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Tusker - Migori Youth

Premier League September 04, 2026 14:00
#3 · 0 pts
vs
#11 · 0 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.33%
Win
Tusker
33.33%
Draw
33.33%
Win
Migori Youth
0.32
Expected xG
1.5

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (13.66%)
1X2 Result
1 33%
X 33%
2 33%
Double Chance
1X 67%
X2 67%
12 67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 52%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Tusker a 33% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 33% for Migori Youth. Expected goals are 0.3 for Tusker and 1.5 for Migori Youth (total 1.8), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 13.66% probability.

Score Matrix

↕ Tusker Migori Youth →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 16.3% 24.4% 18.2% 9.1% 3.4% 1.0%
1 5.2% 7.8% 5.8% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3%
2 0.8% 1.2% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% — — —
4 — — — — — —
5 — — — — — —

Recent form

D APS Bomet 1–1
L Ulinzi Stars 2–0
L Bandari 1–0
W Bidco United 2–0
L Nairobi United 1–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 33%
No data available

Playing profile

Tusker Tusker
Attack
5
Defence
40
Form
21
Migori Youth Migori Youth
Attack
0
Defence
0
Form
0
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Mathare United Mathare United 0 0
2 Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars 0 0
3 Tusker Tusker 0 0
4 GOR Mahia GOR Mahia 0 0
5 AFC Leopards AFC Leopards 0 0
6 KCB KCB 0 0
7 Posta Rangers FC Posta Rangers FC 0 0
8 Bandari Bandari 0 0
9 Homeboyz Homeboyz 0 0
10 Police Police 0 0
11 Migori Youth Migori Youth 0 0
12 Shabana Shabana 0 0
13 APS Bomet APS Bomet 0 0
14 Murang'a SEAL Murang'a SEAL 0 0
15 Mombasa Elite Mombasa Elite 0 0
16 Mara Sugar Mara Sugar 0 0
17 Nairobi United Nairobi United 0 0
18 3K 3K 0 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Tusker vs Migori Youth?
The model gives Tusker a 33% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 33% for an Migori Youth win.
How many goals are expected in Tusker vs Migori Youth?
Expected goals: Tusker 0.3, Migori Youth 1.5 (total 1.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Tusker vs Migori Youth?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.66%.