Türkiye - France
Weather at kick-off
⛅
Partly cloudy
26.8°C
💨 18 km/h
🌧️ 58%
· Niigata
⚡ Pre-match analysis
43.4%
Win
Türkiye
17.09%
Draw
39.5%
Win
France
3.05
2.9
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
3–2
(5.31%)
1X2 Result
1
43%
X
17%
2
40%
Double Chance
1X
61%
X2
57%
12
83%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
93%
Over 2.5
86%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Türkiye a 43% win probability, against 17% for a draw and 39% for France. Expected goals are 3.1 for Türkiye and 2.9 for France (total 5.9), with a 92% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 3–2 at 5.31% probability.
Season Stats
5W
2D
1L
6W
1D
3L
Averages per game
1.9
Goals
2.0
0.9
Conceded
1.3
5.6
Shots OT
6.4
4.9
Corners
6.8
58%
Poss.
56%
Percentages
63%
O 1.5
90%
63%
O 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%
50%
Clean Sht
40%
ℹ
Based on the last 10 matches in UEFA Nations League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 3.5
59%
BTTS
3W
1D
0L
· at home
4W
0D
2L
· away
1.8
gls/g
2.5
0.5
Conceded
1.7
75%
Win %
67%
100%
Win or Draw
67%
50%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
67%
50%
O 3.5
50%
50%
BTTS
67%
50%
Clean Sht
17%
25%
Failed to Score
17%
last 6
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Türkiye
France →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 0.8% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| 2 | 1.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
| 3 | 1.2% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
| 4 | 0.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
| 5 | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
Recent form
Playing profile
Türkiye
Attack
51
Defence
73
Form
29
France
Attack
63
Defence
73
Form
69
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Unavailable
France
Injured
Play-offs A/B
What's at stake · Play-offs A/B
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #1 | #1 |
| → Türkiye | #1 | #1 |
| → Draw | #1 | #1 |
| → France | #1 | #1 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Türkiye vs France?
The model gives Türkiye a 43% win probability, 17% for a draw, and 39% for an France win.
How many goals are expected in Türkiye vs France?
Expected goals: Türkiye 3.1, France 2.9 (total 5.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 92%.
What is the most likely score in Türkiye vs France?
3–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 5.31%.