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← Primera División
Primera División · Regular Season - 24 October 29, 2026 00:30
U. Catolica
#3 · 46 pts
1 – 1
Final score
A. Italiano
#13 · 30 pts
Fernando Zampedri (ast. Fernando Zuqui) 28'
(pen.) 55' César Pinares
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave U. Catolica a 53% win probability (draw 25%, A. Italiano 21%). The final result was U. Catolica 1–1 A. Italiano. In 1 previous meetings, U. Catolica have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for A. Italiano.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
10
4
Shots on target
3
0.86
Actual xG
1.91
2
Saves
3
62%
Possession
38%
6
Corners
3
14
Tackles
20
2
🟨 Yellow cards
6
1
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽Fernando Zampedri · ast. Fernando Zuqui
28'
34'
Enzo Ferrario
42'
Raimundo Rebolledo
45'+3
Fernando Zuqui
45'+3
45'+3
Michael Fuentes
↕ Justo Giani / Daniel Gonzales
45'
45'
Federico Mateos / Mario Eduardo Sandoval ↕
49'
Paolo Guajardo
Clemente Montes
50'
55'
(pen.) César Pinares⚽
↕ Daniel Gonzales / Sebastián Andrés Arancibia Flores
57'
↕ Alfred Canales / Matias Palavecino
57'
59'
César Pinares
65'
Franco Troyansky / Diego Coelho ↕
72'
Oliver Rojas / César Pinares ↕
↕ Eugenio Mena / Diego Valencia
72'
↕ Clemente Montes / Martin Gomez
79'
83'
Diego Monreal / Paolo Guajardo ↕
83'
Nicolás Orellana / Giovani Chiaverano Meroi ↕
88'
Felipe Salomoni
90'+5
90'+6
Tomas Ahumada
Fernando Zampedri
90'
Pre-match prediction
53.37%
U.
25.56%
X ←
21.08%
A.
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 25.56% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
U.
1.43
0.86
-0.57
A.
0.82
1.91
+1.1
A. Italiano dominated by xG (1.91 vs 0.86). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Colo Colo Colo Colo 26 58
2 Universidad de Chile Universidad de Chile 26 48
3 U. Catolica U. Catolica 26 46
4 Deportes Limache Deportes Limache 26 40
5 Everton de Vina Everton de Vina 26 40
6 Palestino Palestino 26 38
7 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido 25 35
8 Concepción Concepción 26 35
9 Nublense Nublense 26 35
10 D. La Serena D. La Serena 26 34
11 Huachipato Huachipato 25 33
12 O'Higgins O'Higgins 26 31
13 A. Italiano A. Italiano 26 30
14 Cobresal Cobresal 26 27
15 Universidad de Concepcion Universidad de Concepcion 26 23
16 Union La Calera Union La Calera 26 21
Lineups
U. Catolica U. Catolica 4-1-4-1
27 D. Melo D. Melo G 6.83
3 E. Mena E. Mena 72' D 6.28
26 J. Díaz J. Díaz D 7.02
5 A. Farías A. Farías D 7.31
23
D 6.92
13 A. Canales A. Canales 57' M 6.47
7 J. Giani J. Giani 45' M 6.65
15 C. Cuevas C. Cuevas M 6.94
8 F. Zuqui F. Zuqui 1 👟 45' M 6.21
11 C. Montes C. Montes 79' M 6.08
9 F. Zampedri F. Zampedri 1 ⚽ F 8.20
Bench
21 A. García A. García D 0.00
25 D. Corral D. Corral F 0.00
2 D. Gónzalez D. Gónzalez 12' D 6.30
30 D. Valencia D. Valencia 18' F 6.58
4 Ignacio Andres Pérez Gutierrez Ignacio Andres Pérez Gutierrez D 0.00
22 M. Gómez M. Gómez 11' M 6.39
10 M. Palavecino M. Palavecino 33' M 6.14
6 S. Arancibia S. Arancibia 33' D 6.52
1 V. Bernedo V. Bernedo G 0.00
A. Italiano A. Italiano 4-4-2
1 T. Ahumada T. Ahumada G 6.63
3 F. Salomoni F. Salomoni D 7.28
29 M. Ortiz M. Ortiz D 6.84
13 E. Ferrario E. Ferrario D 5.93
35 R. Rebolledo R. Rebolledo D 6.07
21 G. Chiaverano G. Chiaverano 83' M 6.86
19 C. Pinares C. Pinares 1 ⚽ 72' M 6.98
6 M. Sandoval M. Sandoval 45' M 6.40
7 P. Guajardo P. Guajardo 83' M 6.02
27 M. Fuentes M. Fuentes 45' F 5.72
9 D. Coelho D. Coelho 65' F 6.40
Bench
30 A. Uribe A. Uribe M 0.00
14 D. Monreal D. Monreal 7' D 6.23
28 F. Mateos F. Mateos 45' M 6.49
11 F. Troyansky F. Troyansky 25' F 6.31
20 M. Jiménez M. Jiménez D 0.00
18 N. Aedo N. Aedo M 0.00
24 N. Orellana N. Orellana 7' F 6.52
16 O. Rojas O. Rojas 18' M 6.27
25 P. Garrido P. Garrido G 0.00
Best on the pitch
F. Zampedri
F. Zampedri
F · U.
