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Treowen Stars - Cardiff Draconians

FAW Championship February 27, 2027 15:00
Treowen Stars
#7 · 13 pts
vs
Cardiff Draconians
#13 · 7 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
39.74%
Win
Treowen Stars
29.78%
Draw
30.48%
Win
Cardiff Draconians
2.09
Expected xG
1.23

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (8.86%)
1X2 Result
1 40%
X 30%
2 30%
Double Chance
1X 70%
X2 60%
12 70%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 57%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Treowen Stars a 39% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Cardiff Draconians. Expected goals are 2.1 for Treowen Stars and 1.2 for Cardiff Draconians (total 3.3), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 8.86% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Treowen Stars have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Cardiff Draconians.

Season Stats

Treowen Stars
7W 2D 6L
Cardiff Draconians
4W 3D 8L
Averages per game
2.1
Goals
1.7
2.3
Conceded
2.1
Percentages
93%
O 1.5
80%
80%
O 2.5
80%
73%
BTTS
73%
13%
Clean Sht
7%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in FAW Championship. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
45%
O 3.5
65%
BTTS
Treowen Stars
4W 3D 3L · at home
Cardiff Draconians
1W 2D 7L · away
2.0
gls/g
1.1
1.6
Conceded
1.8
40%
Win %
10%
70%
Win or Draw
30%
80%
O 1.5
60%
70%
O 2.5
60%
60%
O 3.5
30%
70%
BTTS
60%
20%
Clean Sht
20%
10%
Failed to Score
30%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Treowen Stars Cardiff Draconians →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.6% 4.5% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 7.6% 9.3% 5.7% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
2 7.9% 9.7% 6.0% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
3 5.5% 6.8% 4.2% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
4 2.9% 3.5% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.2% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% —

Recent form

Treowen Stars Treowen Stars
L Pontardawe Town 6–1
D Llantwit Major 1–1
W llanelli AFC 0–2
L Caerau (Ely) 3–2
W Carmarthen Town 2–4
Cardiff Draconians Cardiff Draconians
L Caerau (Ely) 1–3
W Baglan Dragons 2–1
W llanelli AFC 4–2
L Pontypridd Town 1–4
D Caerphilly Athletic 0–0

Playing profile

Treowen Stars Treowen Stars
Attack
52
Defence
55
Form
54
Cardiff Draconians Cardiff Draconians
Attack
40
Defence
54
Form
47
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Treowen Stars
0
Draw
1
Cardiff Draconians
21 Feb 2026 FAW Championship 1–0
8 Nov 2025 FAW Championship 3–4

South

# Team G Pts
1 Swansea University Swansea University 7 17
2 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 7 16
3 Pontypridd Town Pontypridd Town 7 16
4 Caerau (Ely) Caerau (Ely) 9 16
5 Baglan Dragons Baglan Dragons 10 16
6 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 9 14
7 Treowen Stars Treowen Stars 8 13
8 Afan Lido Afan Lido 10 11
9 Trethomas Bluebirds Trethomas Bluebirds 8 10
10 Ynyshir Albions Ynyshir Albions 7 10
11 Caerphilly Athletic Caerphilly Athletic 8 8
12 Newport City Newport City 6 7
13 Cardiff Draconians Cardiff Draconians 6 7
14 Llantwit Major Llantwit Major 7 7
15 Pontardawe Town Pontardawe Town 7 6
16 llanelli AFC llanelli AFC 10 2

What's at stake · South

Top 2 advance to the next round

Treowen Stars Cardiff Draconians
Current #7 #13
→ Treowen Stars #5 #13
→ Draw #7 #11
→ Cardiff Draconians #7 #11

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Treowen Stars vs Cardiff Draconians?
The model gives Treowen Stars a 39% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 30% for an Cardiff Draconians win.
How many goals are expected in Treowen Stars vs Cardiff Draconians?
Expected goals: Treowen Stars 2.1, Cardiff Draconians 1.2 (total 3.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Treowen Stars vs Cardiff Draconians?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.86%.