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UEFA Nations League · League A - 2 September 28, 2026 20:45 Yüzüncü Yıl Atatürk Sütaş Stadyumu, Bursa
Türkiye
#4 · 0 pts
1 – 4
Final score
Italy
#2 · 7 pts
Baris Alper Yilmaz (ast. Oğuz Aydın) 47'
9' Alessandro Bastoni
22' Davide Frattesi
27' (ast. Pio Esposito) Michael Kayode
50' Pio Esposito
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Türkiye a 49% win probability (draw 31%, Italy 18%). The final result was Türkiye 1–4 Italy. In 1 previous meetings, Türkiye have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Italy.

Match statistics
15
Total shots
14
3
Shots on target
8
4
Saves
2
54%
Possession
46%
6
Corners
2
10
Tackles
16
3
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
9'
Alessandro Bastoni⚽
22'
Davide Frattesi⚽
27'
ast. Pio Esposito · Michael Kayode⚽
Can Yilmaz Uzun
38'
45'
Nicolo Cambiaghi / Giacomo Raspadori ↕
↕ Merih Demiral / Abdulkerim Bardakçı
45'
↕ Can Yilmaz Uzun / Kerem Aktürkoğlu
45'
↕ Orkun Kökçü / Ismail Yüksek
45'
⚽Baris Alper Yilmaz · ast. Oğuz Aydın
47'
50'
Pio Esposito⚽
Baris Alper Yilmaz
54'
63'
Issa Doumbia / Sebastiano Esposito ↕
Ozan Kabak
72'
75'
Gianluca Scamacca / Pio Esposito ↕
↕ Salih Özcan / Demir Ege Tıknaz
76'
76'
Alessandro Romano / Nicolo Fagioli ↕
↕ Baris Alper Yilmaz / Deniz Gül
80'
82'
Giovanni Di Lorenzo / Davide Frattesi ↕
Pre-match prediction
49.79%
Türkiye
31.29%
X
18.92%
Italy ←
we assigned to the actual result (Italy) 18.92% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Türkiye
1.51
—
—
Italy
0.73
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 France France 4 10
2 Italy Italy 4 7
3 Belgium Belgium 4 6
4 Türkiye Türkiye 4 0
Lineups
Türkiye Türkiye 3-4-3
1 A. Bayındır A. Bayındır G 5.82
15 O. Kabak O. Kabak D 5.76
3 M. Demiral M. Demiral 45' D 5.89
2 Z. Çelik Z. Çelik D 6.01
13 Eren Elmalı Eren Elmalı M 6.37
5 Salih Özcan Salih Özcan 76' M 6.76
6 O. Kökçü O. Kökçü 45' M 5.41
18 O. Aydın O. Aydın 1 👟 M 6.31
11 C. Uzun C. Uzun 45' F 6.05
21 Barış Alper Yılmaz Barış Alper Yılmaz 1 ⚽ 80' F 7.47
10 A. Güler A. Güler F 6.41
Bench
14 Abdülkerim Bardakcı Abdülkerim Bardakcı 45' D 6.10
9 Deniz Gül Deniz Gül 10' F 6.30
8 E. Tıknaz E. Tıknaz 14' M 6.60
20 F. Kadıoğlu F. Kadıoğlu D 5.90
17 İ. Kahveci İ. Kahveci M 0.00
16 İsmail Yüksek İsmail Yüksek 45' M 6.67
7 K. Aktürkoğlu K. Aktürkoğlu 45' F 6.21
12 Muhammed Şengezer Muhammed Şengezer G 0.00
22 Mustafa Eskihellaç Mustafa Eskihellaç D 0.00
23 Okan Kocuk Okan Kocuk G 0.00
4 Samet Akaydın Samet Akaydın D 0.00
19 Yunus Akgün Yunus Akgün F 0.00
Italy Italy 4-3-3
1 G. Donnarumma G. Donnarumma G 6.92
3 M. Ruggeri M. Ruggeri D 7.08
21 A. Bastoni A. Bastoni 1 ⚽ D 7.30
19 G. Scalvini G. Scalvini D 6.82
2 M. Kayode M. Kayode 1 ⚽ D 8.20
6 N. Fagioli N. Fagioli 76' M 6.41
8 S. Tonali S. Tonali M 6.58
