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Tusker - Posta Rangers FC

Premier League November 25, 2026 12:00
Tusker
#8 · 6 pts
vs
Posta Rangers FC
#17 · 4 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
31.95%
Win
Tusker
34.79%
Draw
33.25%
Win
Posta Rangers FC
0.58
Expected xG
0.79

Market probabilities

Most likely result 0–0 (19.58%)
1X2 Result
1 32%
X 35%
2 33%
Double Chance
1X 67%
X2 68%
12 65%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 73%
Over 2.5 50%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Posta Rangers FC a 33% win probability, against 34% for a draw and 31% for Tusker. Expected goals are 0.6 for Tusker and 0.8 for Posta Rangers FC (total 1.4), with a 72% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–0 at 19.58% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Tusker have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Posta Rangers FC.

Season Stats

Tusker
6W 2D 7L
Posta Rangers FC
4W 4D 7L
Averages per game
0.9
Goals
0.9
0.8
Conceded
1.3
Percentages
53%
O 1.5
60%
20%
O 2.5
40%
27%
BTTS
40%
33%
Clean Sht
27%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Premier League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
15%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
Tusker
5W 3D 2L · at home
Posta Rangers FC
2W 4D 4L · away
1.2
gls/g
0.9
0.6
Conceded
1.4
50%
Win %
20%
80%
Win or Draw
60%
60%
O 1.5
60%
20%
O 2.5
40%
10%
O 3.5
20%
40%
BTTS
60%
50%
Clean Sht
20%
20%
Failed to Score
30%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Tusker Posta Rangers FC →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 25.5% 20.2% 8.0% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.7% 11.6% 4.6% 1.2% 0.2% —
2 4.2% 3.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% —
3 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% — —
4 0.1% 0.1% — — — —
5 — — — — — —

Recent form

Tusker Tusker
W Mara Sugar 3–1
L Mathare United 2–1
W Ulinzi Stars 0–2
D APS Bomet 1–1
L Ulinzi Stars 2–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 29%
Posta Rangers FC Posta Rangers FC
L 3K 1–2
D Bandari 0–0
W KCB 1–0
L Murang'a SEAL 5–1
L Shabana 0–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 33%

Playing profile

Tusker Tusker
Attack
17
Defence
53
Form
33
Posta Rangers FC Posta Rangers FC
Attack
16
Defence
55
Form
29
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Tusker
1
Draw
1
Posta Rangers FC
31 Jan 2026 Premier League 1–1
27 Sep 2025 Premier League 1–2

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 KCB KCB 6 13
2 GOR Mahia GOR Mahia 5 12
3 AFC Leopards AFC Leopards 5 9
4 Shabana Shabana 6 9
5 Kenya Police Kenya Police 5 8
6 3K 3K 5 8
7 Murang'a SEAL Murang'a SEAL 5 7
8 Tusker Tusker 3 6
9 Police Police 1 1
9 Migori Youth Migori Youth 4 6
10 APS Bomet APS Bomet 6 6
11 Mara Sugar Mara Sugar 5 6
12 Mathare United Mathare United 5 5
13 Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars 5 5
14 Nairobi United Nairobi United 5 4
15 Bandari Bandari 5 4
16 Homeboyz Homeboyz 4 4
17 Posta Rangers FC Posta Rangers FC 5 4
18 Mombasa Elite Mombasa Elite 6 1
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Tusker vs Posta Rangers FC?
The model gives Tusker a 31% win probability, 34% for a draw, and 33% for an Posta Rangers FC win.
How many goals are expected in Tusker vs Posta Rangers FC?
Expected goals: Tusker 0.6, Posta Rangers FC 0.8 (total 1.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 72%.
What is the most likely score in Tusker vs Posta Rangers FC?
0–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 19.58%.