Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 5
May 22, 2026 02:30
✓Model correct — prediction U. Catolica
F. Zampedri
(ast. M. Palavecino)
77'
F. Zampedri
(ast. C. Montes)
84'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave U. Catolica a 57% win probability (draw 25%, Barcelona SC 17%). The final result was U. Catolica 2–0 Barcelona SC. In 1 previous meetings, U. Catolica have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Barcelona SC.
Match statistics
24
Total shots
4
9
Shots on target
0
3.39
Actual xG
0.10
0
Saves
7
76%
Possession
24%
9
Corners
1
11
Tackles
11
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
10'
W. J. Chala Rosales
46'
J. Perlaza
/
J. Intriago
46'
L. Sosa
/
J. Mina
63'
S. Nunez
/
D. Benedetto
63'
H. Villalba
/
B. Castillo
72'
J. Contreras
F. Zuqui
/ M. Palavecino
75'
J. Giani
/ J. Rossel
75'
⚽F. Zampedri
· ast. M. Palavecino
77'
79'
G. Vallecilla
81'
C. Montano
/
J. R. Quinonez Ruiz
⚽F. Zampedri
· ast. C. Montes
84'
F. Zampedri
/ A. Farias
87'
J. Valencia
/ C. Cuevas
87'
89'
S. Nunez
Pre-match prediction
57.46%
U. ←
25.49%
X
17.05%
Barcelona
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (U. Catolica)
57.46%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.54
3.39
+1.85
0.55
0.10
-0.45
U. Catolica dominated by xG (3.39 vs 0.10).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
V. Bernedo
G
V. Bernedo
G
3
Eugenio Mena
D
Eugenio Mena
D
2
D. Gónzalez
D
D. Gónzalez
D
19
B. Ampuero
D
B. Ampuero
D
6
S. Arancibia
D
S. Arancibia
D
20
J. Valencia
87'
M
J. Valencia
87'
M
7
J. Giani
75'
M
J. Giani
75'
M
14
J. Martínez
M
J. Martínez
M
8
F. Zuqui
75'
M
F. Zuqui
75'
M
11
C. Montes
1 👟
M
C. Montes
1 👟
M
9
F. Zampedri
2 ⚽
87'
F
F. Zampedri
2 ⚽
87'
F
Bench
13
A. Canales
M
A. Canales
M
5
A. Farías
7'
M
A. Farías
7'
M
28
B. Cerezo
D
B. Cerezo
D
36
Bryan González
M
Bryan González
M
15
C. Cuevas
7'
M
C. Cuevas
7'
M
27
Darío Melo
G
Darío Melo
G
25
D. Corral
F
D. Corral
F
18
Juan Francisco Rossel
19'
F
Juan Francisco Rossel
19'
F
22
Martín Gómez
M
Martín Gómez
M
10
M. Palavecino
1 👟
19'
M
M. Palavecino
1 👟
19'
M
39
N. L’Huillier
D
N. L’Huillier
D
46
V. Cárcamo
M
V. Cárcamo
M
1
José Contreras
G
José Contreras
G
4
G. Vallecilla
D
G. Vallecilla
D
44
J. Chalá
10'
D
J. Chalá
10'
D
33
J. Báez
D
J. Báez
D
18
Bryan Carabalí
D
Bryan Carabalí
D
32
M. Lugo
M
M. Lugo
M
35
J. Intriago
45'
M
J. Intriago
45'
M
12
J. Mina
45'
M
J. Mina
45'
M
28
J. Quiñónez
81'
M
J. Quiñónez
81'
M
26
B. Castillo
63'
M
B. Castillo
63'
M
9
D. Benedetto
63'
F
D. Benedetto
63'
F
Bench
21
H. Villalba
31'
F
H. Villalba
31'
F
22
J. Cevallos
G
J. Cevallos
G
51
Jefferson Wila
F
Jefferson Wila
F
5
J. Montaño
13'
M
J. Montaño
13'
M
15
J. Perlaza
49'
F
J. Perlaza
49'
F
3
L. Sosa
49'
D
L. Sosa
49'
D
70
Marcos Mejía
F
Marcos Mejía
F
11
M. Parrales
F
M. Parrales
F
25
R. Perlaza
F
R. Perlaza
F
80
S. Núñez
31'
F
S. Núñez
31'
F
23
T. Martínez
M
T. Martínez
M
27
W. Vargas
D
W. Vargas
D
Best on the pitch
F. Zampedri
F · U.
8.20
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 5 pass
Eugenio Mena
D · U.
8.00
2 shots
· 50 pass
J. Valencia
M · U.
8.00
4 shots
· 97 pass
F. Zuqui
M · U.
7.70
1 shots
· 61 pass
C. Montes
M · U.
7.60
1 👟
4 shots
· 33 pass
D. Gónzalez
D · U.
7.50
1 shots
· 40 pass
U. Catolica — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Bernedo | G | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Eugenio Mena | D | 94 | 8.00 | — | — | 2 | 50 | 47% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Gónzalez | D | 94 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Ampuero | D | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 44 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Arancibia | D | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 27 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Valencia | M | 87 | 8.00 | — | — | 4 | 97 | 85% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Giani | M | 75 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 17 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Martínez | M | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | 5 | 82 | 70% | — | — | — |
| F. Zuqui | M | 75 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 61 | 57% | — | — | — |
| C. Montes | M | 94 | 7.60 | — | 1 | 4 | 33 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Zampedri | F | 87 | 8.20 | 2 | — | 3 | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| A. Farías | M | 7 | — | — | — | — | 15 | 15% | — | — | — |
| C. Cuevas | M | 7 | — | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Juan Francisco Rossel | F | 19 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
| M. Palavecino | M | 19 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
Barcelona SC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| José Contreras | G | 94 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 41 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| G. Vallecilla | D | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 3% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Chalá | D | 10 | 3.00 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | 1 |
| J. Báez | D | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Bryan Carabalí | D | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Lugo | M | 94 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Intriago | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 7% | — | — | — |
| J. Mina | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Quiñónez | M | 81 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Castillo | M | 63 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Benedetto | F | 63 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| H. Villalba | F | 31 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 1% | — | — | — |
| J. Montaño | M | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| J. Perlaza | F | 49 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| L. Sosa | D | 49 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| S. Núñez | F | 31 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of U. Catolica vs Barcelona SC?
The final score was U. Catolica 2–0 Barcelona SC.
What did the model predict before U. Catolica vs Barcelona SC?
The model assigned 57% probability to a U. Catolica win, 25% to a draw, and 17% to an Barcelona SC win.