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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 1 August 22, 2026 20:45 Stadium de Toulouse, Toulouse
Toulouse
#17 · 1 pts
0 – 2
Final score
Lyon
#4 · 7 pts
68' (ast. P. Sulc) N. Nartey
85' (ast. C. Tolisso) M. Fofana
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Toulouse a 33% win probability (draw 32%, Lyon 33%). The final result was Toulouse 0–2 Lyon. In 2 previous meetings, Toulouse have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Lyon.

Match statistics
14
Total shots
4
2
Shots on target
1
2.63
Actual xG
0.16
0
Saves
2
47%
Possession
53%
6
Corners
4
11
Tackles
9
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
N. Schmidt
31'
45'
N. Nartey
63'
M. Fofana / J. Duranville ↕
63'
P. Sulc / R. Himbert ↕
68'
ast. P. Sulc · N. Nartey⚽
69'
C. Tolisso / M. de Carvalho ↕
69'
T. Morton / N. Nartey ↕
↕ J. Vignolo / I. Azizi
71'
↕ I. Diallo / R. Messali
71'
↕ S. Hidalgo / J. Russell-Rowe
71'
80'
T. Tessmann / M. Bidstrup ↕
↕ Y. Gboho / S. Oppong
80'
85'
ast. C. Tolisso · M. Fofana⚽
↕ N. Schmidt / M. Saka
86'
90'+4
T. Tessmann
Pre-match prediction
33.89%
Toulouse
32.23%
X
33.89%
Lyon ←
we assigned to the actual result (Lyon) 33.89% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Toulouse
1.01
2.63
+1.62
Lyon
1.06
0.16
-0.9
Toulouse dominated by xG (2.63 vs 0.16). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Monaco Monaco 4 10
2 Rennes Rennes 4 10
3 Paris FC Paris FC 3 7
4 Lyon Lyon 3 7
5 Lille Lille 3 7
6 Strasbourg Strasbourg 4 7
7 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 3 5
8 Lorient Lorient 3 4
9 Estac Troyes Estac Troyes 3 4
10 Lens Lens 3 3
11 Marseille Marseille 4 3
12 Angers Angers 3 3
13 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 3 2
14 Le Mans Le Mans 3 2
15 Nice Nice 3 2
16 Le Havre Le Havre 3 1
17 Toulouse Toulouse 3 1
18 Auxerre Auxerre 3 0
Lineups
Toulouse Toulouse 4-2-3-1
16 G. Restes G. Restes 70' G 6.20
12 C. Tapé C. Tapé 70' D 6.20
2 R. Nicolaisen R. Nicolaisen 70' D 7.20
3 M. McKenzie M. McKenzie 70' D 6.70
94 I. Diallo I. Diallo 70' D 6.50
31 N. Schmidt N. Schmidt 70' M 7.30
23 C. Cásseres C. Cásseres 70' M 7.20
10 Y. Gboho Y. Gboho 70' M 6.70
8 T. Jørgensen T. Jørgensen 70' M 7.20
7 Julián Vignolo Julián Vignolo 70' M 6.90
9 S. Hidalgo S. Hidalgo 70' F 6.20
Bench
19 D. Odogu D. Odogu D
13 J. Russell-Rowe J. Russell-Rowe F
28 Mathis Saka Mathis Saka M
60 M. Niflore M. Niflore G
77 M. Sauer M. Sauer M
22 R. Messali R. Messali M
5 S. Koumbassa S. Koumbassa D
11 S. Oppong S. Oppong F
37 Y. Azizi Y. Azizi F
Lyon Lyon 4-3-3
40 R. Descamps R. Descamps 70' G 7.30
76 M. Ouédraogo M. Ouédraogo 70' D 6.60
22 Clinton Mata Clinton Mata 70' D 7.30
20 F. Bacher F. Bacher 70' D 6.90
13 Z. Athekame Z. Athekame 70' D 6.90
99 N. Nartey N. Nartey 1 ⚽ 69' M 7.30
39 Mathys de Carvalho Mathys de Carvalho 69' M 6.60
2 M. Bidstrup M. Bidstrup 70' M 6.60
24 Julien Duranville Julien Duranville 63' F 6.70
45 R. Himbert R. Himbert 63' F 6.00
26 K. Boudache K. Boudache 70' F 6.90
Bench
8 C. Tolisso C. Tolisso 1 👟 1' M
1 D. Greif D. Greif G
7 E. Nuamah E. Nuamah F
17 L. Openda L. Openda F
11 M. Fofana M. Fofana 1 ⚽ 7' F
3 N. Tagliafico N. Tagliafico D
10 P. Šulc P. Šulc 1 👟 7' M
23 T. Morton T. Morton 1' M
6 T. Tessmann T. Tessmann M
Best on the pitch
N. Nartey
N. Nartey
M · Lyon
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 21 pass
N. Schmidt
N. Schmidt
M · Toulouse
7.30
· 40 pass
Clinton Mata
Clinton Mata
D · Lyon
7.30
· 69 pass
R. Descamps
R. Descamps
G · Lyon
7.30
· 30 pass
R. Nicolaisen
R. Nicolaisen
D · Toulouse
7.20
2 shots · 40 pass
C. Cásseres
C. Cásseres
M · Toulouse
7.20
1 shots · 48 pass
Toulouse Toulouse — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G. Restes G 70 6.20 — — — 31 29% — — —
C. Tapé D 70 6.20 — — 2 24 20% — — —
R. Nicolaisen D 70 7.20 — — 2 40 39% 1 — —
M. McKenzie D 70 6.70 — — — 42 39% — — —
I. Diallo D 70 6.50 — — — 23 15% 2 — —
N. Schmidt M 70 7.30 — — — 40 38% 2 1 —
C. Cásseres M 70 7.20 — — 1 48 42% 2 — —
Y. Gboho M 70 6.70 — — 2 21 18% — — —
T. Jørgensen M 70 7.20 — — 1 23 18% 3 — —
Julián Vignolo M 70 6.90 — — 3 7 4% 1 — —
S. Hidalgo F 70 6.20 — — 3 7 6% — — —
Lyon Lyon — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
R. Descamps G 70 7.30 — — — 30 24% — — —
M. Ouédraogo D 70 6.60 — — — 48 38% — — —
Clinton Mata D 70 7.30 — — — 69 68% — — —
F. Bacher D 70 6.90 — — — 57 55% — — —
Z. Athekame D 70 6.90 — — — 33 28% 2 — —
N. Nartey M 69 7.30 1 — 1 21 16% 1 1 —
Mathys de Carvalho M 69 6.60 — — — 28 23% 2 — —
M. Bidstrup M 70 6.60 — — — 14 11% 3 — —
Julien Duranville F 63 6.70 — — — 22 20% — — —
R. Himbert F 63 6.00 — — — 10 7% — — —
K. Boudache F 70 6.90 — — 3 15 15% 1 — —
C. Tolisso M 1 — — 1 — — — — — —
M. Fofana F 7 — 1 — — 3 3% — — —
P. Šulc M 7 — — 1 — 2 2% — — —
T. Morton M 1 — — — — — — — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Toulouse vs Lyon?
The final score was Toulouse 0–2 Lyon.
What did the model predict before Toulouse vs Lyon?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Toulouse win, 32% to a draw, and 33% to an Lyon win.