8.20
1 ⚽
4 shots · 9 pass
A. Farías
A. Farías
D · U.
7.31
· 65 pass
F. Salomoni
F. Salomoni
D · A.
7.28
4 shots · 27 pass
J. Díaz
J. Díaz
D · U.
7.02
· 81 pass
C. Pinares
C. Pinares
M · A.
6.98
1 ⚽
1 shots · 29 pass
C. Cuevas
C. Cuevas
M · U.
6.94
1 shots · 61 pass
U. Catolica U. Catolica — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. Melo G 90 6.83 — — 0 27 23% 0 — —
E. Mena D 72 6.28 — — 0 29 23% 0 — —
J. Díaz D 90 7.02 — — 0 81 71% 0 — —
A. Farías D 90 7.31 — — 0 65 60% 5 — —
D 90 6.92 — — 2 48 41% 0 — —
A. Canales M 57 6.47 — — 1 32 25% 1 — —
J. Giani M 45 6.65 — — 0 7 6% 2 — —
C. Cuevas M 90 6.94 — — 1 61 47% 0 — —
F. Zuqui M 45 6.21 — 1 0 17 15% 1 — 1
C. Montes M 79 6.08 — — 2 14 9% 1 1 —
F. Zampedri F 90 8.20 1 — 4 9 6% 1 1 —
D. Gónzalez D 12 6.30 — — 0 6 6% 0 — —
D. Valencia F 18 6.58 — — 0 4 4% 0 — —
M. Gómez M 11 6.39 — — 3 10 7% 1 — —
M. Palavecino M 33 6.14 — — 0 27 22% 1 — —
S. Arancibia D 33 6.52 — — 0 22 17% 1 — —
A. Italiano A. Italiano — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
T. Ahumada G 90 6.63 — — 0 34 22% 0 1 —
F. Salomoni D 90 7.28 — — 4 27 23% 7 1 —
M. Ortiz D 90 6.84 — — 2 35 31% 3 — —
E. Ferrario D 90 5.93 — — 1 37 28% 1 1 —
R. Rebolledo D 90 6.07 — — 1 26 18% 5 1 —
G. Chiaverano M 83 6.86 — — 0 11 10% 0 — —
C. Pinares M 72 6.98 1 — 1 29 26% 1 1 —
M. Sandoval M 45 6.40 — — 0 14 10% 0 — —
P. Guajardo M 83 6.02 — — 0 12 6% 1 1 —
M. Fuentes F 45 5.72 — — 0 6 5% 1 — 1
D. Coelho F 65 6.40 — — 0 8 3% 0 — —
D. Monreal D 7 6.23 — — 0 3 3% 0 — —
F. Mateos M 45 6.49 — — 0 17 13% 1 — —
F. Troyansky F 25 6.31 — — 1 5 3% 0 — —
N. Orellana F 7 6.52 — — 0 1 0% 0 — —
O. Rojas M 18 6.27 — — 0 7 5% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of U. Catolica vs A. Italiano?
The final score was U. Catolica 1–1 A. Italiano.
What did the model predict before U. Catolica vs A. Italiano?
The model assigned 53% probability to a U. Catolica win, 25% to a draw, and 21% to an A. Italiano win.