Eredivisie
· Regular Season - 31
April 25, 2026 23:00
S. Orjasaeter
(ast. D. Rots)
10'
37'
(ast. P. Sandler)
B. Linssen
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Twente a 52% win probability (draw 22%, NEC Nijmegen 24%). The final result was Twente 1–1 NEC Nijmegen. In 1 previous meetings, Twente have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for NEC Nijmegen.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
13
7
Shots on target
6
1.19
Actual xG
1.86
5
Saves
5
49%
Possession
51%
1
Corners
9
20
Tackles
7
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽S. Orjasaeter
· ast. D. Rots
10'
18'
N. Lebreton
26'
D. Fonville
37'
ast. P. Sandler ·
B. Linssen⚽
S. Lammers
/ R. van Wolfswinkel
66'
R. Nijstad
/ R. Propper
66'
66'
D. Proper
/
B. Nuytinck
T. van den Belt
/ D. Weidmann
77'
K. Hlynsson
/ M. Kjolo
78'
M. Rots
79'
85'
Danilo Pereira
/
B. Linssen
M. Rots
/ A. Verschueren
87'
90'+2
B. Pereira
/
T. Chery
Pre-match prediction
52.31%
Twente
22.72%
X ←
24.97%
NEC
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
22.72%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.93
1.19
-0.74
1.29
1.86
+0.57
NEC Nijmegen dominated by xG (1.86 vs 1.19).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
39
Mats Rots
D
Mats Rots
D
43
Ruud Nijstad
66'
D
Ruud Nijstad
66'
D
23
Stav Lemkin
D
Stav Lemkin
D
28
Bart van Rooij
D
Bart van Rooij
D
20
T. van den Belt
77'
M
T. van den Belt
77'
M
6
Ramiz Zerrouki
M
Ramiz Zerrouki
M
27
S. Ørjasæter
1 ⚽
M
S. Ørjasæter
1 ⚽
M
14
K. Hlynsson
78'
M
K. Hlynsson
78'
M
11
D. Rots
1 👟
87'
M
D. Rots
1 👟
87'
M
10
S. Lammers
66'
F
S. Lammers
66'
F
Bench
9
R. van Wolfswinkel
25'
F
R. van Wolfswinkel
25'
F
8
Taylor Booth
F
Taylor Booth
F
1
G
24
Deveron Fonville
D
Deveron Fonville
D
17
Bram Nuytinck
66'
D
Bram Nuytinck
66'
D
14
Eli Dasa
D
Eli Dasa
D
20
N. Lebreton
M
N. Lebreton
M
6
M
3
P. Sandler
1 👟
M
P. Sandler
1 👟
M
23
K. Sano
M
K. Sano
M
25
S. Ouaissa
F
S. Ouaissa
F
30
B. Linssen
1 ⚽
85'
F
B. Linssen
1 ⚽
85'
F
10
T. Chery
F
T. Chery
F
Bench
9
Danilo
6'
F
Danilo
6'
F
18
Koki Ogawa
F
Koki Ogawa
F
34
Youssef el Kachati
F
Youssef el Kachati
F
Best on the pitch
S. Ørjasæter
M · Twente
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 23 pass
P. Sandler
M · NEC
8.00
1 👟
1 shots
· 45 pass
B. Linssen
F · NEC
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 18 pass
Deveron Fonville
D · NEC
7.70
· 32 pass
Bart van Rooij
D · Twente
7.70
· 47 pass
G · NEC
7.60
· 36 pass
Twente — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 91 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 20% | — | — | — | |
| Mats Rots | D | 91 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 29% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Ruud Nijstad | D | 66 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| Stav Lemkin | D | 91 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 41 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| Bart van Rooij | D | 91 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 47 | 35% | 4 | — | — |
| T. van den Belt | M | 77 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 27 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| Ramiz Zerrouki | M | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 25% | 3 | — | — |
| S. Ørjasæter | M | 91 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 23 | 16% | — | — | — |
| K. Hlynsson | M | 78 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
| D. Rots | M | 87 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 4 | 40 | 22% | 4 | — | — |
| S. Lammers | F | 66 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| R. van Wolfswinkel | F | 25 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
NEC Nijmegen — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 91 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 36 | 16% | — | — | — | |
| Deveron Fonville | D | 91 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 32 | 28% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Bram Nuytinck | D | 66 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Eli Dasa | D | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 39 | 33% | — | — | — |
| N. Lebreton | M | 91 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 16% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M | 91 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 51 | 39% | 1 | — | — | |
| P. Sandler | M | 91 | 8.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 45 | 39% | — | — | — |
| K. Sano | M | 91 | 6.00 | — | — | 3 | 38 | 31% | — | — | — |
| S. Ouaissa | F | 91 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Linssen | F | 85 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 18 | 16% | — | — | — |
| T. Chery | F | 91 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 33 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Danilo | F | 6 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Twente vs NEC Nijmegen?
The final score was Twente 1–1 NEC Nijmegen.
What did the model predict before Twente vs NEC Nijmegen?
The model assigned 52% probability to a Twente win, 22% to a draw, and 24% to an NEC Nijmegen win.