✗Model wrong — prediction Tromso, result Draw
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Tromso a 60% win probability (draw 18%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 21%). The final result was Tromso 0–0 Sarpsborg 08 FF. In 1 previous meetings, Tromso have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Sarpsborg 08 FF.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
2
7
Shots on target
2
1.08
Actual xG
0.37
2
Saves
7
50%
Possession
50%
3
Corners
3
14
Tackles
14
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
H. Larsen
57'
63'
V. E. Halvorsen
/
A. Nibe
L. Hien
74'
H. Larsen
/ Ieltsin Camoes
76'
79'
M. Opoku
/
A. Sher
82'
C. Niyukuri
S. Innvaer
/ I. Dahlqvist
82'
85'
E. Wichne
/
A. Hiim
85'
P. Reinhardsen
/
C. Niyukuri
L. O. Larsen
/ J. Grundt
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
60.1%
Tromso
18.66%
X ←
21.24%
Sarpsborg
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
18.66%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.39
1.08
-1.31
1.34
0.37
-0.97
Tromso dominated by xG (1.08 vs 0.37).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
J. Haugaard
G
J. Haugaard
G
29
A. Warneryd
D
A. Warneryd
D
30
I. Vådebu
D
I. Vådebu
D
21
L. Hien
D
L. Hien
D
24
V. Osuji
D
V. Osuji
D
37
S. Innvær
82'
D
S. Innvær
82'
D
7
L. Olden Larsen
M
L. Olden Larsen
M
11
R. Jenssen
M
R. Jenssen
M
5
D. Edvardsson
M
D. Edvardsson
M
22
H. Larsen
76'
F
H. Larsen
76'
F
10
T. Nyhammer
F
T. Nyhammer
F
Bench
19
Aleksander Lilletun Elvebu
M
Aleksander Lilletun Elvebu
M
16
Benjamin Myrvold
D
Benjamin Myrvold
D
17
I. Dahlqvist
11'
M
I. Dahlqvist
11'
M
20
Ieltsin Camões
17'
F
Ieltsin Camões
17'
F
8
Jesper Andreas Grundt
1'
M
Jesper Andreas Grundt
1'
M
3
Mathias Tonnessen
D
Mathias Tonnessen
D
27
M. Mikkelsen
M
M. Mikkelsen
M
12
O. Lauvli
G
O. Lauvli
G
15
Viktor Ekblom
F
Viktor Ekblom
F
87
L. Øy
G
L. Øy
G
21
A. Hiim
85'
D
A. Hiim
85'
D
2
M. Lode
D
M. Lode
D
4
B. Utvik
D
B. Utvik
D
12
C. Niyukuri
85'
D
C. Niyukuri
85'
D
77
O. Skarsem
M
O. Skarsem
M
6
A. Sher
79'
M
A. Sher
79'
M
8
S. Christiansen
M
S. Christiansen
M
10
S. Sørli
M
S. Sørli
M
33
A. Nibe
63'
F
A. Nibe
63'
F
11
D. Karlsbakk
F
D. Karlsbakk
F
Bench
18
Bop Gueye
M
Bop Gueye
M
7
Camil Mmaee
M
Camil Mmaee
M
32
E. Wichne
8'
D
E. Wichne
8'
D
1
J. Pryts
G
J. Pryts
G
5
L. Høyland
D
L. Høyland
D
15
M. Opoku
14'
M
M. Opoku
14'
M
17
N. Williams
M
N. Williams
M
20
Peter Reinhardsen
8'
D
Peter Reinhardsen
8'
D
22
Victor Emanuel Halvorsen
30'
M
Victor Emanuel Halvorsen
30'
M
Best on the pitch
L. Øy
G · Sarpsborg
8.50
· 34 pass
I. Vådebu
D · Tromso
8.00
1 shots
· 79 pass
A. Warneryd
D · Tromso
7.90
2 shots
· 52 pass
C. Niyukuri
D · Sarpsborg
7.90
1 shots
· 54 pass
T. Nyhammer
F · Tromso
7.60
3 shots
· 36 pass
J. Haugaard
G · Tromso
7.30
· 43 pass
Tromso — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Haugaard | G | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 43 | 31% | — | — | — |
| A. Warneryd | D | 93 | 7.90 | — | — | 2 | 52 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Vådebu | D | 93 | 8.00 | — | — | 1 | 79 | 70% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Hien | D | 93 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 76 | 64% | 3 | 1 | — |
| V. Osuji | D | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 61 | 57% | 3 | — | — |
| S. Innvær | D | 82 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 47 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Olden Larsen | M | 92 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 29 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| R. Jenssen | M | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 23% | — | — | — |
| D. Edvardsson | M | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 45 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Larsen | F | 76 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 11% | — | 1 | — |
| T. Nyhammer | F | 93 | 7.60 | — | — | 3 | 36 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Dahlqvist | M | 11 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Ieltsin Camões | F | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Jesper Andreas Grundt | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Sarpsborg 08 FF — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Øy | G | 93 | 8.50 | — | — | — | 34 | 19% | — | — | — |
| A. Hiim | D | 85 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 66 | 60% | — | — | — |
| M. Lode | D | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 66 | 61% | — | — | — |
| B. Utvik | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 52 | 46% | — | — | — |
| C. Niyukuri | D | 85 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 42% | 5 | 1 | — |
| O. Skarsem | M | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 51 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Sher | M | 79 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 65 | 60% | — | — | — |
| S. Christiansen | M | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 45 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Sørli | M | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Nibe | F | 63 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Karlsbakk | F | 93 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Wichne | D | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| M. Opoku | M | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Peter Reinhardsen | D | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Victor Emanuel Halvorsen | M | 30 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Tromso vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?
The final score was Tromso 0–0 Sarpsborg 08 FF.
What did the model predict before Tromso vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?
The model assigned 60% probability to a Tromso win, 18% to a draw, and 21% to an Sarpsborg 08 FF win.