✓Model correct — prediction The New Saints
J. Jones
36'
8'
R. Hughes
15'
R. Holden
65'
J. Bodenham
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave The New Saints a 75% win probability (draw 12%, Trefelin 12%). The final result was Trefelin 1–3 The New Saints.
Match statistics
Match Events
8'
R. Hughes⚽
15'
R. Holden⚽
34'
⚽J. Jones
36'
64'
Z. Nolan
/
D. Simeu
65'
J. Bodenham⚽
K. Owen
/ D. Horgan-Evans
66'
B. Aman
/ R. Piper
66'
73'
I. Jefferies
/
J. Lock
S. MacDonald
/ K. Parker
73'
L. Caramella-Gerrard
/ O. Degelman
73'
J. Jones
/ O. Davies
73'
78'
79'
B. Clark
/
B. Young
79'
E. Farrell
/
R. Holden
Pre-match prediction
12.68%
Trefelin
12.05%
X
75.27%
The ←
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (The New Saints)
75.27%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.43
—
—
4.28
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Trefelin vs The New Saints?
The final score was Trefelin 1–3 The New Saints.
What did the model predict before Trefelin vs The New Saints?
The model assigned 12% probability to a Trefelin win, 12% to a draw, and 75% to an The New Saints win.