4'
(ast. K. Nakamura)
D. Kamada
31'
(ast. K. Itakura)
A. Ueda
69'
(ast. A. Ueda)
J. Ito
83'
(ast. K. Sano)
A. Ueda
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Japan a 48% win probability (draw 28%, Tunisia 22%). The final result was Tunisia 0–4 Japan.
Match statistics
1
Total shots
8
0
Shots on target
5
0.05
Actual xG
2.07
1
Saves
0
38%
Possession
62%
3
Corners
5
18
Tackles
18
Match Events
4'
ast. K. Nakamura ·
D. Kamada⚽
31'
ast. K. Itakura ·
A. Ueda⚽
E. Saad
/ I. Gharbi
46'
D. Bronn
/ M. Ben Hamida
46'
S. Tounekti
/ F. Chaouat
65'
69'
ast. A. Ueda ·
J. Ito⚽
73'
J. Suzuki
/
D. Kamada
74'
Y. Sugawara
/
R. Doan
79'
Y. Suzuki
/
K. Nakamura
79'
A. Seko
/
T. Tomiyasu
83'
ast. K. Sano ·
A. Ueda⚽
84'
K. Goto
/
A. Ueda
A. Abdi
/ E. Achouri
90'+1
E. Skhiri
/ R. Khedira
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
22.73%
Tunisia
28.39%
X
48.88%
Japan ←
we assigned to the actual result (Japan)
48.88%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.65
0.05
-0.6
1.49
2.07
+0.58
Japan dominated by xG (2.07 vs 0.05).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
16
A. Dahmen
G
A. Dahmen
G
4
O. Rekik
D
O. Rekik
D
3
M. Talbi
D
M. Talbi
D
6
D. Bronn
45'
D
D. Bronn
45'
D
2
A. Abdi
89'
M
A. Abdi
89'
M
17
E. Skhiri
89'
M
E. Skhiri
89'
M
25
A. Ben Slimane
M
A. Ben Slimane
M
20
Y. Valery
M
Y. Valery
M
10
H. Mejbri
F
H. Mejbri
F
8
E. Saad
45'
F
E. Saad
45'
F
26
S. Tounekti
64'
F
S. Tounekti
64'
F
Bench
5
A. Arous
D
A. Arous
D
21
A. Ben Hmida
45'
D
A. Ben Hmida
45'
D
1
C. Abdelmouhib
G
C. Abdelmouhib
G
7
E. Achouri
1'
M
E. Achouri
1'
M
19
F. Chaouat
26'
F
F. Chaouat
26'
F
15
H. Mahmoud
M
H. Mahmoud
M
9
H. Mastouri
F
H. Mastouri
F
11
Ismaël Gharbi
45'
F
Ismaël Gharbi
45'
F
14
K. Ayari
F
K. Ayari
F
12
M. Ben Ouanes
M
M. Ben Ouanes
M
23
Moataz Nefati
D
Moataz Nefati
D
24
R. Chikhaoui
D
R. Chikhaoui
D
18
R. Elloumi
F
R. Elloumi
F
13
R. Khedira
1'
M
R. Khedira
1'
M
22
S. Ben Hsan
G
S. Ben Hsan
G
1
Zion Suzuki
G
Zion Suzuki
G
21
Hiroki Itō
D
Hiroki Itō
D
4
Ko Itakura
1 👟
D
Ko Itakura
1 👟
D
22
Takehiro Tomiyasu
79'
D
Takehiro Tomiyasu
79'
D
13
Keito Nakamura
1 👟
79'
M
Keito Nakamura
1 👟
79'
M
7
Ao Tanaka
M
Ao Tanaka
M
24
Kaishu Sano
1 👟
M
Kaishu Sano
1 👟
M
10
Ritsu Doan
74'
M
Ritsu Doan
74'
M
15
Daichi Kamada
1 ⚽
73'
F
Daichi Kamada
1 ⚽
73'
F
14
Junya Ito
1 ⚽
F
Junya Ito
1 ⚽
F
18
Ayase Ueda
2 ⚽
1 👟
84'
F
Ayase Ueda
2 ⚽
1 👟
84'
F
Bench
20
Ayumu Seko
11'
D
Ayumu Seko
11'
D
11
Daizen Maeda
F
Daizen Maeda
F
25
Junnosuke Suzuki
17'
D
Junnosuke Suzuki
17'
D
9
Keisuke Goto
13'
F
Keisuke Goto
13'
F
12
Keisuke Osako
G
Keisuke Osako
G
26
Kento Shiogai
F
Kento Shiogai
F
19
Koki Ogawa
F
Koki Ogawa
F
3
Shogo Taniguchi
D
Shogo Taniguchi
D
23
Tomoki Hayakawa
G
Tomoki Hayakawa
G
16
Tsuyoshi Watanabe
D
Tsuyoshi Watanabe
D
17
Yuito Suzuki
11'
M
Yuito Suzuki
11'
M
2
Yukinari Sugawara
16'
D
Yukinari Sugawara
16'
D
5
Yuto Nagatomo
D
Yuto Nagatomo
D
Best on the pitch
Ayase Ueda
F · Japan
9.70
2 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots
· 14 pass
Ko Itakura
D · Japan
7.90
1 👟
· 89 pass
Keito Nakamura
M · Japan
7.70
1 👟
· 28 pass
Kaishu Sano
M · Japan
7.60
1 👟
· 75 pass
Takehiro Tomiyasu
D · Japan
7.50
1 shots
· 72 pass
Ao Tanaka
M · Japan
7.20
1 shots
· 75 pass
Tunisia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Dahmen | G | 90 | 5.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 10% | — | — | — |
| O. Rekik | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 55 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Talbi | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 52 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Bronn | D | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 17% | — | — | — |
| A. Abdi | M | 89 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 19 | 12% | 4 | — | — |
| E. Skhiri | M | 89 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 38 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Ben Slimane | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 37 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| Y. Valery | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| H. Mejbri | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Saad | F | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| S. Tounekti | F | 64 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| A. Ben Hmida | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| E. Achouri | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Chaouat | F | 26 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Ismaël Gharbi | F | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| R. Khedira | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
Japan — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zion Suzuki | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Hiroki Itō | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 75 | 69% | 3 | — | — |
| Ko Itakura | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | 1 | — | 89 | 85% | 1 | — | — |
| Takehiro Tomiyasu | D | 79 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 72 | 64% | 1 | — | — |
| Keito Nakamura | M | 79 | 7.70 | — | 1 | — | 28 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| Ao Tanaka | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 75 | 72% | 4 | — | — |
| Kaishu Sano | M | 90 | 7.60 | — | 1 | — | 75 | 71% | 1 | — | — |
| Ritsu Doan | M | 74 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 27 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Daichi Kamada | F | 73 | 6.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 30 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Junya Ito | F | 90 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 42 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| Ayase Ueda | F | 84 | 9.70 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Ayumu Seko | D | 11 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Junnosuke Suzuki | D | 17 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Keisuke Goto | F | 13 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Yuito Suzuki | M | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Yukinari Sugawara | D | 16 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 15 | 10% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Tunisia vs Japan?
The final score was Tunisia 0–4 Japan.
What did the model predict before Tunisia vs Japan?
The model assigned 22% probability to a Tunisia win, 28% to a draw, and 48% to an Japan win.