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Toulouse - Real Sociedad

Friendlies Clubs July 31, 2026 19:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.28%
Win
Toulouse
33.04%
Draw
33.68%
Win
Real Sociedad
0.9
Expected xG
1.13

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (9.08%)
1X2 Result
1 33%
X 33%
2 34%
Double Chance
1X 66%
X2 67%
12 67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 52%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Toulouse a 33% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 33% for Real Sociedad. Expected goals are 0.9 for Toulouse and 1.1 for Real Sociedad (total 2.0), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 9.08% probability.

Season Stats

Toulouse
0W 1D 0L
Real Sociedad
2W 1D 1L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
1.8
1.0
Conceded
1.2
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
75%
0%
O 2.5
50%
100%
BTTS
75%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
Based on the last 4 matches in Friendlies Clubs. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
100%
BTTS
Toulouse
0W 1D 0L · at home
Real Sociedad
2W 0D 0L · away
1.0
gls/g
3.0
1.0
Conceded
1.5
0%
Win %
100%
100%
Win or Draw
100%
100%
O 1.5
100%
0%
O 2.5
100%
0%
O 3.5
50%
100%
BTTS
100%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 2
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Toulouse Real Sociedad →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.1% 14.8% 8.4% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2%
1 11.8% 13.4% 7.6% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
2 5.3% 6.0% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.6% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1%

Recent form

D Rodez 1–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 16%
W Aston Villa 2–4
W Wolves 1–2
D Racing Santander 1–1
L PAU 0–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 12%

Playing profile

Toulouse Toulouse
Attack
25
Defence
75
Form
49
Real Sociedad Real Sociedad
Attack
45
Defence
68
Form
64
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Toulouse vs Real Sociedad?
The model gives Toulouse a 33% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 33% for an Real Sociedad win.
How many goals are expected in Toulouse vs Real Sociedad?
Expected goals: Toulouse 0.9, Real Sociedad 1.1 (total 2.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Toulouse vs Real Sociedad?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.08%.