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Copa Libertadores · Group Stage - 5 May 22, 2026 02:30
U. Catolica
#1 · 13 pts
2 – 0
Final score
Barcelona SC
#4 · 3 pts
✓Model correct — prediction U. Catolica
F. Zampedri (ast. M. Palavecino) 77'
F. Zampedri (ast. C. Montes) 84'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave U. Catolica a 57% win probability (draw 25%, Barcelona SC 17%). The final result was U. Catolica 2–0 Barcelona SC. In 1 previous meetings, U. Catolica have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Barcelona SC.

Match statistics
24
Total shots
4
9
Shots on target
0
3.39
Actual xG
0.10
0
Saves
7
76%
Possession
24%
9
Corners
1
11
Tackles
11
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
10'
W. J. Chala Rosales
46'
J. Perlaza / J. Intriago ↕
46'
L. Sosa / J. Mina ↕
63'
S. Nunez / D. Benedetto ↕
63'
H. Villalba / B. Castillo ↕
72'
J. Contreras
↕ F. Zuqui / M. Palavecino
75'
↕ J. Giani / J. Rossel
75'
⚽F. Zampedri · ast. M. Palavecino
77'
79'
G. Vallecilla
81'
C. Montano / J. R. Quinonez Ruiz ↕
⚽F. Zampedri · ast. C. Montes
84'
↕ F. Zampedri / A. Farias
87'
↕ J. Valencia / C. Cuevas
87'
89'
S. Nunez
Pre-match prediction
57.46%
U. ←
25.49%
X
17.05%
Barcelona
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (U. Catolica) 57.46% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
U.
1.54
3.39
+1.85
Barcelona
0.55
0.10
-0.45
U. Catolica dominated by xG (3.39 vs 0.10). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 U. Catolica U. Catolica 6 13
2 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 6 11
3 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 6 7
4 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 6 3
Lineups
U. Catolica U. Catolica 4-1-4-1
1 Vicente Bernedo Vicente Bernedo G 6.90
3 Eugenio Mena Eugenio Mena D 8.00
2 Daniel González Daniel González D 7.50
19 B. Ampuero B. Ampuero D 7.20
6 Sebastián Arancibia Sebastián Arancibia D 6.60
20 J. Valencia J. Valencia 87' M 8.00
7 J. Giani J. Giani 75' M 6.30
14 Jimmy Martínez Jimmy Martínez M 6.90
8 Fernando Zuqui Fernando Zuqui 75' M 7.70
11 C. Montes C. Montes 1 👟 M 7.60
9 F. Zampedri F. Zampedri 2 ⚽ 87' F 8.20
Bench
5 Agustín Farías Agustín Farías 7' M
13 Alfred Canales Alfred Canales M
28 Bernardo Cerezo Bernardo Cerezo D
36 Bryan González Bryan González M
15 C. Cuevas C. Cuevas 7' M
27 Darío Melo Darío Melo G
25 Diego Corral Diego Corral F
18 Juan Francisco Rossel Juan Francisco Rossel 19' F 6.60
22 Martín Gómez Martín Gómez M
10 M. Palavecino M. Palavecino 1 👟 19' M 7.20
39 Nicolás L'Huiller Nicolás L'Huiller D
46 Vicente Cárcamo Vicente Cárcamo M
Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 4-2-3-1
1 J. Contreras J. Contreras G 7.00
4 Gustavo Vallecilla Gustavo Vallecilla D 6.30
44 J. Chalá J. Chalá 10' D 3.00
33 Javier Báez Javier Báez D 7.30
18 Bryan Carabalí Bryan Carabalí D 6.30
32 Matias Lugo Matias Lugo M 7.00
35 Jefferson Intriago Jefferson Intriago 45' M 6.30
12 Jonnathan Mina Jonnathan Mina 45' M 6.70
28 Jhonny Quiñónez Jhonny Quiñónez 81' M 6.60
26 Byron Castillo Byron Castillo 63' M 6.30
9 D. Benedetto D. Benedetto 63' F 6.20
Bench
21 Héctor Villalba Héctor Villalba 31' F 6.50
5 Jean Carlos Montaño Jean Carlos Montaño 13' M 6.30
51 Jefferson Wila Jefferson Wila F
15 Jonathan Perlaza Jonathan Perlaza 49' F 6.60
22 Jose Gabriel Cevallos Jose Gabriel Cevallos G
3 Luca Sosa Luca Sosa 49' D 6.20
70 Marcos Mejía Marcos Mejía F
11 Miguel Parrales Miguel Parrales F
25 Ronald Perlaza Ronald Perlaza F
80 Sergio Núñez Sergio Núñez 31' F 6.20
23 T. Martínez T. Martínez M
27 Willian Vargas Willian Vargas D
Best on the pitch
F. Zampedri
F. Zampedri
F · U.
