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Eredivisie · Regular Season - 9 October 18, 2026 20:00 De Grolsch Veste, Enschede
Twente
#4 · 20 pts
1 – 2
Final score
Utrecht
#11 · 12 pts
Daouda Weidmann (ast. Aske Emil Berg Adelgaard) 28'
47' (ast. Arthur Zagre) Ángel Alarcón
63' (ast. Arthur Zagre) Ángel Alarcón
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Twente a 53% win probability (draw 25%, Utrecht 21%). The final result was Twente 1–2 Utrecht. In 3 previous meetings, Twente have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Utrecht.

Match statistics
24
Total shots
16
5
Shots on target
5
1.36
Actual xG
1.25
2
Saves
4
63%
Possession
37%
5
Corners
4
12
Tackles
17
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽Daouda Weidmann · ast. Aske Emil Berg Adelgaard
28'
↕ Daan Rots / Marko Pjaca
45'
47'
ast. Arthur Zagre · Ángel Alarcón⚽
57'
Siebe Horemans
↕ Robin Propper / Thomas Van den Belt
62'
↕ Kristian Nokkvi Hlynsson / Younes Taha El Idrissi
62'
63'
ast. Arthur Zagre · Ángel Alarcón⚽
64'
Nordin Amrabat / Oualid Agougil ↕
64'
Davy Van Den Berg / Siebe Horemans ↕
66'
Davy Van Den Berg
72'
Adrian Blake / Yoann Cathline ↕
72'
S. van Duijn / Ángel Alarcón ↕
↕ Aske Emil Berg Adelgaard / Lucas hesselink of vennegoor
73'
Pre-match prediction
53.17%
Twente
25.01%
X
21.82%
Utrecht ←
we assigned to the actual result (Utrecht) 21.82% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Twente
1.98
1.36
-0.62
Utrecht
0.87
1.25
+0.38
xG dominance was balanced (1.36 – 1.25). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Feyenoord Feyenoord 10 24
2 Ajax Ajax 10 21
3 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 10 20
4 Twente Twente 10 20
5 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 10 20
6 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 10 18
7 Heerenveen Heerenveen 10 15
8 Groningen Groningen 10 15
9 GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles 10 14
10 Cambuur Cambuur 10 12
11 Utrecht Utrecht 10 12
12 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 10 11
13 Excelsior Excelsior 10 11
14 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 10 9
15 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 10 8
16 Telstar Telstar 10 6
17 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 10 6
18 Willem II Willem II 10 2
Lineups
Twente Twente 4-2-3-1
16 J. Drommel J. Drommel G 6.13
29 A. Adelgaard A. Adelgaard 1 👟 73' D 6.82
4 R. Nijstad R. Nijstad D 6.74
3 R. Pröpper R. Pröpper 62' D 6.91
28 B. van Rooij B. van Rooij D 7.00
8 D. Weidmann D. Weidmann 1 ⚽ M 8.20
6 R. Zerrouki R. Zerrouki M 7.09
27 S. Ørjasæter S. Ørjasæter M 5.89
14 K. Hlynsson K. Hlynsson 62' M 6.25
11 D. Rots D. Rots 46' M 6.17
9 W. Weghorst W. Weghorst F 6.49
Bench
17 F. Thorvaldsen F. Thorvaldsen F 0.00
39 J. Meilink J. Meilink D 0.00
18 Jordy Bawuah Jordy Bawuah M 0.00
24 Krzysztof Kurowski Krzysztof Kurowski D 0.00
25 Lucas Vennegoor of Hesselink Lucas Vennegoor of Hesselink 17' F 6.26
