Bundesliga
· Championship Group - 25
April 05, 2026 14:30
E. Havel
(ast. J. Drew)
30'
57'
K. Konate
58'
(ast. E. Baidoo)
S. Kitano
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Red Bull Salzburg a 38% win probability (draw 33%, TSV Hartberg 28%). The final result was TSV Hartberg 1–2 Red Bull Salzburg. In 4 previous meetings, TSV Hartberg have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for Red Bull Salzburg.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
14
3
Shots on target
8
1.19
Actual xG
2.06
6
Saves
2
38%
Possession
62%
2
Corners
7
13
Tackles
11
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
⚽E. Havel
· ast. J. Drew
30'
36'
Karim Konaté
46'
S. Lainer
/
T. Drexler
46'
K. Alajbegovic
/
F. Kratzig
51'
Stefan Lainer
57'
K. Konate⚽
58'
ast. E. Baidoo ·
S. Kitano⚽
L. Fridrikas
/ M. Aziz
62'
J. Drew
/ M. Hoffmann
62'
M. Hennig
/ L. Pazourek
62'
70'
Aleksa Terzić
71'
M. Kjaergaard
/
E. Baidoo
Tom Hülsmann
74'
77'
T. Kainz
/ Y. Diarra
79'
82'
Lukas Spendlhofer
83'
89'
K. Onisiwo
/
K. Konate
90'+4
S. Diabate
/
S. Kitano
Pre-match prediction
28.29%
TSV
33.38%
X
38.32%
Red ←
we assigned to the actual result (Red Bull Salzburg)
38.32%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.51
1.19
+0.68
1.11
2.06
+0.95
Red Bull Salzburg dominated by xG (2.06 vs 1.19).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
40
T. Hülsmann
G
T. Hülsmann
G
33
Maximilian Hennig
62'
D
Maximilian Hennig
62'
D
6
Habib Coulibaly
D
Habib Coulibaly
D
19
L. Spendlhofer
83'
D
L. Spendlhofer
83'
D
18
D
28
J. Heil
D
J. Heil
D
23
T. Kainz
79'
M
T. Kainz
79'
M
30
Lukas Fridrikas
62'
M
Lukas Fridrikas
62'
M
4
B. Markuš
M
B. Markuš
M
7
E. Havel
1 ⚽
F
E. Havel
1 ⚽
F
79
J. Drew
1 👟
62'
F
J. Drew
1 👟
62'
F
Bench
95
D. Kovacevic
D
D. Kovacevic
D
2
Luca Pazourek
28'
M
Luca Pazourek
28'
M
61
M. Aziz
36'
F
22
M. Hoffman
M. Hoffman
1
G
3
Aleksa Terzić
D
Aleksa Terzić
D
44
Jannik Schuster
D
Jannik Schuster
D
23
D
21
T. Drexler
45'
D
T. Drexler
45'
D
13
F. Krätzig
45'
M
F. Krätzig
45'
M
18
M. Bidstrup
M
M. Bidstrup
M
11
Y. Vertessen
M
Y. Vertessen
M
8
S. Kitano
1 ⚽
89'
M
S. Kitano
1 ⚽
89'
M
20
E. Baidoo
1 👟
71'
M
E. Baidoo
1 👟
71'
M
19
K. Konaté
1 ⚽
89'
F
K. Konaté
1 ⚽
89'
F
Bench
9
Karim Onisiwo
9'
F
Karim Onisiwo
9'
F
27
Kerim-Sam Alajbegović
45'
F
Kerim-Sam Alajbegović
45'
F
14
M. Kjærgaard
19'
M
M. Kjærgaard
19'
M
5
Soumaïla Diabaté
1'
M
22
Stefan Lainer
45'
D
Stefan Lainer
45'
D
Best on the pitch
Kerim-Sam Alajbegović
F · Red
8.30
· 10 pass
E. Havel
F · TSV
8.30
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 14 pass
S. Kitano
M · Red
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 36 pass
T. Hülsmann
G · TSV
7.50
· 38 pass
G · Red
7.30
· 30 pass
M. Bidstrup
M · Red
7.20
1 shots
· 50 pass
TSV Hartberg — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Hülsmann | G | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 38 | 16% | — | 1 | — |
| Maximilian Hennig | D | 62 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| Habib Coulibaly | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 21% | — | — | — |
| L. Spendlhofer | D | 83 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 21 | 17% | 1 | — | 1 |
| D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 14% | — | — | — | |
| J. Heil | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| T. Kainz | M | 79 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Lukas Fridrikas | M | 62 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| B. Markuš | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 39 | 25% | 3 | — | — |
| E. Havel | F | 90 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 14 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Drew | F | 62 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 12 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Luca Pazourek | M | 28 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| M. Aziz | F | 36 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Red Bull Salzburg — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 23% | — | — | — | |
| Aleksa Terzić | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 47 | 37% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Jannik Schuster | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 65 | 58% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 68 | 54% | 3 | — | — | |
| T. Drexler | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | — | — | — |
| F. Krätzig | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Bidstrup | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| Y. Vertessen | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 20 | 16% | — | — | — |
| S. Kitano | M | 89 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 36 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Baidoo | M | 71 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 29 | 24% | — | — | — |
| K. Konaté | F | 89 | 6.20 | 1 | — | 4 | 10 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
| Karim Onisiwo | F | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Kerim-Sam Alajbegović | F | 45 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Kjærgaard | M | 19 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Soumaïla Diabaté | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Stefan Lainer | D | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 7% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of TSV Hartberg vs Red Bull Salzburg?
The final score was TSV Hartberg 1–2 Red Bull Salzburg.
What did the model predict before TSV Hartberg vs Red Bull Salzburg?
The model assigned 28% probability to a TSV Hartberg win, 33% to a draw, and 38% to an Red Bull Salzburg win.