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#10 · 10 pts
1 – 0
Final score
#4 · 29 pts
Model wrong — prediction Paide, result Trans Narva wins
G. Slein 90'+2
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Paide a 69% win probability (draw 16%, Trans Narva 13%). The final result was Trans Narva 1–0 Paide. In 2 previous meetings, Trans Narva have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Paide.

Match statistics
Match Events
V. Kudriashov
44'
55'
R. Smirnov / Andrade
V. Kudriashov / M. Velijev
55'
68'
M. Jobarteh / P. A. Cham
D. Poliakov
69'
D. Pareiko
74'
G. Slein
76'
G. Slein
90'+2
90'+4
M. Jobarteh
90'
E. Tur / R. Nigula
Pre-match prediction
13.8%
Trans ←
16.51%
X
69.7%
Paide
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Trans Narva) 13.8% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Trans
0.69
Paide
3.05
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Levadia Tallinn FC Levadia Tallinn 18 43
2 Flora Tallinn Flora Tallinn 17 33
3 Kalju Nomme Kalju Nomme 18 31
4 Paide Paide 18 29
5 Tammeka Tammeka 16 23
6 Vaprus Vaprus 17 23
7 Nõmme United Nõmme United 17 19
8 Laagri Laagri 17 19
9 Kuressaare Kuressaare 17 17
10 Trans Narva Trans Narva 17 10
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Trans Narva vs Paide?
The final score was Trans Narva 1–0 Paide.
What did the model predict before Trans Narva vs Paide?
The model assigned 13% probability to a Trans Narva win, 16% to a draw, and 69% to an Paide win.