Trans Narva - Flora Tallinn
Meistriliiga
May 16, 2026 13:30
⚡ Pre-match analysis
15.78%
Win
Trans Narva
17.4%
Draw
66.82%
Win
Flora Tallinn
0.75
3.06
Expected xG
Model prediction
Flora Tallinn
66.82%
Probability
62.5%
1X2 accuracy · 8 predictions (3 months)
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Flora Tallinn a 66% win probability, against 17% for a draw and 15% for Trans Narva. Expected goals are 0.7 for Trans Narva and 3.1 for Flora Tallinn (total 3.8), with a 80% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–3 at 10.6% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Trans Narva have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Flora Tallinn.
Score Matrix
↕ Trans Narva
Flora Tallinn →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.2% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 5.0% |
| 1 | 1.7% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 3.7% |
| 2 | 0.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| 4 | — | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Trans Narva
Attack
17
Defence
34
Form
25
Flora Tallinn
Attack
50
Defence
73
Form
63
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
0
Draw
1
L
22 Apr 2026
0–6
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Levadia Tallinn
|
11 | 27 |
| 2 |
Kalju Nomme
|
11 | 22 |
| 3 |
Flora Tallinn
|
11 | 21 |
| 4 |
Paide
|
11 | 20 |
| 5 |
Laagri
|
11 | 16 |
| 6 |
Nõmme United
|
11 | 13 |
| 7 |
Tammeka
|
11 | 13 |
| 8 |
Vaprus
|
11 | 13 |
| 9 |
Kuressaare
|
11 | 9 |
| 10 |
Trans Narva
|
11 | 6 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Trans Narva vs Flora Tallinn?
The model gives Trans Narva a 15% win probability, 17% for a draw, and 66% for an Flora Tallinn win.
How many goals are expected in Trans Narva vs Flora Tallinn?
Expected goals: Trans Narva 0.7, Flora Tallinn 3.1 (total 3.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 80%.
What is the most likely score in Trans Narva vs Flora Tallinn?
0–3 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.6%.