8.20
2 ⚽
3 shots · 5 pass
Eugenio Mena
Eugenio Mena
D · U.
8.00
2 shots · 50 pass
J. Valencia
J. Valencia
M · U.
8.00
4 shots · 97 pass
Fernando Zuqui
Fernando Zuqui
M · U.
7.70
1 shots · 61 pass
C. Montes
C. Montes
M · U.
7.60
1 👟
4 shots · 33 pass
Daniel González
Daniel González
D · U.
7.50
1 shots · 40 pass
U. Catolica U. Catolica — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Vicente Bernedo G 94 6.90 — — — 13 10% — — —
Eugenio Mena D 94 8.00 — — 2 50 47% 3 — —
Daniel González D 94 7.50 — — 1 40 35% 2 — —
B. Ampuero D 94 7.20 — — — 44 40% 1 — —
Sebastián Arancibia D 94 6.60 — — — 27 23% 1 — —
J. Valencia M 87 8.00 — — 4 97 85% 1 — —
J. Giani M 75 6.30 — — 3 17 10% 1 — —
Jimmy Martínez M 94 6.90 — — 5 82 70% — — —
Fernando Zuqui M 75 7.70 — — 1 61 57% — — —
C. Montes M 94 7.60 — 1 4 33 23% 2 — —
F. Zampedri F 87 8.20 2 — 3 5 5% — — —
Agustín Farías M 7 — — — — 15 15% — — —
C. Cuevas M 7 — — — — 8 8% — — —
Juan Francisco Rossel F 19 6.60 — — — 6 3% — — —
M. Palavecino M 19 7.20 — 1 1 15 13% — — —
Barcelona SC Barcelona SC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Contreras G 94 7.00 — — — 41 10% — 1 —
Gustavo Vallecilla D 94 6.30 — — — 9 3% 1 1 —
J. Chalá D 10 3.00 — — — 3 3% — — 1
Javier Báez D 94 7.30 — — — 13 10% 2 — —
Bryan Carabalí D 94 6.30 — — — 11 7% 2 — —
Matias Lugo M 94 7.00 — — 1 23 20% 1 — —
Jefferson Intriago M 45 6.30 — — — 12 7% — — —
Jonnathan Mina M 45 6.70 — — 1 2 2% 2 — —
Jhonny Quiñónez M 81 6.60 — — — 13 7% 2 — —
Byron Castillo M 63 6.30 — — 1 7 7% 1 — —
D. Benedetto F 63 6.20 — — 1 10 7% — — —
Héctor Villalba F 31 6.50 — — — 4 1% — — —
Jean Carlos Montaño M 13 6.30 — — — 3 2% — — —
Jonathan Perlaza F 49 6.60 — — — 6 5% — — —
Luca Sosa D 49 6.20 — — — 6 4% — — —
Sergio Núñez F 31 6.20 — — — 3 3% — 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of U. Catolica vs Barcelona SC?
The final score was U. Catolica 2–0 Barcelona SC.
What did the model predict before U. Catolica vs Barcelona SC?
The model assigned 57% probability to a U. Catolica win, 25% to a draw, and 17% to an Barcelona SC win.