World Cup
· Group Stage - 2
June 20, 2026 05:00
✗Model wrong — prediction Türkiye, result Paraguay wins
2'
(ast. J. Enciso)
M. Galarza
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Türkiye a 62% win probability (draw 19%, Paraguay 17%). The final result was Türkiye 0–1 Paraguay.
Match statistics
19
Total shots
5
5
Shots on target
2
1.87
Actual xG
0.29
1
Saves
5
79%
Possession
21%
11
Corners
0
17
Tackles
24
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
2'
ast. J. Enciso ·
M. Galarza⚽
4'
M. Galarza
45'+3
M. Almiron
46'
D. Bobadilla
/
I. Pitta
K. Akturkoglu
/ B. Yilmaz
46'
I. Yuksek
/ C. Uzun
60'
Y. Akgun
/ D. Gul
60'
V. Montella
63'
67'
G. Velazquez
/
D. Gomez
F. Kadioglu
/ E. Elmali
70'
E. Elmali
71'
81'
A. Maidana
/
J. Caceres
A. Bardakci
/ O. Kokcu
86'
90'+2
G. Avalos
/
J. Enciso
90'+2
J. Canale
/
M. Galarza
Pre-match prediction
62.94%
Türkiye
19.2%
X
17.86%
Paraguay ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Paraguay)
17.86%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.22
1.87
-0.35
1.03
0.29
-0.74
Türkiye dominated by xG (1.87 vs 0.29).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
23
U. Çakır
G
U. Çakır
G
20
F. Kadıoğlu
70'
D
F. Kadıoğlu
70'
D
14
A. Bardakcı
86'
D
A. Bardakcı
86'
D
3
M. Demiral
D
M. Demiral
D
18
M. Müldür
D
M. Müldür
D
10
H. Çalhanoğlu
M
H. Çalhanoğlu
M
16
İ. Yüksek
60'
M
İ. Yüksek
60'
M
11
K. Yıldız
M
K. Yıldız
M
8
A. Güler
M
A. Güler
M
19
Y. Akgün
60'
M
Y. Akgün
60'
M
7
K. Aktürkoğlu
45'
F
K. Aktürkoğlu
45'
F
Bench
12
A. Bayındır
G
A. Bayındır
G
21
B. Yılmaz
52'
F
B. Yılmaz
52'
F
4
Ç. Söyüncü
D
Ç. Söyüncü
D
26
C. Uzun
37'
M
C. Uzun
37'
M
9
D. Gül
37'
F
D. Gül
37'
F
13
E. Elmalı
27'
D
E. Elmalı
27'
D
17
İ. Kahveci
M
İ. Kahveci
M
22
K. Ayhan
D
K. Ayhan
D
1
M. Günok
G
M. Günok
G
24
O. Aydın
F
O. Aydın
F
15
O. Kabak
D
O. Kabak
D
6
O. Kökçü
11'
M
O. Kökçü
11'
M
25
S. Akaydin
D
S. Akaydin
D
5
S. Özcan
M
S. Özcan
M
2
Z. Çelik
D
Z. Çelik
D
12
O. Gill
G
O. Gill
G
6
J. Alonso
D
J. Alonso
D
3
O. Alderete
D
O. Alderete
D
15
G. Gómez
D
G. Gómez
D
4
J. Cáceres
81'
D
J. Cáceres
81'
D
23
M. Galarza
1 ⚽
M
M. Galarza
1 ⚽
M
8
D. Gómez
67'
M
D. Gómez
67'
M
14
A. Cubas
M
A. Cubas
M
10
M. Almirón
48'
M
M. Almirón
48'
M
19
J. Enciso
1 👟
F
J. Enciso
1 👟
F
25
I. Pitta
45'
F
I. Pitta
45'
F
Bench
18
A. Arce
F
A. Arce
F
26
A. Maidana
16'
D
A. Maidana
16'
D
17
A. Romero
M
A. Romero
M
9
A. Sanabria
F
A. Sanabria
F
20
B. Ojeda
M
B. Ojeda
M
16
D. Bobadilla
52'
M
D. Bobadilla
52'
M
5
F. Balbuena
D
F. Balbuena
D
21
G. Ávalos
5'
F
G. Ávalos
5'
F
24
G. Caballero
F
G. Caballero
F
22
G. Olveira
G
G. Olveira
G
2
G. Velázquez
30'
D
G. Velázquez
30'
D
13
J. Canale
5'
D
J. Canale
5'
D
11
Maurício
M
Maurício
M
1
Roberto Fernández
G
Roberto Fernández
G
7
R. Sosa
F
R. Sosa
F
Best on the pitch
J. Cáceres
D · Paraguay
8.00
1 shots
· 11 pass
A. Bardakcı
D · Türkiye
8.00
· 98 pass
M. Galarza
M · Paraguay
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 18 pass
J. Enciso
F · Paraguay
7.70
1 👟
1 shots
· 20 pass
O. Gill
G · Paraguay
7.50
· 34 pass
A. Güler
M · Türkiye
7.50
1 shots
· 68 pass
Türkiye — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U. Çakır | G | 97 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 27% | — | — | — |
| F. Kadıoğlu | D | 70 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 54 | 46% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Bardakcı | D | 86 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 98 | 98% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Demiral | D | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | 5 | 64 | 61% | — | — | — |
| M. Müldür | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 38% | 3 | — | — |
| H. Çalhanoğlu | M | 97 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 84 | 75% | 4 | — | — |
| İ. Yüksek | M | 60 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 52 | 47% | 4 | — | — |
| K. Yıldız | M | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | 4 | 51 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Güler | M | 97 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 68 | 57% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Akgün | M | 60 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 20% | — | — | — |
| K. Aktürkoğlu | F | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| B. Yılmaz | F | 52 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| C. Uzun | M | 37 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 15% | — | — | — |
| D. Gül | F | 37 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Elmalı | D | 27 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | — | 1 | — |
| O. Kökçü | M | 11 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
Paraguay — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Gill | G | 97 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 34 | 11% | — | — | — |
| J. Alonso | D | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| O. Alderete | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 1% | — | — | — |
| G. Gómez | D | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| J. Cáceres | D | 81 | 8.00 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 6% | 9 | — | — |
| M. Galarza | M | 92 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 18 | 10% | 3 | 1 | — |
| D. Gómez | M | 67 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Cubas | M | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Almirón | M | 48 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 5% | 3 | — | 1 |
| J. Enciso | F | 92 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 1 | 20 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Pitta | F | 45 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 3% | — | — | — |
| A. Maidana | D | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| D. Bobadilla | M | 52 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Ávalos | F | 5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Velázquez | D | 30 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| J. Canale | D | 5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Türkiye vs Paraguay?
The final score was Türkiye 0–1 Paraguay.
What did the model predict before Türkiye vs Paraguay?
The model assigned 62% probability to a Türkiye win, 19% to a draw, and 17% to an Paraguay win.