← Eredivisie
#3 · 58 pts
1 – 1
Final score
#4 · 56 pts
S. Orjasaeter (ast. D. Rots) 10'
37' (ast. P. Sandler) B. Linssen

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Twente a 52% win probability (draw 22%, NEC Nijmegen 24%). The final result was Twente 1–1 NEC Nijmegen. In 1 previous meetings, Twente have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for NEC Nijmegen.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
13
7
Shots on target
6
1.19
Actual xG
1.86
5
Saves
5
49%
Possession
51%
1
Corners
9
20
Tackles
7
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
S. Orjasaeter · ast. D. Rots
10'
18'
N. Lebreton
26'
D. Fonville
37'
ast. P. Sandler · B. Linssen
S. Lammers / R. van Wolfswinkel
66'
R. Nijstad / R. Propper
66'
66'
D. Proper / B. Nuytinck
T. van den Belt / D. Weidmann
77'
K. Hlynsson / M. Kjolo
78'
M. Rots
79'
85'
Danilo Pereira / B. Linssen
M. Rots / A. Verschueren
87'
90'+2
B. Pereira / T. Chery
Pre-match prediction
52.31%
Twente
22.72%
X ←
24.97%
NEC
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 22.72% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Twente
1.93
1.19
-0.74
NEC
1.29
1.86
+0.57
NEC Nijmegen dominated by xG (1.86 vs 1.19). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Roda Roda 1 1
1 Willem II Willem II 1 3
1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 33 81
2 Feyenoord Feyenoord 33 62
2 Waalwijk Waalwijk 1 1
2 Waalwijk Waalwijk 1 0
3 Twente Twente 33 58
4 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 33 56
5 Ajax Ajax 33 55
6 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 33 51
7 Utrecht Utrecht 33 50
8 Heerenveen Heerenveen 33 50
9 Groningen Groningen 33 45
10 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 33 43
11 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 33 39
12 GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles 33 38
13 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 33 37
14 Excelsior Excelsior 33 35
15 Telstar Telstar 33 34
16 FC Volendam FC Volendam 33 32
17 NAC Breda NAC Breda 33 28
18 Heracles Heracles 33 19
Lineups
Twente Twente 4-2-3-1
1
G 7.30
39 Mats Rots Mats Rots D 6.60
43 Ruud Nijstad Ruud Nijstad 66' D 6.90
23 Stav Lemkin Stav Lemkin D 7.00
28 Bart van Rooij Bart van Rooij D 7.70
20 T. van den Belt T. van den Belt 77' M 6.60
6 Ramiz Zerrouki Ramiz Zerrouki M 6.90
27 S. Ørjasæter S. Ørjasæter 1 ⚽ M 8.20
14 K. Hlynsson K. Hlynsson 78' M 6.20
11 D. Rots D. Rots 1 👟 87' M 7.30
10 S. Lammers S. Lammers 66' F 6.90
Bench
9 R. van Wolfswinkel R. van Wolfswinkel 25' F 6.70
8 Taylor Booth Taylor Booth F
NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 3-4-1-2
1
G 7.60
24 Deveron Fonville Deveron Fonville D 7.70
17 Bram Nuytinck Bram Nuytinck 66' D 5.90
14 Eli Dasa Eli Dasa D 6.90
20 N. Lebreton N. Lebreton M 6.50
6
M 6.30
3 P. Sandler P. Sandler 1 👟 M 8.00
23 K. Sano K. Sano M 6.00
25 S. Ouaissa S. Ouaissa F 6.70
30 B. Linssen B. Linssen 1 ⚽ 85' F 7.70
10 T. Chery T. Chery F 6.30
Bench
9 Danilo Danilo 6' F
18 Koki Ogawa Koki Ogawa F
34 Youssef el Kachati Youssef el Kachati F
Best on the pitch
S. Ørjasæter
S. Ørjasæter
M · Twente
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 23 pass
P. Sandler
P. Sandler
M · NEC
8.00
1 👟
1 shots · 45 pass
B. Linssen
B. Linssen
F · NEC
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 18 pass
Deveron Fonville
Deveron Fonville
D · NEC
7.70
· 32 pass
Bart van Rooij
Bart van Rooij
D · Twente
7.70
· 47 pass
G · NEC
7.60
· 36 pass
Twente Twente — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 91 7.30 36 20%
Mats Rots D 91 6.60 1 35 29% 2 1
Ruud Nijstad D 66 6.90 28 21% 2
Stav Lemkin D 91 7.00 41 34% 2
Bart van Rooij D 91 7.70 47 35% 4
T. van den Belt M 77 6.60 2 27 22% 2
Ramiz Zerrouki M 91 6.90 34 25% 3
S. Ørjasæter M 91 8.20 1 1 23 16%
K. Hlynsson M 78 6.20 18 14%
D. Rots M 87 7.30 1 4 40 22% 4
S. Lammers F 66 6.90 21 13% 1
R. van Wolfswinkel F 25 6.70 7 4%
NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 91 7.60 36 16%
Deveron Fonville D 91 7.70 32 28% 4 1
Bram Nuytinck D 66 5.90 1 34 26%
Eli Dasa D 91 6.90 2 39 33%
N. Lebreton M 91 6.50 2 28 16% 1 1
M 91 6.30 51 39% 1
P. Sandler M 91 8.00 1 1 45 39%
K. Sano M 91 6.00 3 38 31%
S. Ouaissa F 91 6.70 1 19 17% 1
B. Linssen F 85 7.70 1 1 18 16%
T. Chery F 91 6.30 2 33 27%
Danilo F 6 3 2%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Twente vs NEC Nijmegen?
The final score was Twente 1–1 NEC Nijmegen.
What did the model predict before Twente vs NEC Nijmegen?
The model assigned 52% probability to a Twente win, 22% to a draw, and 24% to an NEC Nijmegen win.