Virsliga
· Regular Season - 14
May 20, 2026 17:00
✓Model correct — prediction Riga
E. Oloko
(ast. R. Deruzinskis)
40'
(og)
16'
E. Oloko
20'
(ast. Caio Ferreira)
A. Cernomordijs
59'
M. Badamosi
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Riga a 59% win probability (draw 16%, Tukums 23%). The final result was Tukums 1–3 Riga. In 2 previous meetings, Tukums have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Riga.
Match statistics
Match Events
16'
(og)
E. Oloko⚽
20'
ast. Caio Ferreira ·
A. Cernomordijs⚽
37'
A. Ankrah
⚽E. Oloko
· ast. R. Deruzinskis
40'
59'
M. Badamosi⚽
66'
Juan Christian
/
Caio Ferreira
68'
O. Galo
M. Derkach
/ R. Melkis
69'
R. Reingolcs
/ D. Valmiers
69'
Anmanis Kaspars
/ R. Baumanis
69'
B. Samoilovs
/ R. Kirss
76'
M. Susts
80'
80'
K. Wassom
/
O. Galo
R. Deruzinskis
/ M. Stals
84'
85'
R. Jurkovskis
S. Shibata
87'
88'
Abner
/
M. Tonisevs
88'
Reginaldo Ramires
/
M. Diop
Pre-match prediction
23.83%
Tukums
16.87%
X
59.3%
Riga ←
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Riga)
59.3%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.40
—
—
3.82
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Tukums vs Riga?
The final score was Tukums 1–3 Riga.
What did the model predict before Tukums vs Riga?
The model assigned 23% probability to a Tukums win, 16% to a draw, and 59% to an Riga win.