✗Model wrong — prediction FK Liepaja, result Draw
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FK Liepaja a 75% win probability (draw 15%, Tukums 8%). The final result was FK Liepaja 0–0 Tukums. In 3 previous meetings, FK Liepaja have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Tukums.
Match statistics
16
Total shots
8
6
Shots on target
3
2.93
Actual xG
0.52
3
Saves
6
58%
Possession
42%
9
Corners
3
8
Tackles
14
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
Rodolphe Ekou
45'
49'
marcis davis valmiers
Rodolphe Ekou
/ Bart Straalman
55'
60'
Rudolfs Melkis
/
marcis davis valmiers
72'
Jun Toba
abiodun ogunniyi
/ Amar haidara
75'
Kyvon·Leidsman
/ Lucas Crysthyan
75'
80'
Kristaps klavins
85'
Shun Shibata
/
Koyo Shigema
85'
Joksts H.
/
Daniels radzenieks
danila patijcuks
/ Bruno Melnis
85'
Pre-match prediction
75.92%
FK
15.84%
X ←
8.25%
Tukums
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
15.84%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.15
2.93
+0.78
0.32
0.52
+0.2
FK Liepaja dominated by xG (2.93 vs 0.52).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
24
D. Ošs
G
D. Ošs
G
3
K. Iļjins
D
K. Iļjins
D
4
M. Martins
D
M. Martins
D
34
João Pedro
D
João Pedro
D
28
A. Korobenko
M
6
E. Rodolphe
55'
D
E. Rodolphe
55'
D
5
L. Strumia
F
L. Strumia
F
70
D. Patijčuks
85'
F
D. Patijčuks
85'
F
44
K. Leidsman
75'
F
K. Leidsman
75'
F
7
A. Ogunniyi
75'
M
A. Ogunniyi
75'
M
18
J. Ede
F
Bench
77
Afonso Leite
F
23
A. Haïdara
15'
M
A. Haïdara
15'
M
17
B. Melnis
5'
F
B. Melnis
5'
F
2
B. Straalman
35'
D
B. Straalman
35'
D
9
Crysthyan Lucas
F
12
D. Petković
G
D. Petković
G
22
Irad Mushindi
M
26
V. Isajevs
D
35
V. Sorokins
D
V. Sorokins
D
1
S. Vilkovs
G
S. Vilkovs
G
16
Kristaps Klavins
M
Kristaps Klavins
M
8
R. Reingolcs
D
R. Reingolcs
D
5
J. Toba
M
J. Toba
M
6
K. Volkovs
M
K. Volkovs
M
21
D. Valmiers
D
10
B. Samoilovs
M
B. Samoilovs
M
4
K. Anmanis
M
K. Anmanis
M
29
K. Shigema
85'
M
K. Shigema
85'
M
27
R. Deružinskis
F
19
D. Radzenieks
85'
F
D. Radzenieks
85'
F
Bench
12
A. Kuprins
G
18
D. Calbergs
D
22
E. Sprukts
F
25
H. Joksts
M
35
I. Ivanausks
G
88
M. Štāls
D
M. Štāls
D
30
M. Šusts
D
28
R. Meļķis
30'
D
R. Meļķis
30'
D
7
S. Shibata
5'
M
S. Shibata
5'
M
Best on the pitch
S. Vilkovs
G · Tukums
9.10
· 30 pass
K. Iļjins
D · FK
8.00
· 70 pass
João Pedro
D · FK
7.80
2 shots
· 80 pass
A. Ogunniyi
M · FK
7.30
2 shots
· 34 pass
R. Reingolcs
D · Tukums
7.00
1 shots
· 20 pass
K. Leidsman
F · FK
7.00
5 shots
· 13 pass
FK Liepaja — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Ošs | G | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 0 | 17 | 15% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Iļjins | D | 90 | 8.00 | — | — | 0 | 70 | 54% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Martins | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 83 | 79% | 0 | — | — |
| João Pedro | D | 90 | 7.80 | — | — | 2 | 80 | 77% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Korobenko | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Rodolphe | D | 55 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 19% | 2 | 1 | — |
| L. Strumia | F | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 0 | 47 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Patijčuks | F | 85 | 6.70 | — | — | 4 | 23 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Leidsman | F | 75 | 7.00 | — | — | 5 | 13 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Ogunniyi | M | 75 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 34 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Ede | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Haïdara | M | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| B. Melnis | F | 5 | 6.48 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| B. Straalman | D | 35 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 26% | 0 | — | — |
Tukums — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Vilkovs | G | 90 | 9.10 | — | — | 0 | 30 | 15% | 0 | — | — |
| Kristaps Klavins | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 0 | 14 | 13% | 3 | 1 | — |
| R. Reingolcs | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Toba | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 0 | 17 | 12% | 1 | 1 | — |
| K. Volkovs | M | 90 | 6.80 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Valmiers | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Samoilovs | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 5 | 38 | 21% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Anmanis | M | 90 | 6.80 | — | — | 2 | 46 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Shigema | M | 85 | 6.90 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| R. Deružinskis | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Radzenieks | F | 85 | 6.10 | — | — | 0 | 16 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Meļķis | D | 30 | 6.40 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Shibata | M | 5 | 6.54 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FK Liepaja vs Tukums?
The final score was FK Liepaja 0–0 Tukums.
What did the model predict before FK Liepaja vs Tukums?
The model assigned 75% probability to a FK Liepaja win, 15% to a draw, and 8% to an Tukums win.