7 M. Pjaca M. Pjaca 44' F 6.52
2 M. Rosiak M. Rosiak D 0.00
22 R. Pasveer R. Pasveer G 0.00
20 T. van den Belt T. van den Belt 28' M 6.75
31 Yannick Gerritsen Yannick Gerritsen G 0.00
10 Y. Taha Y. Taha 28' F 6.33
Utrecht Utrecht 3-4-3
22 S. Padt S. Padt G 7.81
5 N. Panagiotou N. Panagiotou D 6.82
3 M. Didden M. Didden D 6.60
2 S. Horemans S. Horemans 64' D 6.30
92 A. Zagré A. Zagré 2 👟 M 7.59
38 O. Agougil O. Agougil 64' M 6.41
8 J. van Overeem J. van Overeem M 6.23
23 N. Vesterlund N. Vesterlund M 6.30
11 Ángel Alarcón Ángel Alarcón 2 ⚽ 72' F 8.88
20 D. de Wit D. de Wit F 6.66
10 Y. Cathline Y. Cathline 72' F 5.91
Bench
15 A. Blake A. Blake 18' F 6.74
34 D. van den Berg D. van den Berg 26' M 6.03
47 E. C. Owen E. C. Owen F 0.00
6 G. Offerhaus G. Offerhaus D 0.00
18 J. Medić J. Medić D 0.00
33 K. Gadellaa K. Gadellaa G 0.00
31 M. Eppink M. Eppink G 0.00
39 N. Amrabat N. Amrabat 26' F 6.79
21 Nigel Ogidi Nwankwo Nigel Ogidi Nwankwo D 0.00
32 P. Kloosterboer P. Kloosterboer D 0.00
17 S. van Duijn S. van Duijn 18' F 6.54
Best on the pitch
Ángel Alarcón
Ángel Alarcón
F · Utrecht
8.88
2 ⚽
4 shots · 19 pass
D. Weidmann
D. Weidmann
M · Twente
8.20
1 ⚽
4 shots · 66 pass
S. Padt
S. Padt
G · Utrecht
7.81
· 40 pass
A. Zagré
A. Zagré
M · Utrecht
7.59
2 👟
· 23 pass
R. Zerrouki
R. Zerrouki
M · Twente
7.09
1 shots · 81 pass
B. van Rooij
B. van Rooij
D · Twente
7.00
· 61 pass
Twente Twente — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Drommel G 90 6.13 — — 0 49 37% 0 — —
A. Adelgaard D 73 6.82 — 1 2 58 50% 2 — —
R. Nijstad D 90 6.74 — — 1 97 92% 1 — —
R. Pröpper D 62 6.91 — — 2 49 48% 2 — —
B. van Rooij D 90 7.00 — — 0 61 56% 1 — —
D. Weidmann M 90 8.20 1 — 4 66 58% 0 — —
R. Zerrouki M 90 7.09 — — 1 81 76% 1 — —
S. Ørjasæter M 90 5.89 — — 2 33 28% 0 — —
K. Hlynsson M 62 6.25 — — 3 18 15% 0 — —
D. Rots M 46 6.17 — — 1 18 13% 1 — —
W. Weghorst F 90 6.49 — — 3 33 25% 1 — —
Lucas Vennegoor of Hesselink F 17 6.26 — — 1 7 3% 0 — —
M. Pjaca F 44 6.52 — — 1 17 15% 0 — —
T. van den Belt M 28 6.75 — — 3 21 18% 2 — —
Y. Taha F 28 6.33 — — 0 15 12% 1 — —
Utrecht Utrecht — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. Padt G 90 7.81 — — 0 40 29% 1 — —
N. Panagiotou D 90 6.82 — — 1 31 29% 0 — —
M. Didden D 90 6.60 — — 0 38 31% 1 — —
S. Horemans D 64 6.30 — — 0 35 27% 2 1 —
A. Zagré M 90 7.59 — 2 0 23 18% 2 — —
O. Agougil M 64 6.41 — — 1 28 25% 0 — —
J. van Overeem M 90 6.23 — — 0 55 45% 1 — —
N. Vesterlund M 90 6.30 — — 1 18 16% 3 — —
Ángel Alarcón F 72 8.88 2 — 4 19 13% 1 — —
D. de Wit F 90 6.66 — — 1 32 19% 3 — —
Y. Cathline F 72 5.91 — — 4 20 15% 1 — —
A. Blake F 18 6.74 — — 1 6 6% 0 — —
D. van den Berg M 26 6.03 — — 0 4 3% 0 1 —
N. Amrabat F 26 6.79 — — 3 9 6% 2 — —
S. van Duijn F 18 6.54 — — 0 10 5% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Twente vs Utrecht?
The final score was Twente 1–2 Utrecht.
What did the model predict before Twente vs Utrecht?
The model assigned 53% probability to a Twente win, 25% to a draw, and 21% to an Utrecht win.