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Tractor Sazi - Neftchi

AFC Champions League November 02, 2026 17:00
Tractor Sazi
#13 · 1 pts
vs
Neftchi
#10 · 3 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
32.31%
Win
Tractor Sazi
33.49%
Draw
34.2%
Win
Neftchi
0.69
Expected xG
0.89

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (10.37%)
1X2 Result
1 32%
X 33%
2 34%
Double Chance
1X 66%
X2 68%
12 67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 71%
Over 2.5 47%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Neftchi a 34% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 32% for Tractor Sazi. Expected goals are 0.7 for Tractor Sazi and 0.9 for Neftchi (total 1.6), with a 70% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.37% probability.

Season Stats

Tractor Sazi
5W 3D 4L
Neftchi
1W 0D 2L
Averages per game
1.1
Goals
1.0
0.8
Conceded
1.7
1.8
Shots OT
2.3
2.5
Corners
6.3
46%
Poss.
48%
Percentages
58%
O 1.5
67%
33%
O 2.5
67%
25%
BTTS
67%
50%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 12 matches in AFC Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 3.5
59%
BTTS
Tractor Sazi
2W 2D 2L · at home
Neftchi
0W 0D 1L · away
0.5
gls/g
1.0
1.0
Conceded
3.0
33%
Win %
0%
67%
Win or Draw
0%
50%
O 1.5
100%
33%
O 2.5
100%
0%
O 3.5
100%
17%
BTTS
100%
50%
Clean Sht
0%
67%
Failed to Score
0%
last 6
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Tractor Sazi Neftchi →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 20.6% 18.3% 8.1% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.3% 12.7% 5.6% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 4.9% 4.4% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% —
3 1.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% — —
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% — — —
5 — — — — — —

Recent form

Tractor Sazi Tractor Sazi
L Al Ain 2–1
D Al Shamal 0–0
L Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 1–0
L Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 0–3
W Al-Gharafa 0–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 37%
Neftchi Neftchi
L Al-Ittihad FC 1–2
L Al-Nassr 3–1
W Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 20%

Playing profile

Tractor Sazi Tractor Sazi
Attack
18
Defence
50
Form
33
Neftchi Neftchi
Attack
30
Defence
57
Form
0
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

West Region

# Team G Pts
1 Al Ain Al Ain 3 9
2 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 3 9
3 Al-Ahli Jeddah Al-Ahli Jeddah 3 7
4 Esteghlal FC Esteghlal FC 3 6
5 Al-Hilal Saudi FC Al-Hilal Saudi FC 3 6
6 Al Shamal Al Shamal 3 5
7 Al-Qadisiyah FC Al-Qadisiyah FC 3 5
8 Al-Ittihad FC Al-Ittihad FC 3 4
9 Al-Nassr Al-Nassr 2 3
10 Neftchi Neftchi 3 3
11 Al Quwa Al Jawiya Al Quwa Al Jawiya 3 3
12 Pakhtakor Pakhtakor 3 2
13 Tractor Sazi Tractor Sazi 3 1
14 Al Sadd Al Sadd 3 1
15 Al-Gharafa Al-Gharafa 3 0
16 Al-Wasl FC Al-Wasl FC 2 0

What's at stake · West Region

Top 2 advance to the next round

Tractor Sazi Neftchi
Current #13 #10
→ Tractor Sazi #9 #11
→ Draw #13 #9
→ Neftchi #13 #6

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Tractor Sazi vs Neftchi?
The model gives Tractor Sazi a 32% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 34% for an Neftchi win.
How many goals are expected in Tractor Sazi vs Neftchi?
Expected goals: Tractor Sazi 0.7, Neftchi 0.9 (total 1.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 70%.
What is the most likely score in Tractor Sazi vs Neftchi?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.37%.