4'
(ast. K. Nakamura)
D. Kamada
31'
(ast. K. Itakura)
A. Ueda
69'
(ast. A. Ueda)
J. Ito
83'
(ast. K. Sano)
A. Ueda
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Japan a 48% win probability (draw 28%, Tunisia 22%). The final result was Tunisia 0–4 Japan.
Match statistics
1
Total shots
8
0
Shots on target
5
0.05
Actual xG
2.07
1
Saves
0
38%
Possession
62%
3
Corners
5
18
Tackles
18
Match Events
4'
ast. K. Nakamura ·
D. Kamada⚽
31'
ast. K. Itakura ·
A. Ueda⚽
E. Saad
/ I. Gharbi
46'
D. Bronn
/ M. Ben Hamida
46'
S. Tounekti
/ F. Chaouat
65'
69'
ast. A. Ueda ·
J. Ito⚽
73'
J. Suzuki
/
D. Kamada
74'
Y. Sugawara
/
R. Doan
79'
Y. Suzuki
/
K. Nakamura
79'
A. Seko
/
T. Tomiyasu
83'
ast. K. Sano ·
A. Ueda⚽
84'
K. Goto
/
A. Ueda
A. Abdi
/ E. Achouri
90'+1
E. Skhiri
/ R. Khedira
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
22.73%
Tunisia
28.39%
X
48.88%
Japan ←
we assigned to the actual result (Japan)
48.88%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.65
0.05
-0.6
1.49
2.07
+0.58
Japan dominated by xG (2.07 vs 0.05).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
16
A. Dahmen
G
A. Dahmen
G
4
O. Rekik
D
3
M. Talbi
D
M. Talbi
D
6
D. Bronn
45'
D
D. Bronn
45'
D
2
A. Abdi
89'
M
A. Abdi
89'
M
17
E. Skhiri
89'
M
E. Skhiri
89'
M
25
A. Ben Slimane
M
A. Ben Slimane
M
20
Y. Valery
M
Y. Valery
M
10
H. Mejbri
F
H. Mejbri
F
8
E. Saad
45'
F
E. Saad
45'
F
26
S. Tounekti
64'
F
S. Tounekti
64'
F
Bench
21
A. Ben Hmida
45'
D
A. Ben Hmida
45'
D
1
A. Chamakh
G
A. Chamakh
G
5
Adem Arous
D
Adem Arous
D
7
E. Achouri
1'
M
E. Achouri
1'
M
19
F. Chaouat
26'
F
F. Chaouat
26'
F
15
H. Mahmoud
M
H. Mahmoud
M
9
H. Mastouri
F
H. Mastouri
F
11
Ismaël Gharbi
45'
F
Ismaël Gharbi
45'
F
14
K. Ayari
F
K. Ayari
F
12
M. Ben Ouanes
M
M. Ben Ouanes
M
23
M. Neffati
D
M. Neffati
D
24
R. Chikhaoui
D
R. Chikhaoui
D
18
R. Elloumi
F
R. Elloumi
F
13
R. Khedira
1'
M
R. Khedira
1'
M
22
S. Ben Hsan
G
S. Ben Hsan
G
1
Z. Suzuki
G
Z. Suzuki
G
21
H. Ito
D
H. Ito
D
4
K. Itakura
1 👟
D
K. Itakura
1 👟
D
22
T. Tomiyasu
79'
D
T. Tomiyasu
79'
D
13
Keito Nakamura
1 👟
79'
M
Keito Nakamura
1 👟
79'
M
7
A. Tanaka
M
A. Tanaka
M
24
K. Sano
1 👟
M
K. Sano
1 👟
M
10
R. Dōan
74'
M
R. Dōan
74'
M
15
D. Kamada
1 ⚽
73'
F
D. Kamada
1 ⚽
73'
F
14
J. Ito
1 ⚽
F
J. Ito
1 ⚽
F
18
A. Ueda
2 ⚽
1 👟
84'
F
A. Ueda
2 ⚽
1 👟
84'
F
Bench
20
A. Seko
11'
D
A. Seko
11'
D
11
D. Maeda
F
D. Maeda
F
25
J. Suzuki
17'
D
J. Suzuki
17'
D
9
K. Goto
13'
F
K. Goto
13'
F
19
Koki Ogawa
F
Koki Ogawa
F
12
K. Osako
G
K. Osako
G
26
K. Shiogai
F
K. Shiogai
F
3
Shogo Taniguchi
D
Shogo Taniguchi
D
23
T. Hayakawa
G
T. Hayakawa
G
16
T. Watanabe
D
T. Watanabe
D
5
Y. Nagatomo
D
Y. Nagatomo
D
2
Y. Sugawara
16'
D
Y. Sugawara
16'
D
17
Y. Suzuki
11'
M
Y. Suzuki
11'
M
Best on the pitch
A. Ueda
F · Japan
9.70
2 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots
· 14 pass
K. Itakura
D · Japan
7.90
1 👟
· 89 pass
Keito Nakamura
M · Japan
7.70
1 👟
· 28 pass
K. Sano
M · Japan
7.60
1 👟
· 75 pass
T. Tomiyasu
D · Japan
7.50
1 shots
· 72 pass
A. Tanaka
M · Japan
7.20
1 shots
· 75 pass
Tunisia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Dahmen | G | 90 | 5.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 10% | — | — | — |
| O. Rekik | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 55 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Talbi | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 52 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Bronn | D | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 17% | — | — | — |
| A. Abdi | M | 89 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 19 | 12% | 4 | — | — |
| E. Skhiri | M | 89 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 38 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Ben Slimane | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 37 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| Y. Valery | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| H. Mejbri | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Saad | F | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| S. Tounekti | F | 64 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| A. Ben Hmida | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| E. Achouri | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Chaouat | F | 26 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Ismaël Gharbi | F | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| R. Khedira | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
Japan — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Suzuki | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | — | — | — |
| H. Ito | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 75 | 69% | 3 | — | — |
| K. Itakura | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | 1 | — | 89 | 85% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Tomiyasu | D | 79 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 72 | 64% | 1 | — | — |
| Keito Nakamura | M | 79 | 7.70 | — | 1 | — | 28 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Tanaka | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 75 | 72% | 4 | — | — |
| K. Sano | M | 90 | 7.60 | — | 1 | — | 75 | 71% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Dōan | M | 74 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 27 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Kamada | F | 73 | 6.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 30 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Ito | F | 90 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 42 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Ueda | F | 84 | 9.70 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 9% | — | — | — |
| A. Seko | D | 11 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| J. Suzuki | D | 17 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Goto | F | 13 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Sugawara | D | 16 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 15 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Y. Suzuki | M | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Tunisia vs Japan?
The final score was Tunisia 0–4 Japan.
What did the model predict before Tunisia vs Japan?
The model assigned 22% probability to a Tunisia win, 28% to a draw, and 48% to an Japan win.