16 D. Frattesi D. Frattesi 1 ⚽ 82' M 8.20
23 S. Esposito S. Esposito 63' F 6.20
7 F. Esposito F. Esposito 1 ⚽ 1 👟 75' F 8.92
10 Giacomo Raspadori Giacomo Raspadori 45' F 6.69
Bench
4 A. Romano A. Romano 14' M 6.00
18 A. Vergara A. Vergara M 0.00
20 D. Ghilardi D. Ghilardi D 0.00
22 G. Di Lorenzo G. Di Lorenzo 8' D 6.29
11 G. Scamacca G. Scamacca 15' F 6.49
14 G. Vicario G. Vicario G 0.00
15 I. Doumbia I. Doumbia 27' M 6.28
12 M. Carnesecchi M. Carnesecchi G 0.00
9 M. Kean M. Kean F 0.00
17 N. Cambiaghi N. Cambiaghi 45' F 6.67
5 R. Calafiori R. Calafiori D 0.00
13 R. Mandragora R. Mandragora M 0.00
Best on the pitch
F. Esposito
F. Esposito
F · Italy
8.92
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 22 pass
D. Frattesi
D. Frattesi
M · Italy
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 41 pass
M. Kayode
M. Kayode
D · Italy
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots · 42 pass
Barış Alper Yılmaz
Barış Alper Yılmaz
F · Türkiye
7.47
1 ⚽
2 shots · 11 pass
A. Bastoni
A. Bastoni
D · Italy
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 66 pass
M. Ruggeri
M. Ruggeri
D · Italy
7.08
· 41 pass
Türkiye Türkiye — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. Bayındır G 90 5.82 — — 0 32 21% 0 — —
O. Kabak D 90 5.76 — — 0 67 61% 0 1 —
M. Demiral D 45 5.89 — — 0 32 29% 0 — —
Z. Çelik D 90 6.01 — — 0 53 46% 2 — —
Eren Elmalı M 90 6.37 — — 2 55 47% 2 — —
Salih Özcan M 76 6.76 — — 0 45 42% 0 — —
O. Kökçü M 45 5.41 — — 0 23 15% 0 — —
O. Aydın M 90 6.31 — 1 2 48 37% 0 — —
C. Uzun F 45 6.05 — — 1 14 10% 1 1 —
Barış Alper Yılmaz F 80 7.47 1 — 2 11 8% 0 1 —
A. Güler F 90 6.41 — — 4 71 63% 2 — —
Abdülkerim Bardakcı D 45 6.10 — — 0 49 46% 1 — —
Deniz Gül F 10 6.30 — — 0 2 2% 0 — —
E. Tıknaz M 14 6.60 — — 0 23 20% 1 — —
İsmail Yüksek M 45 6.67 — — 2 38 34% 1 — —
K. Aktürkoğlu F 45 6.21 — — 2 10 9% 0 — —
Italy Italy — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G. Donnarumma G 90 6.92 — — 0 34 27% 0 — —
M. Ruggeri D 90 7.08 — — 0 41 37% 3 — —
A. Bastoni D 90 7.30 1 — 1 66 57% 0 — —
G. Scalvini D 90 6.82 — — 0 52 50% 3 — —
M. Kayode D 90 8.20 1 — 3 42 39% 1 — —
N. Fagioli M 76 6.41 — — 0 40 36% 0 — —
S. Tonali M 90 6.58 — — 1 54 49% 1 — —
D. Frattesi M 82 8.20 1 — 1 41 35% 3 — —
S. Esposito F 63 6.20 — — 3 33 24% 0 — —
F. Esposito F 75 8.92 1 1 2 22 19% 0 — —
Giacomo Raspadori F 45 6.69 — — 2 38 31% 0 — —
A. Romano M 14 6.00 — — 0 5 1% 2 — —
G. Di Lorenzo D 8 6.29 — — 0 6 5% 0 — —
G. Scamacca F 15 6.49 — — 0 4 2% 0 — —
I. Doumbia M 27 6.28 — — 0 4 4% 1 — —
N. Cambiaghi F 45 6.67 — — 1 17 9% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Türkiye vs Italy?
The final score was Türkiye 1–4 Italy.
What did the model predict before Türkiye vs Italy?
The model assigned 49% probability to a Türkiye win, 31% to a draw, and 18% to an Italy win.