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TSV 1860 München - Holstein Kiel

DFB Pokal August 22, 2026 18:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
34.4%
Win
TSV 1860 München
33.12%
Draw
32.47%
Win
Holstein Kiel
0.94
Expected xG
0.89

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (12.33%)
1X2 Result
1 34%
X 33%
2 32%
Double Chance
1X 68%
X2 66%
12 67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 77%
Over 2.5 55%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives TSV 1860 München a 34% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 32% for Holstein Kiel. Expected goals are 0.9 for TSV 1860 München and 0.9 for Holstein Kiel (total 1.8), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.33% probability.

Score Matrix

↕ TSV 1860 München Holstein Kiel →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 16.1% 14.3% 6.4% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.0% 13.4% 6.0% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 7.0% 6.3% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
3 2.2% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1%

Recent form

No data available
Home clean sheet (120 days) 20%
L VfB Stuttgart 0–3
D Hamburger SV 0–0
W VfL Wolfsburg 0–1
W FC 08 Homburg 0–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 24%

Playing profile

TSV 1860 München TSV 1860 München
Attack
30
Defence
62
Form
50
Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel
Attack
41
Defence
54
Form
48
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win TSV 1860 München vs Holstein Kiel?
The model gives TSV 1860 München a 34% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 32% for an Holstein Kiel win.
How many goals are expected in TSV 1860 München vs Holstein Kiel?
Expected goals: TSV 1860 München 0.9, Holstein Kiel 0.9 (total 1.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in TSV 1860 München vs Holstein Kiel?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.33%.