Tusker - Shabana
Premier League
November 15, 2026 12:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
32.99%
Win
Tusker
33.86%
Draw
33.15%
Win
Shabana
0.56
0.63
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(14.67%)
1X2 Result
1
33%
X
34%
2
33%
Double Chance
1X
67%
X2
67%
12
66%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
74%
Over 2.5
51%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Shabana a 33% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 32% for Tusker. Expected goals are 0.6 for Tusker and 0.6 for Shabana (total 1.2), with a 73% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 14.67% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Tusker have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Shabana.
Season Stats
5W
2D
8L
5W
6D
4L
Averages per game
0.8
Goals
0.7
0.8
Conceded
0.7
Percentages
47%
O 1.5
33%
13%
O 2.5
20%
20%
BTTS
27%
33%
Clean Sht
53%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in Premier League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
15%
O 3.5
40%
BTTS
5W
3D
2L
· at home
4W
2D
4L
· away
1.2
gls/g
0.9
0.6
Conceded
1.4
50%
Win %
40%
80%
Win or Draw
60%
60%
O 1.5
50%
20%
O 2.5
40%
10%
O 3.5
20%
40%
BTTS
40%
50%
Clean Sht
40%
20%
Failed to Score
30%
last 10
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Tusker
Shabana →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 30.6% | 19.3% | 6.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | — |
| 1 | 17.0% | 10.7% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | — |
| 2 | 4.7% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 3 | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | — | — | — |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | — | — | — |
| 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Tusker
Attack
17
Defence
53
Form
32
Shabana
Attack
10
Defence
70
Form
39
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
GOR Mahia
|
6 | 13 |
| 2 |
KCB
|
6 | 13 |
| 3 |
AFC Leopards
|
6 | 10 |
| 4 |
Kenya Police
|
6 | 9 |
| 5 |
Shabana
|
6 | 9 |
| 6 |
Mara Sugar
|
6 | 9 |
| 7 |
3K
|
6 | 9 |
| 8 |
Murang'a SEAL
|
6 | 8 |
| 9 |
Bandari
|
6 | 7 |
| 9 |
Police
|
1 | 1 |
| 10 |
Posta Rangers FC
|
6 | 7 |
| 11 |
Tusker
|
4 | 6 |
| 12 |
Migori Youth
|
5 | 6 |
| 13 |
APS Bomet
|
6 | 6 |
| 14 |
Ulinzi Stars
|
6 | 6 |
| 15 |
Nairobi United
|
6 | 5 |
| 16 |
Mathare United
|
6 | 5 |
| 17 |
Homeboyz
|
5 | 5 |
| 18 |
Mombasa Elite
|
6 | 1 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Tusker vs Shabana?
The model gives Tusker a 32% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 33% for an Shabana win.
How many goals are expected in Tusker vs Shabana?
Expected goals: Tusker 0.6, Shabana 0.6 (total 1.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 73%.
What is the most likely score in Tusker vs Shabana?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 14.67%.