Bundesliga · Championship Group - 25 April 05, 2026 14:30

TSV Hartberg

#6 · 14 pts

1 – 2

Final score

Red Bull Salzburg

#2 · 24 pts

E. Havel (ast. J. Drew) 30'

57' K. Konate

58' (ast. E. Baidoo) S. Kitano

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Red Bull Salzburg a 38% win probability (draw 33%, TSV Hartberg 28%). The final result was TSV Hartberg 1–2 Red Bull Salzburg. In 4 previous meetings, TSV Hartberg have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for Red Bull Salzburg.

Match statistics

11

Total shots

14

3

Shots on target

8

1.19

Actual xG

2.06

6

Saves

2

38%

Possession

62%

2

Corners

7

13

Tackles

11

1

🟨 Yellow cards

3

1

🟥 Red cards

0

Match Events

⚽E. Havel · ast. J. Drew

30'

36'

Karim Konaté

46'

S. Lainer / T. Drexler ↕

46'

K. Alajbegovic / F. Kratzig ↕

51'

Stefan Lainer

57'

K. Konate⚽

58'

ast. E. Baidoo · S. Kitano⚽

↕ L. Fridrikas / M. Aziz

62'

↕ J. Drew / M. Hoffmann

62'

↕ M. Hennig / L. Pazourek

62'

70'

Aleksa Terzić

71'

M. Kjaergaard / E. Baidoo ↕

Tom Hülsmann

74'

77'

↕ T. Kainz / Y. Diarra

79'

82'

Lukas Spendlhofer

83'

89'

K. Onisiwo / K. Konate ↕

90'+4

S. Diabate / S. Kitano ↕

Pre-match prediction

28.29%

TSV

33.38%

X

38.32%

Red ←

we assigned to the actual result (Red Bull Salzburg) 38.32% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

TSV

0.51

1.19

+0.68

Red

1.11

2.06

+0.95

Red Bull Salzburg dominated by xG (2.06 vs 1.19). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Rapid Vienna	10	27
2	Red Bull Salzburg	10	24
3	Lask Linz	10	19
4	Sturm Graz	10	18
5	Ried	10	15
6	TSV Hartberg	10	14
7	WSG Wattens	10	12
8	Grazer AK	10	10
9	SCR Altach	10	9
10	Austria Lustenau	10	8
11	Austria Vienna	10	7
12	Wolfsberger AC	10	5

Lineups

TSV Hartberg 5-3-2

40 T. Hülsmann G 7.50

33 Maximilian Hennig 62' D 6.20

6 Habib Coulibaly D 7.00

19 L. Spendlhofer 83' D 6.70

18

D 6.20

28 J. Heil D 7.20

23 T. Kainz 79' M 6.30

30 Lukas Fridrikas 62' M 6.30

4 B. Markuš M 6.30

7 E. Havel 1 ⚽ F 8.30

79 J. Drew 1 👟 62' F 7.00

Bench

95 D. Kovacevic D

2 L. Pazourek 28' M 6.30

61

M. Aziz 36' F 6.70

22 M. Hoffman

Red Bull Salzburg 4-2-3-1

1

G 7.30

3 A. Terzić D 5.90

44 Jannik Schuster D 6.90

23

D 7.20

21 T. Drexler 45' D 6.30

13 F. Krätzig 45' M 6.90

18 M. Bidstrup M 7.20

11 Y. Vertessen M 6.20

8 S. Kitano 1 ⚽ 89' M 8.00

20 E. Baidoo 1 👟 71' M 7.00

19 K. Konaté 1 ⚽ 89' F 6.20

Bench

9 Karim Onisiwo 9' F 6.30

27 Kerim-Sam Alajbegović 45' F 8.30

14 M. Kjærgaard 19' M 6.70

5 S. Diabaté 1' M

22 S. Lainer 45' D 6.50

Best on the pitch

Kerim-Sam Alajbegović

F · Red

8.30

· 10 pass

E. Havel

F · TSV

8.30

1 ⚽

3 shots · 14 pass

S. Kitano

M · Red

8.00

1 ⚽

1 shots · 36 pass

T. Hülsmann

G · TSV

7.50

· 38 pass

G · Red

7.30

· 30 pass

M. Bidstrup

M · Red

7.20

1 shots · 50 pass

TSV Hartberg — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
T. Hülsmann	G	90	7.50	—	—	—	38	16%	—	1	—
Maximilian Hennig	D	62	6.20	—	—	—	19	11%	2	—	—
Habib Coulibaly	D	90	7.00	—	—	1	28	21%	—	—	—
L. Spendlhofer	D	83	6.70	—	—	—	21	17%	1	—	1
	D	90	6.20	—	—	—	22	14%	—	—	—
J. Heil	D	90	7.20	—	—	2	26	22%	3	—	—
T. Kainz	M	79	6.30	—	—	—	17	14%	—	—	—
Lukas Fridrikas	M	62	6.30	—	—	—	12	10%	—	—	—
B. Markuš	M	90	6.30	—	—	2	39	25%	3	—	—
E. Havel	F	90	8.30	1	—	3	14	7%	2	—	—
J. Drew	F	62	7.00	—	1	—	12	10%	2	—	—
L. Pazourek	M	28	6.30	—	—	1	6	4%	—	—	—
M. Aziz	F	36	6.70	—	—	2	1	—	—	—	—

Red Bull Salzburg — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	7.30	—	—	—	30	23%	—	—	—
A. Terzić	D	90	5.90	—	—	2	47	37%	2	1	—
Jannik Schuster	D	90	6.90	—	—	2	65	58%	—	—	—
	D	90	7.20	—	—	—	68	54%	3	—	—
T. Drexler	D	45	6.30	—	—	—	23	19%	—	—	—
F. Krätzig	M	45	6.90	—	—	—	22	18%	1	—	—
M. Bidstrup	M	90	7.20	—	—	1	50	43%	2	—	—
Y. Vertessen	M	90	6.20	—	—	3	20	16%	—	—	—
S. Kitano	M	89	8.00	1	—	1	36	33%	2	—	—
E. Baidoo	M	71	7.00	—	1	—	29	24%	—	—	—
K. Konaté	F	89	6.20	1	—	4	10	6%	—	1	—
Karim Onisiwo	F	9	6.30	—	—	—	4	3%	—	—	—
Kerim-Sam Alajbegović	F	45	8.30	—	—	—	10	9%	1	—	—
M. Kjærgaard	M	19	6.70	—	—	—	6	5%	—	—	—
S. Diabaté	M	1	—	—	—	—	2	2%	—	—	—
S. Lainer	D	45	6.50	—	—	1	9	7%	—	1	—