1 shots · 48 pass

Toulouse — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
G. Restes	G	70	6.20	—	—	—	31	29%	—	—	—
C. Tapé	D	70	6.20	—	—	2	24	20%	—	—	—
R. Nicolaisen	D	70	7.20	—	—	2	40	39%	1	—	—
M. McKenzie	D	70	6.70	—	—	—	42	39%	—	—	—
I. Diallo	D	70	6.50	—	—	—	23	15%	2	—	—
N. Schmidt	M	70	7.30	—	—	—	40	38%	2	1	—
C. Cásseres	M	70	7.20	—	—	1	48	42%	2	—	—
Y. Gboho	M	70	6.70	—	—	2	21	18%	—	—	—
T. Jørgensen	M	70	7.20	—	—	1	23	18%	3	—	—
Julián Vignolo	M	70	6.90	—	—	3	7	4%	1	—	—
S. Hidalgo	F	70	6.20	—	—	3	7	6%	—	—	—

Lyon — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
R. Descamps	G	70	7.30	—	—	—	30	24%	—	—	—
M. Ouédraogo	D	70	6.60	—	—	—	48	38%	—	—	—
Clinton Mata	D	70	7.30	—	—	—	69	68%	—	—	—
F. Bacher	D	70	6.90	—	—	—	57	55%	—	—	—
Z. Athekame	D	70	6.90	—	—	—	33	28%	2	—	—
N. Nartey	M	69	7.30	1	—	1	21	16%	1	1	—
Mathys de Carvalho	M	69	6.60	—	—	—	28	23%	2	—	—
M. Bidstrup	M	70	6.60	—	—	—	14	11%	3	—	—
J. Duranville	F	63	6.70	—	—	—	22	20%	—	—	—
R. Himbert	F	63	6.00	—	—	—	10	7%	—	—	—
K. Boudache	F	70	6.90	—	—	3	15	15%	1	—	—
C. Tolisso	M	1	—	—	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
M. Fofana	F	7	—	1	—	—	3	3%	—	—	—
P. Šulc	M	7	—	—	1	—	2	2%	—	—	—
T. Morton	M	1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Toulouse vs Lyon?

The final score was Toulouse 0–2 Lyon.

What did the model predict before Toulouse vs Lyon?

The model assigned 33% probability to a Toulouse win, 32% to a draw, and 33% to an Lyon win.