Tunisia - Libya
Africa Cup of Nations - Qual.
November 11, 2026 18:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.06%
Win
Tunisia
34.28%
Draw
32.66%
Win
Libya
0.76
0.76
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(14.33%)
1X2 Result
1
33%
X
34%
2
33%
Double Chance
1X
67%
X2
67%
12
66%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
78%
✓ 77.1% hit rate (48 picks)
Over 2.5
55%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Tunisia a 33% win probability, against 34% for a draw and 32% for Libya. Expected goals are 0.8 for Tunisia and 0.8 for Libya (total 1.5), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 14.33% probability.
Season Stats
0W
2D
0L
0W
1D
1L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
1.0
1.5
Conceded
1.5
6.0
Shots OT
6.0
8.5
Corners
7.0
62%
Poss.
63%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
50%
50%
O 2.5
50%
100%
BTTS
50%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ
Based on the last 2 matches in Africa Cup of Nations - Qual.. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
0W
2D
0L
· at home
0W
0D
1L
· away
1.5
gls/g
0.0
1.5
Conceded
1.0
0%
Win %
0%
100%
Win or Draw
0%
100%
O 1.5
0%
50%
O 2.5
0%
50%
O 3.5
0%
100%
BTTS
0%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
100%
last 2
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Tunisia
Libya →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 21.9% | 16.5% | 6.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% | — |
| 1 | 16.7% | 12.6% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | — |
| 2 | 6.4% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — |
| 3 | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
| 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Tunisia
Attack
38
Defence
51
Form
12
Libya
Attack
40
Defence
73
Form
11
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
What's at stake · Group H
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #3 | #4 |
| → Tunisia | #1 | #4 |
| → Draw | #2 | #4 |
| → Libya | #4 | #2 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Tunisia vs Libya?
The model gives Tunisia a 33% win probability, 34% for a draw, and 32% for an Libya win.
How many goals are expected in Tunisia vs Libya?
Expected goals: Tunisia 0.8, Libya 0.8 (total 1.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in Tunisia vs Libya?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 14.33%.