Treowen Stars - Pontypridd Town
FAW Championship
August 01, 2026 15:30
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.33%
Win
Treowen Stars
33.33%
Draw
33.33%
Win
Pontypridd Town
2.53
1.75
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(10.06%)
1X2 Result
1
33%
X
33%
2
33%
Double Chance
1X
67%
X2
67%
12
67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
52%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Treowen Stars a 33% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 33% for Pontypridd Town. Expected goals are 2.5 for Treowen Stars and 1.8 for Pontypridd Town (total 4.3), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.06% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Treowen Stars have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Pontypridd Town.
Season Stats
6W
3D
6L
5W
4D
6L
Averages per game
1.7
Goals
1.3
2.0
Conceded
1.5
Percentages
87%
O 1.5
67%
73%
O 2.5
53%
67%
BTTS
40%
13%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in FAW Championship. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
55%
O 3.5
55%
BTTS
6W
2D
2L
· at home
3W
4D
3L
· away
2.1
gls/g
1.7
1.2
Conceded
1.6
60%
Win %
30%
80%
Win or Draw
70%
80%
O 1.5
70%
60%
O 2.5
60%
50%
O 3.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%
40%
Clean Sht
20%
10%
Failed to Score
30%
last 10
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Treowen Stars
Pontypridd Town →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 3.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| 2 | 4.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| 3 | 3.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| 4 | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 5 | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
Recent form
Playing profile
Treowen Stars
Attack
45
Defence
44
Form
50
Pontypridd Town
Attack
37
Defence
49
Form
49
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Caersws
|
0 | 0 |
| 2 |
Newtown AFC
|
0 | 0 |
| 3 |
Porthmadog
|
0 | 0 |
| 4 |
Guilsfield
|
0 | 0 |
| 5 |
Holyhead Hotspur
|
0 | 0 |
| 6 |
Rhyl
|
0 | 0 |
| 7 |
Gresford Athletic
|
0 | 0 |
| 8 |
Penrhyncoch
|
0 | 0 |
| 9 |
Denbigh Town
|
0 | 0 |
| 10 |
Buckley Town
|
0 | 0 |
| 11 |
Bala Town
|
0 | 0 |
| 12 |
Brickfield Rangers
|
0 | 0 |
| 13 |
Mold Alexandra
|
0 | 0 |
| 14 |
Ruthin Town
|
0 | 0 |
| 15 |
Llanuwchllyn
|
0 | 0 |
| 16 |
Bangor City 1876 FC
|
0 | 0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Treowen Stars vs Pontypridd Town?
The model gives Treowen Stars a 33% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 33% for an Pontypridd Town win.
How many goals are expected in Treowen Stars vs Pontypridd Town?
Expected goals: Treowen Stars 2.5, Pontypridd Town 1.8 (total 4.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Treowen Stars vs Pontypridd Town?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.06%.