Tunisia - Mali
Friendlies Internazionali
October 03, 2026 21:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
34.46%
Win
Tunisia
32.13%
Draw
33.41%
Win
Mali
1.09
1.02
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(11.7%)
1X2 Result
1
34%
X
32%
2
33%
Double Chance
1X
67%
X2
66%
12
68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
51%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Tunisia a 34% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 33% for Mali. Expected goals are 1.1 for Tunisia and 1.0 for Mali (total 2.1), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 11.7% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Tunisia have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Mali.
Season Stats
1W
1D
2L
0W
1D
1L
Averages per game
0.2
Goals
0.0
1.5
Conceded
1.0
1.5
Shots OT
2.0
2.0
Corners
5.0
38%
Poss.
37%
Percentages
25%
O 1.5
50%
25%
O 2.5
0%
0%
BTTS
0%
50%
Clean Sht
50%
ℹ
Based on the last 4 matches in Friendlies Internazionali. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Tunisia
Mali →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12.2% | 12.4% | 6.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.2% | 13.5% | 6.9% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 7.2% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Tunisia
Attack
10
Defence
61
Form
44
Mali
Attack
4
Defence
55
Form
36
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
1
Draw
0
3 Jan 2026
1–1
Unavailable
Tunisia
Injured
Injured
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Tunisia vs Mali?
The model gives Tunisia a 34% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 33% for an Mali win.
How many goals are expected in Tunisia vs Mali?
Expected goals: Tunisia 1.1, Mali 1.0 (total 2.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Tunisia vs Mali?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.7%.