Africa Cup of Nations - Qual.
· Group Stage - 1
September 24, 2026 21:00
Adem Arous
(ast. Khalil Ayari)
12'
68'
(ast. Nathan Asiimwe)
Rogers Mato
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Tunisia a 37% win probability (draw 30%, Uganda 31%). The final result was Tunisia 1–1 Uganda. In 1 previous meetings, Tunisia have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Uganda.
Match statistics
4
Shots on target
3
55%
Possession
45%
6
Corners
5
Match Events
⚽Adem Arous
· ast. Khalil Ayari
12'
Khalil Ayari
/ sayfallah ltaief
45'
Rayan Elloumi
/ Sadok Kadida
45'
63'
James Bogere
/
Travis Mutyaba
68'
ast. Nathan Asiimwe ·
Rogers Mato⚽
Sebastian Tounekti
/ Elias Achouri
69'
Ismael Gharbi
/ Anis Ben Slimane
69'
Mohamed Ali Ben Romdhane
/ Hamza Rafia
77'
82'
Steven Dese Mukwala
/
Rogers Mato
82'
Allan Oyirwoth
/
Allan Okello
90'+2
Aziz Abdu Kayondo
Sadok Kadida
90'+2
90'
Hilary Mukundane
/
Baba Alhassan
Pre-match prediction
37.98%
Tunisia
30.95%
X ←
31.07%
Uganda
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
30.95%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.08
—
—
1.30
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Tunisia vs Uganda?
The final score was Tunisia 1–1 Uganda.
What did the model predict before Tunisia vs Uganda?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Tunisia win, 30% to a draw, and 31% to an Uganda win.