72'
T. Walker
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Penybont a 53% win probability (draw 23%, Trefelin 22%). The final result was Trefelin 0–1 Penybont.
Match statistics
Match Events
28'
39'
57'
61'
J. Leko
/
A. Baker
65'
C. Venables
/
E. Cann
B. Aman
/ J. Davies
68'
68'
72'
T. Walker⚽
77'
M. Thomas
/ J. Jones
80'
O. Degelman
/ D. John
80'
T. Brock
/ R. Piper
83'
K. Georgievsky
/ L. Phillips
83'
88'
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
22.93%
Trefelin
23.8%
X
53.27%
Penybont ←
we assigned to the actual result (Penybont)
53.27%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.34
—
—
2.28
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Trefelin vs Penybont?
The final score was Trefelin 0–1 Penybont.
What did the model predict before Trefelin vs Penybont?
The model assigned 22% probability to a Trefelin win, 23% to a draw, and 53% to an Penybont win.