Premier League
· Regular Season - 5
November 02, 2026 13:00
Moi International Sports Centre, Nairobi
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Tusker a 32% win probability (draw 35%, Mara Sugar 32%). The final result was Tusker 3–1 Mara Sugar. In 2 previous meetings, Tusker have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Mara Sugar.
Match statistics
Pre-match prediction
32.34%
Tusker ←
35.12%
X
32.54%
Mara
we assigned to the actual result (Tusker)
32.34%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.49
—
—
0.65
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Tusker vs Mara Sugar?
The final score was Tusker 3–1 Mara Sugar.
What did the model predict before Tusker vs Mara Sugar?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Tusker win, 35% to a draw, and 32% to an Mara Sugar win.