Meistriliiga · Regular Season - 20 July 18, 2026 16:00

Trans Narva

#10 · 16 pts

3 – 1

Final score

Vaprus

#5 · 27 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction Vaprus, result Trans Narva wins

N. Baljabkin (ast. J. Doke) 22'

A. Gero 27'

J. Imeh 90'+3

61' S. Kapper

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Vaprus a 59% win probability (draw 24%, Trans Narva 15%). The final result was Trans Narva 3–1 Vaprus. In 3 previous meetings, Trans Narva have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Vaprus.

Match statistics

Match Events

⚽N. Baljabkin · ast. J. Doke

22'

⚽A. Gero

27'

38'

M. Seppik

A. Skinjov

40'

46'

M. Villota / J. Poder ↕

↕ Elysee / Eriks Santos

59'

↕ A. Skinjov / E. Zuravljov

59'

61'

S. Kapper⚽

↕ M. Velijev / V. Kudriashov

65'

80'

V. Vallik / S. Viidas ↕

80'

K. Kauber / S. Kapper ↕

↕ J. Doke / J. Imeh

81'

90'+1

K. Kauber

⚽J. Imeh

90'+3

Pre-match prediction

15.96%

Trans ←

24.41%

X

59.62%

Vaprus

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Trans Narva) 15.96% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Trans

0.30

—

—

Vaprus

1.49

—

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	FC Levadia Tallinn	21	50
2	Kalju Nomme	22	41
3	Flora Tallinn	20	39
4	Paide	21	35
5	Vaprus	21	27
6	Tammeka	19	26
7	Nõmme United	22	25
8	Laagri	22	25
9	Kuressaare	22	21
10	Trans Narva	22	16