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← Brasileirão Série D
#1 · 17 pts
1 – 2
Final score
#4 · 13 pts
Model wrong — prediction Treze, result Lagarto wins
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Treze a 57% win probability (draw 21%, Lagarto 20%). The final result was Treze 1–2 Lagarto. In 1 previous meetings, Treze have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Lagarto.

Match statistics
Pre-match prediction
57.49%
Treze
21.89%
X
20.62%
Lagarto ←
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Lagarto) 20.62% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Treze
3.93
Lagarto
0.97
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Treze Treze 9 17
2 Serra Branca Serra Branca 9 14
3 Sergipe Sergipe 9 14
4 Lagarto Lagarto 9 10
5 Retrô Retrô 9 9
6 Decisão Decisão 9 8
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Treze vs Lagarto?
The final score was Treze 1–2 Lagarto.
What did the model predict before Treze vs Lagarto?
The model assigned 57% probability to a Treze win, 21% to a draw, and 20% to an Lagarto win.