World Cup
· Group Stage - 2
June 20, 2026 05:00
✗Model wrong — prediction Türkiye, result Paraguay wins
2'
(ast. J. Enciso)
M. Galarza
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Türkiye a 62% win probability (draw 19%, Paraguay 17%). The final result was Türkiye 0–1 Paraguay.
Match statistics
19
Total shots
5
5
Shots on target
2
1.87
Actual xG
0.29
1
Saves
5
79%
Possession
21%
11
Corners
0
17
Tackles
24
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
2'
ast. J. Enciso ·
M. Galarza⚽
4'
M. Galarza
45'+3
M. Almiron
46'
D. Bobadilla
/
I. Pitta
K. Akturkoglu
/ B. Yilmaz
46'
I. Yuksek
/ C. Uzun
60'
Y. Akgun
/ D. Gul
60'
V. Montella
63'
67'
G. Velazquez
/
D. Gomez
F. Kadioglu
/ E. Elmali
70'
E. Elmali
71'
81'
A. Maidana
/
J. Caceres
A. Bardakci
/ O. Kokcu
86'
90'+2
G. Avalos
/
J. Enciso
90'+2
J. Canale
/
M. Galarza
Pre-match prediction
62.94%
Türkiye
19.2%
X
17.86%
Paraguay ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Paraguay)
17.86%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.22
1.87
-0.35
1.03
0.29
-0.74
Türkiye dominated by xG (1.87 vs 0.29).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
23
Uğurcan Çakır
G
Uğurcan Çakır
G
20
F. Kadıoğlu
70'
D
F. Kadıoğlu
70'
D
14
Abdülkerim Bardakcı
86'
D
Abdülkerim Bardakcı
86'
D
3
M. Demiral
D
M. Demiral
D
18
Mert Müldür
D
Mert Müldür
D
10
H. Çalhanoğlu
M
H. Çalhanoğlu
M
16
İsmail Yüksek
60'
M
İsmail Yüksek
60'
M
11
Kenan Yıldız
M
Kenan Yıldız
M
8
A. Güler
M
A. Güler
M
19
Yunus Akgün
60'
M
Yunus Akgün
60'
M
7
K. Aktürkoğlu
45'
F
K. Aktürkoğlu
45'
F
Bench
12
A. Bayındır
G
A. Bayındır
G
21
Barış Alper Yılmaz
52'
F
Barış Alper Yılmaz
52'
F
4
Çağlar Söyüncü
D
Çağlar Söyüncü
D
26
C. Uzun
37'
M
C. Uzun
37'
M
9
Deniz Gül
37'
F
Deniz Gül
37'
F
13
Eren Elmalı
27'
D
Eren Elmalı
27'
D
17
İ. Kahveci
M
İ. Kahveci
M
22
Kaan Ayhan
D
Kaan Ayhan
D
1
Mert Günok
G
Mert Günok
G
24
O. Aydın
F
O. Aydın
F
15
O. Kabak
D
O. Kabak
D
6
O. Kökçü
11'
M
O. Kökçü
11'
M
5
Salih Özcan
M
Salih Özcan
M
25
Samet Akaydın
D
Samet Akaydın
D
2
Z. Çelik
D
Z. Çelik
D
12
O. Gill
G
O. Gill
G
6
J. Alonso
D
J. Alonso
D
3
O. Alderete
D
O. Alderete
D
15
G. Gómez
D
G. Gómez
D
4
J. Cáceres
81'
D
J. Cáceres
81'
D
23
M. Galarza
1 ⚽
M
M. Galarza
1 ⚽
M
8
D. Gómez
67'
M
D. Gómez
67'
M
14
A. Cubas
M
A. Cubas
M
10
M. Almirón
48'
M
M. Almirón
48'
M
19
J. Enciso
1 👟
F
J. Enciso
1 👟
F
25
I. Pitta
45'
F
I. Pitta
45'
F
Bench
18
A. Arce
F
A. Arce
F
26
A. Maidana
16'
D
A. Maidana
16'
D
17
A. Romero
M
A. Romero
M
9
A. Sanabria
F
A. Sanabria
F
20
B. Ojeda
M
B. Ojeda
M
16
D. Bobadilla
52'
M
D. Bobadilla
52'
M
5
F. Balbuena
D
F. Balbuena
D
22
Gastón Olveira
G
Gastón Olveira
G
21
G. Ávalos
5'
F
G. Ávalos
5'
F
24
G. Caballero
F
G. Caballero
F
2
Gustavo Velázquez
30'
D
Gustavo Velázquez
30'
D
13
J. Canale
5'
D
J. Canale
5'
D
11
Maurício
M
Maurício
M
1
Roberto Fernández
G
Roberto Fernández
G
7
R. Sosa
F
R. Sosa
F
Best on the pitch
J. Cáceres
D · Paraguay
8.00
1 shots
· 11 pass
Abdülkerim Bardakcı
D · Türkiye
8.00
· 98 pass
M. Galarza
M · Paraguay
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 18 pass
J. Enciso
F · Paraguay
7.70
1 👟
1 shots
· 20 pass
O. Gill
G · Paraguay
7.50
· 34 pass
A. Güler
M · Türkiye
7.50
1 shots
· 68 pass
Türkiye — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uğurcan Çakır | G | 97 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 27% | — | — | — |
| F. Kadıoğlu | D | 70 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 54 | 46% | 2 | — | — |
| Abdülkerim Bardakcı | D | 86 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 98 | 98% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Demiral | D | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | 5 | 64 | 61% | — | — | — |
| Mert Müldür | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 38% | 3 | — | — |
| H. Çalhanoğlu | M | 97 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 84 | 75% | 4 | — | — |
| İsmail Yüksek | M | 60 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 52 | 47% | 4 | — | — |
| Kenan Yıldız | M | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | 4 | 51 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Güler | M | 97 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 68 | 57% | 1 | — | — |
| Yunus Akgün | M | 60 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 20% | — | — | — |
| K. Aktürkoğlu | F | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Barış Alper Yılmaz | F | 52 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| C. Uzun | M | 37 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Deniz Gül | F | 37 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eren Elmalı | D | 27 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | — | 1 | — |
| O. Kökçü | M | 11 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
Paraguay — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Gill | G | 97 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 34 | 11% | — | — | — |
| J. Alonso | D | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| O. Alderete | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 1% | — | — | — |
| G. Gómez | D | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| J. Cáceres | D | 81 | 8.00 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 6% | 9 | — | — |
| M. Galarza | M | 92 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 18 | 10% | 3 | 1 | — |
| D. Gómez | M | 67 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Cubas | M | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Almirón | M | 48 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 5% | 3 | — | 1 |
| J. Enciso | F | 92 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 1 | 20 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Pitta | F | 45 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 3% | — | — | — |
| A. Maidana | D | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| D. Bobadilla | M | 52 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Ávalos | F | 5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Gustavo Velázquez | D | 30 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| J. Canale | D | 5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Türkiye vs Paraguay?
The final score was Türkiye 0–1 Paraguay.
What did the model predict before Türkiye vs Paraguay?
The model assigned 62% probability to a Türkiye win, 19% to a draw, and 17% to an Paraguay win.