Bundesliga · Championship Group - 29 April 26, 2026 14:30

TSV Hartberg

#6 · 7 pts

1 – 5

Final score

Lask Linz

#1 · 15 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Lask Linz

E. Havel (ast. T. Kainz) 48'

5' X. Mbuyamba

30' (ast. M. Usor) S. Kalajdzic

46' (ast. M. Entrup) M. Usor

90'+2 (ast. S. Kalajdzic) C. Lang

90'+5 S. Kalajdzic

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lask Linz a 60% win probability (draw 20%, TSV Hartberg 18%). The final result was TSV Hartberg 1–5 Lask Linz. In 3 previous meetings, TSV Hartberg have won 0 times, with 3 draws and 0 wins for Lask Linz.

Match statistics

5

Total shots

14

2

Shots on target

9

0.67

Actual xG

1.93

4

Saves

1

54%

Possession

46%

6

Corners

2

19

Tackles

14

2

🟨 Yellow cards

2

Match Events

5'

X. Mbuyamba⚽

30'

ast. M. Usor · S. Kalajdzic⚽

↕ L. Fridrikas / E. Havel

46'

↕ H. Coulibaly / M. Aziz

46'

↕ L. Pazourek / M. Hennig

46'

46'

ast. M. Entrup · M. Usor⚽

⚽E. Havel · ast. T. Kainz

48'

52'

M. Cisse

57'

S. Kalajdzic

M. Aziz

59'

64'

I. Coulibaly / M. Bogarde ↕

64'

C. Lang / M. Usor ↕

75'

K. Danek / M. Entrup ↕

↕ T. Kainz / D. Korherr

75'

↕ B. Markus / J. Halwachs

83'

87'

F. Flecker / G. Bello ↕

87'

K. Cheikne / M. Cisse ↕

M. Hoffmann

89'

90'+2

ast. S. Kalajdzic · C. Lang⚽

90'+5

S. Kalajdzic⚽

Pre-match prediction

18.69%

TSV

20.8%

X

60.51%

Lask ←

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Lask Linz) 60.51% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

TSV

0.62

0.67

+0.05

Lask

2.02

1.93

-0.09

Lask Linz dominated by xG (1.93 vs 0.67). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Lask Linz	6	15
2	Rapid Vienna	6	15
3	Red Bull Salzburg	6	14
4	Sturm Graz	6	11
5	WSG Wattens	6	8
6	TSV Hartberg	6	7
7	Grazer AK	6	7
8	Austria Vienna	6	6
9	Wolfsberger AC	6	5
10	Ried	6	5
11	Austria Lustenau	6	5
12	SCR Altach	6	3

Lineups

TSV Hartberg 3-5-1-1

40 T. Hülsmann G 5.30

6 Habib Coulibaly 45' D 6.50

19 L. Spendlhofer D 5.30

18

D 6.60

2 Luca Pazourek 45' M 6.30

4 B. Markuš 83' M 6.20

23 T. Kainz 1 👟 75' M 6.90

95 D. Kovacevic M 6.30

28 J. Heil M 7.70

30 Lukas Fridrikas 45' F 6.30

22

F 6.20

Bench

7 E. Havel 1 ⚽ 45' F 7.20

33 Maximilian Hennig 45' D 5.60

61

M. Aziz 45' F 6.90

Lask Linz 3-4-1-2

1

G 7.30

16 A. Andrade D 6.90

48 Modou Kéba Cissé 87' D 6.60

3 X. Mbuyamba 1 ⚽ D 8.60

2 G. Bello 87' M 6.90

30 S. Horvath M 7.20

6 M. Bogarde 64' M 6.90

20 K. Jørgensen M 6.30

10 S. Kalajdzic 2 ⚽ 1 👟 F 9.20

11 M. Entrup 1 👟 75' F 6.30

8 M. Usor 1 ⚽ 1 👟 64' F 8.20

Bench

27 C. Lang 1 ⚽ 26' F 7.20

4 I. Coulibaly 26' M 7.20

9 K. Daněk 15' M 6.60

Best on the pitch

S. Kalajdzic

F · Lask

9.20

2 ⚽ 1 👟

5 shots · 24 pass

X. Mbuyamba

D · Lask

8.60

1 ⚽

1 shots · 45 pass

M. Usor

F · Lask

8.20

1 ⚽ 1 👟

2 shots · 30 pass

J. Heil

M · TSV

7.70

· 58 pass

G · Lask

7.30

· 30 pass

I. Coulibaly

M · Lask

7.20

· 11 pass

TSV Hartberg — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
T. Hülsmann	G	90	5.30	—	—	—	25	20%	—	—	—
Habib Coulibaly	D	45	6.50	—	—	—	28	21%	2	—	—
L. Spendlhofer	D	90	5.30	—	—	—	73	68%	—	—	—
	D	90	6.60	—	—	—	65	61%	4	—	—
Luca Pazourek	M	45	6.30	—	—	—	4	3%	2	—	—
B. Markuš	M	83	6.20	—	—	—	47	35%	2	—	—
T. Kainz	M	75	6.90	—	1	—	31	24%	1	—	—
D. Kovacevic	M	90	6.30	—	—	—	21	16%	1	—	—
J. Heil	M	90	7.70	—	—	—	58	47%	4	—	—
Lukas Fridrikas	F	45	6.30	—	—	2	11	9%	—	—	—
	F	90	6.20	—	—	2	25	15%	3	1	—
E. Havel	F	45	7.20	1	—	1	10	7%	—	—	—
Maximilian Hennig	D	45	5.60	—	—	—	16	12%	—	—	—
M. Aziz	F	45	6.90	—	—	—	19	16%	—	1	—

Lask Linz — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	7.30	—	—	—	30	21%	—	—	—
A. Andrade	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	59	47%	—	—	—
Modou Kéba Cissé	D	87	6.60	—	—	—	38	35%	—	1	—
X. Mbuyamba	D	90	8.60	1	—	1	45	39%	3	—	—
G. Bello	M	87	6.90	—	—	—	24	23%	1	—	—
S. Horvath	M	90	7.20	—	—	1	41	39%	3	—	—
M. Bogarde	M	64	6.90	—	—	—	32	29%	1	—	—
K. Jørgensen	M	90	6.30	—	—	1	28	22%	—	—	—
S. Kalajdzic	F	90	9.20	2	1	5	24	17%	1	1	—
M. Entrup	F	75	6.30	—	1	2	6	4%	—	—	—
M. Usor	F	64	8.20	1	1	2	30	20%	2	—	—
C. Lang	F	26	7.20	1	—	1	11	10%	—	—	—
I. Coulibaly	M	26	7.20	—	—	—	11	9%	3	—	—
K. Daněk	M	15	6.60	—	—	1	5	2%	—	—	—