Trethomas Bluebirds - Llantwit Major
FAW Championship
November 07, 2026 15:30
⚡ Pre-match analysis
49.67%
Win
Trethomas Bluebirds
23.08%
Draw
27.25%
Win
Llantwit Major
2.76
1.55
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
2–1
(8.38%)
1X2 Result
1
50%
X
23%
2
27%
Double Chance
1X
73%
X2
50%
12
77%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
83%
Over 2.5
63%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Trethomas Bluebirds a 49% win probability, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Llantwit Major. Expected goals are 2.8 for Trethomas Bluebirds and 1.5 for Llantwit Major (total 4.3), with a 82% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.38% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Trethomas Bluebirds have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Llantwit Major.
Season Stats
4W
7D
4L
3W
3D
9L
Averages per game
2.1
Goals
1.1
1.9
Conceded
2.5
Percentages
93%
O 1.5
93%
73%
O 2.5
67%
93%
BTTS
67%
7%
Clean Sht
13%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in FAW Championship. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
75%
O 3.5
75%
BTTS
4W
3D
3L
· at home
4W
2D
4L
· away
2.7
gls/g
1.7
2.3
Conceded
2.3
40%
Win %
40%
70%
Win or Draw
60%
80%
O 1.5
100%
80%
O 2.5
80%
80%
O 3.5
70%
80%
BTTS
70%
20%
Clean Sht
20%
10%
Failed to Score
10%
last 10
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Trethomas Bluebirds
Llantwit Major →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 3.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 2 | 5.1% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| 3 | 4.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 3.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 5 | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Recent form
Playing profile
Trethomas Bluebirds
Attack
58
Defence
57
Form
58
Llantwit Major
Attack
38
Defence
57
Form
48
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
South
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Pontypridd Town
|
13 | 27 |
| 2 |
Aberystwyth Town
|
10 | 22 |
| 3 |
Caerau (Ely)
|
13 | 22 |
| 4 |
Swansea University
|
10 | 21 |
| 5 |
Baglan Dragons
|
13 | 20 |
| 6 |
Ynyshir Albions
|
11 | 19 |
| 7 |
Afan Lido
|
14 | 18 |
| 8 |
Treowen Stars
|
12 | 17 |
| 9 |
Trethomas Bluebirds
|
12 | 16 |
| 10 |
Carmarthen Town
|
12 | 15 |
| 11 |
Pontardawe Town
|
11 | 14 |
| 12 |
Caerphilly Athletic
|
13 | 14 |
| 13 |
Newport City
|
11 | 13 |
| 14 |
Cardiff Draconians
|
10 | 12 |
| 15 |
Llantwit Major
|
11 | 11 |
| 16 |
llanelli AFC
|
14 | 3 |
What's at stake · South
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #9 | #15 |
| → Trethomas Bluebirds | #7 | #15 |
| → Draw | #8 | #15 |
| → Llantwit Major | #9 | #13 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Trethomas Bluebirds vs Llantwit Major?
The model gives Trethomas Bluebirds a 49% win probability, 23% for a draw, and 27% for an Llantwit Major win.
How many goals are expected in Trethomas Bluebirds vs Llantwit Major?
Expected goals: Trethomas Bluebirds 2.8, Llantwit Major 1.5 (total 4.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 82%.
What is the most likely score in Trethomas Bluebirds vs Llantwit Major?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.38%.