Conference League
· League Stage - 1
October 15, 2026 21:00
✓Model correct — prediction Twente
R. Zerrouki
(ast. D. Weidmann)
65'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Twente a 72% win probability (draw 17%, FC Thun 9%). The final result was Twente 1–0 FC Thun.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
2
4
Shots on target
0
2.03
Actual xG
0.18
0
Saves
3
75%
Possession
25%
6
Corners
1
18
Tackles
16
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
24'
31'
F. Fehr
A. Adelgaard
43'
46'
N. Zoukit
/
J. Bamert
60'
P. Kristal
⚽R. Zerrouki
· ast. D. Weidmann
65'
66'
N. Maier
/
F. Dursun
66'
L. Passavant
/
N. Reichmuth
D. Rots
/ M. Pjaca
67'
Y. Taha
/ K. Hlynsson
67'
S. Orjasaeter
/ F. Thorvaldsen
78'
81'
T. Strannegard
/
O. Mambwa
81'
R. Braschi
/
B. Labeau
D. Weidmann
/ T. van den Belt
84'
Pre-match prediction
72.65%
Twente ←
17.96%
X
9.39%
FC
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Twente)
72.65%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.36
2.03
-0.33
0.71
0.18
-0.53
Twente dominated by xG (2.03 vs 0.18).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
16
J. Drommel
83'
G
J. Drommel
83'
G
29
A. Adelgaard
83'
D
A. Adelgaard
83'
D
4
R. Nijstad
83'
D
R. Nijstad
83'
D
3
R. Pröpper
83'
D
R. Pröpper
83'
D
28
B. van Rooij
83'
D
B. van Rooij
83'
D
8
D. Weidmann
1 👟
83'
M
D. Weidmann
1 👟
83'
M
6
R. Zerrouki
1 ⚽
83'
M
R. Zerrouki
1 ⚽
83'
M
27
S. Ørjasæter
78'
M
S. Ørjasæter
78'
M
10
Y. Taha
67'
M
Y. Taha
67'
M
11
D. Rots
67'
M
D. Rots
67'
M
9
W. Weghorst
83'
F
W. Weghorst
83'
F
Bench
26
Benjamin Nagel
M
Benjamin Nagel
M
17
F. Thorvaldsen
5'
F
F. Thorvaldsen
5'
F
39
J. Meilink
D
J. Meilink
D
18
Jordy Bawuah
M
Jordy Bawuah
M
14
K. Hlynsson
16'
M
K. Hlynsson
16'
M
24
Krzysztof Kurowski
D
Krzysztof Kurowski
D
25
Lucas Vennegoor of Hesselink
F
Lucas Vennegoor of Hesselink
F
7
M. Pjaca
16'
F
M. Pjaca
16'
F
2
M. Rosiak
D
M. Rosiak
D
22
R. Pasveer
G
R. Pasveer
G
20
T. van den Belt
M
T. van den Belt
M
31
Yannick Gerritsen
G
Yannick Gerritsen
G
1
N. Steffen
83'
G
N. Steffen
83'
G
2
Olivier Mambwa
82'
D
Olivier Mambwa
82'
D
19
J. Bamert
45'
D
J. Bamert
45'
D
5
N. Bürgy
83'
D
N. Bürgy
83'
D
47
F. Fehr
83'
D
F. Fehr
83'
D
15
P. Kristal
60'
M
P. Kristal
60'
M
14
M. Käit
83'
M
M. Käit
83'
M
16
J. Roth
83'
M
J. Roth
83'
M
70
N. Reichmuth
67'
M
N. Reichmuth
67'
M
9
F. Dursun
66'
F
F. Dursun
66'
F
96
B. Labeau
81'
F
B. Labeau
81'
F
Bench
22
Dario Walti
G
Dario Walti
G
21
Dorian Derbaci
M
Dorian Derbaci
M
37
L. Dähler
D
L. Dähler
D
54
L. Passavant
16'
D
L. Passavant
16'
D
26
N. Christoffersson
F
N. Christoffersson
F
30
N. Maier
17'
M
N. Maier
17'
M
13
N. Zoukit
38'
M
N. Zoukit
38'
M
20
R. Braschi
2'
F
R. Braschi
2'
F
80
S. Lengen
F
S. Lengen
F
25
T. Spycher
G
T. Spycher
G
18
T. Strannegård
1'
M
T. Strannegård
1'
M
Best on the pitch
R. Zerrouki
M · Twente
8.50
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 79 pass
N. Steffen
G · FC
7.90
· 37 pass
B. van Rooij
D · Twente
7.70
· 78 pass
D. Weidmann
M · Twente
7.50
1 👟
2 shots
· 62 pass
S. Ørjasæter
M · Twente
7.50
2 shots
· 32 pass
N. Bürgy
D · FC
7.30
· 35 pass
Twente — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Drommel | G | 83 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 31 | 20% | — | — | — |
| A. Adelgaard | D | 83 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 62 | 56% | 1 | 1 | — |
| R. Nijstad | D | 83 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 74 | 70% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Pröpper | D | 83 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 69 | 62% | 1 | — | — |
| B. van Rooij | D | 83 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 78 | 73% | 4 | — | — |
| D. Weidmann | M | 83 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 2 | 62 | 54% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Zerrouki | M | 83 | 8.50 | 1 | — | 4 | 79 | 69% | 6 | — | — |
| S. Ørjasæter | M | 78 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 32 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Y. Taha | M | 67 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 38 | 28% | — | — | — |
| D. Rots | M | 67 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| W. Weghorst | F | 83 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Thorvaldsen | F | 5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| K. Hlynsson | M | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 12% | — | — | — |
| M. Pjaca | F | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 14% | — | — | — |
FC Thun — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Steffen | G | 83 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Olivier Mambwa | D | 82 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Bamert | D | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 18% | — | — | — |
| N. Bürgy | D | 83 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 35 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Fehr | D | 83 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 9% | 2 | 1 | — |
| P. Kristal | M | 60 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 10% | 1 | — | 1 |
| M. Käit | M | 83 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Roth | M | 83 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
| N. Reichmuth | M | 67 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | 4 | — | — |
| F. Dursun | F | 66 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Labeau | F | 81 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Passavant | D | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| N. Maier | M | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| N. Zoukit | M | 38 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Braschi | F | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Strannegård | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Twente vs FC Thun?
The final score was Twente 1–0 FC Thun.
What did the model predict before Twente vs FC Thun?
The model assigned 72% probability to a Twente win, 17% to a draw, and 9% to an FC Thun win.