D. Weidmann
(ast. S. Orjasaeter)
38'
D. Mbayo
59'
(og)
D. Rots
(ast. R. Zerrouki)
69'
21'
(ast. T. Oosting)
E. Sorensen
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Twente a 42% win probability (draw 29%, PEC Zwolle 28%). The final result was Twente 3–1 PEC Zwolle. In 2 previous meetings, Twente have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for PEC Zwolle.
Match statistics
22
Total shots
5
10
Shots on target
3
2.11
Actual xG
0.68
2
Saves
8
69%
Possession
31%
6
Corners
3
10
Tackles
14
Match Events
21'
ast. T. Oosting ·
E. Sorensen⚽
⚽D. Weidmann
· ast. S. Orjasaeter
38'
⚽D. Mbayo
(og)
59'
65'
G. Reiziger
/
T. Oosting
66'
O. Velanas
/
E. Sorensen
66'
I. Cissoko
/
D. Mbayo
B. van Rooij
/ G. Peixoto
69'
M. Pjaca
/ K. Hlynsson
69'
⚽D. Rots
· ast. R. Zerrouki
69'
78'
N. Fichtinger
/
R. Thomas
S. Orjasaeter
/ F. Thorvaldsen
80'
D. Weidmann
/ T. van den Belt
80'
W. Weghorst
/ S. Lammers
82'
84'
T. Velthuis
/
D. van der Haar
Pre-match prediction
42.57%
Twente ←
29.11%
X
28.32%
PEC
we assigned to the actual result (Twente)
42.57%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.78
2.11
+0.33
1.23
0.68
-0.55
Twente dominated by xG (2.11 vs 0.68).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
L. Unnerstall
G
L. Unnerstall
G
29
A. Adelgaard
D
A. Adelgaard
D
43
R. Nijstad
D
R. Nijstad
D
3
R. Pröpper
D
R. Pröpper
D
28
B. van Rooij
69'
D
B. van Rooij
69'
D
42
D. Weidmann
1 ⚽
80'
M
D. Weidmann
1 ⚽
80'
M
6
R. Zerrouki
1 👟
M
R. Zerrouki
1 👟
M
27
S. Ørjasæter
1 👟
80'
M
S. Ørjasæter
1 👟
80'
M
11
D. Rots
1 ⚽
M
D. Rots
1 ⚽
M
7
M. Pjaca
69'
M
M. Pjaca
69'
M
9
W. Weghorst
82'
F
W. Weghorst
82'
F
Bench
17
Filip Thorvaldsen
10'
F
Filip Thorvaldsen
10'
F
12
Guilherme Peixoto
21'
D
Guilherme Peixoto
21'
D
16
J. Drommel
G
J. Drommel
G
24
K. Kurowski
D
K. Kurowski
D
14
Kristian Hlynsson
21'
M
Kristian Hlynsson
21'
M
25
Lucas Vennegoor of Hesselink
F
Lucas Vennegoor of Hesselink
F
4
M. Kjølø
M
M. Kjølø
M
37
N. Ünüvar
F
N. Ünüvar
F
22
R. Pasveer
G
R. Pasveer
G
10
Sam Lammers
8'
F
Sam Lammers
8'
F
20
T. van den Belt
10'
M
T. van den Belt
10'
M
19
Y. Taha
F
Y. Taha
F
1
J. Schendelaar
G
J. Schendelaar
G
33
D. van der Haar
84'
D
D. van der Haar
84'
D
24
N. Viergever
D
N. Viergever
D
28
S. Graves
D
S. Graves
D
3
O. Aertssen
D
O. Aertssen
D
8
T. Sommer
M
T. Sommer
M
30
R. Thomas
78'
M
R. Thomas
78'
M
9
E. Sørensen
1 ⚽
66'
M
E. Sørensen
1 ⚽
66'
M
25
T. Oosting
1 👟
65'
M
T. Oosting
1 👟
65'
M
11
D. Mbayo
1 ⚽
66'
M
D. Mbayo
1 ⚽
66'
M
10
K. Kostons
F
K. Kostons
F
Bench
41
D. Verduin
G
D. Verduin
G
42
Dylan Ruward
D
Dylan Ruward
D
37
Gilles van der Wal
M
Gilles van der Wal
M
38
G. Rahajaän
M
G. Rahajaän
M
20
G. Reiziger
25'
M
G. Reiziger
25'
M
22
I. Cissoko
24'
F
I. Cissoko
24'
F
26
Jadiel Pereira da Gama
M
Jadiel Pereira da Gama
M
6
Jan Bürger
D
Jan Bürger
D
34
N. Fichtinger
12'
M
N. Fichtinger
12'
M
18
O. Velanas
24'
M
O. Velanas
24'
M
16
T. de Graaff
G
T. de Graaff
G
4
T. Velthuis
10'
D
T. Velthuis
10'
D
Best on the pitch
D. Weidmann
M · Twente
8.20
1 ⚽
5 shots
· 49 pass
D. Rots
M · Twente
8.20
1 ⚽
5 shots
· 33 pass
B. van Rooij
D · Twente
7.90
1 shots
· 53 pass
R. Nijstad
D · Twente
7.70
1 shots
· 98 pass
J. Schendelaar
G · PEC
7.60
· 46 pass
R. Zerrouki
M · Twente
7.30
1 👟
· 80 pass
Twente — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Unnerstall | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 25% | — | — | — |
| A. Adelgaard | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 63 | 56% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Nijstad | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 98 | 94% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Pröpper | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 86 | 73% | 1 | — | — |
| B. van Rooij | D | 69 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 51% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Weidmann | M | 80 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 5 | 49 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Zerrouki | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 80 | 67% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Ørjasæter | M | 80 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 47 | 39% | — | — | — |
| D. Rots | M | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 5 | 33 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Pjaca | M | 69 | 7.00 | — | — | 4 | 27 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| W. Weghorst | F | 82 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Filip Thorvaldsen | F | 10 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Guilherme Peixoto | D | 21 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Kristian Hlynsson | M | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Sam Lammers | F | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. van den Belt | M | 10 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
PEC Zwolle — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Schendelaar | G | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 46 | 30% | — | — | — |
| D. van der Haar | D | 84 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 9% | — | — | — |
| N. Viergever | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 36 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Graves | D | 90 | 5.60 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 34% | — | — | — |
| O. Aertssen | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 11 | 7% | 3 | — | — |
| T. Sommer | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 13% | — | — | — |
| R. Thomas | M | 78 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 32 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| E. Sørensen | M | 66 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 11 | 6% | — | — | — |
| T. Oosting | M | 65 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 18 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Mbayo | M | 66 | 6.50 | 1 | — | — | 9 | 8% | 4 | — | — |
| K. Kostons | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 9% | — | — | — |
| G. Reiziger | M | 25 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| I. Cissoko | F | 24 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| N. Fichtinger | M | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| O. Velanas | M | 24 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Velthuis | D | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Twente vs PEC Zwolle?
The final score was Twente 3–1 PEC Zwolle.
What did the model predict before Twente vs PEC Zwolle?
The model assigned 42% probability to a Twente win, 29% to a draw, and 28% to an PEC Zwolle win.